Unibet Zero% Mission/Support British Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Winning Time 1m 12.50s (slow by 1.40s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Happy Hadeda (IRE) David Egan · Hughie Morrison	6/4	Won
2nd	Rawaasi (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford	11/8F	1.5
3rd	Tiger Tulip (GB) Marco Ghiani · Heather Main	9/1	4.75
4th	Little Miss Magic (IRE) Jim Crowley · Charles Hills	14/1	2
5th	Assema (GB) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	18/1	0.3
6th	Maverick Style (GB) Hector Crouch · Paul & Oliver Cole	80/1	.75
7th	Gogo Yubari (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Amy Murphy	33/1	1.75
8th	Asian Tide (GB) Nicola Currie · Jamie Osborne	50/1	.5
9th	Sarasa (IRE) Robert Havlin · Ollie Sangster	14/1	0.1
10th	Diamond Annie (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Tom Ward	33/1	6

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Happy Hadeda Bay J:David Egan T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Egan T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	72	-	88	-	29d	—	—	-18	15.7	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Full of promise when chasing home a talented rival at Newbury (6f); looks the one to beat.
9 (9)	Rawaasi Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	323	81	81	55	40d	—	—	-14	30.8	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Placed all three starts, inc over C&D (debut) in July; beaten favourite at Thirsk latest.
NR (10)	Cuban Melody Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	7 14%
155,000gns yearling; second foal from a 6f-7f winner (RPR 88); consult market for advice.
10 (1)	Sarasa Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ollie Sangster	J:Robert Havlin T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	6	-	68	-	48d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Ran respectably when sixth of ten on Salisbury debut (6f); promises to be sharper now.
7 (7)	Little Miss Magic Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Second foal from a 6f winner; speed-based pedigree; trainer is 11% with juveniles in 2023.
11 (2)	Tiger Tulip Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Heather Main	J:Marco Ghiani T:Heather Main	128	—	09	-	72	-	29d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Plenty to do with Happy Hadeda from Newbury; probably needs more time; unlikely candidate.
2 (11)	Assema Roan J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	40	-	78	-	29d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Failed to improve on Salisbury debut (fourth) at Newbury; work to do with Happy Hadeda.
5 (6)	Gogo Yubari Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	128	t	74	-	74	-	55d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Hasn't offered much so far; steps up in trip here in a newly applied tongue-tie; AW debut.
4 (8)	Diamond Annie Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
75,000gns yearling; first foal from unraced dam; trainer 19% juvenile strike-rate in 2023.
1 (3)	Asian Tide Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	05	-	80	-	40d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Fared better on her second start at Newmarket (fifth); drops back to 6f for AW debut.
8 (5)	Maverick Style Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	78	-	66	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Low-key in two runs to date (Newbury & Windsor); probably one for further down the line.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Happy Hadeda	2	13/8	6/4	11/8	13/8
Rawaasi	5/6	6/5	6/5	6/5	5/4
Cuban Melody	7	6	6	6	6
Sarasa	14	11	12	11	12
Little Miss Magic	12	14	12	12	14/1
Tiger Tulip	18	14	14	16	14/1
Assema	25	16	16	16	18/1
Gogo Yubari	28	25	25	22	25/1
Diamond Annie	20	28	25	22	22
Asian Tide	50	50	40	33	40/1
Maverick Style	150	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rawaasi

30.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 8 Odds: 15

5/4

2nd

Happy Hadeda

15.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 10.7

13/8

3rd

Cuban Melody

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Sarasa

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Little Miss Magic

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Tiger Tulip

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Assema

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Gogo Yubari

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Diamond Annie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Asian Tide

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Maverick Style

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rawaasi	81	81	55
Happy Hadeda	—	88	—
Cuban Melody	—	—	—
Sarasa	—	68	—
Little Miss Magic	—	—	—
Tiger Tulip	—	72	—
Assema	—	78	—
Gogo Yubari	—	74	—
Diamond Annie	—	—	—
Asian Tide	—	80	—
Maverick Style	—	66	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Maverick Style	23d ago	Fit
Happy Hadeda	29d ago	Fit
Tiger Tulip	29d ago	Fit
Assema	29d ago	Fit
Rawaasi	40d ago	Fit
Asian Tide	40d ago	Fit
Sarasa	48d ago	Fresh
Gogo Yubari	55d ago	Fresh
Cuban Melody	—	—
Little Miss Magic	—	—
Diamond Annie	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.