Download The At The Races App Restricted Maiden Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-09-28

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 2m 27.44s (slow by 8.54s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sir Terence Hadley (GB) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	18/1	Won
2nd	Marie Laveau (GB) Trevor Whelan · Marcus Tregoning	5/4F	0.05
3rd	Knights Affair (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	18/1	2.5
3rd	Sonnet Star (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Stuart Kittow	8/1	0
5th	A Poet's Secret (GB) Marco Ghiani · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	18/1	1
6th	Barrel Aged (GB) David Probert · Marco Botti	100/30	2.5
7th	Mass Consumption (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	4/1	6.5
8th	National Health (FR) Darragh Keenan · Olly Murphy	25/1	6.5
9th	Frites (GB) Gina Mangan · Georgina Nicholls	150/1	13
10th	Tennessee Blaze (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	125/1	49

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (5)	Marie Laveau Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Trevor Whelan T:Marcus Tregoning	128	h	422-73	73	86	-	24d	—	—	-15	15.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Settled better in the hood at Chepstow latest (retained); should cope with 4f longer trip
2 (3)	Barrel Aged Bay J:David Probert T:Marco Botti	J:David Probert T:Marco Botti	133	—	2	-	69	51	252d	—	—	-13	13	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Unseen since Kempton debut second (1m4f; form franked by winner and fourth) in January
6 (7)	Mass Consumption Grey J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	131	p	6-2534	68	72	39	30d	—	—	-8	9.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Best work late on over 2m latest; 5f shorter trip not an obvious plus; cheekpieces added
11 (8)	Sonnet Star Grey J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Kittow	126	—	2322	65	75	-	24d	—	—	+9	17.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Only just missed out at Chepstow last time (1m2f, good); yard having a good month
3 (6)	Knights Affair Bay J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	J:David Nolan T:David Omeara	133	—	2557	67	69	-	11d	—	—	+1	7.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Best efforts so far granted 7f-1m on good, but does have winning siblings at today's trip
NR (10)	Lucky Protector Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	131	h	6723	65	65	-	39d	—	—	+7	11.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Hood added after listless effort latest (1m); might appreciate the step up to 1m3f.
7 (9)	Sir Terence Hadley Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	—	7	-	75	-	13d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Green and outpaced before some okay late work on Salisbury debut; longer trip a plus
8 (11)	National Health Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Olly Murphy	J:Darragh Keenan T:Olly Murphy	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Poor hurdling debut; actually quite nicely bred for the Flat; look for market confidence
4 (1)	A Poets Secret Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	131	—	556	65	68	49	15d	—	—	+1	4.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Weakened into midfield on all three 1m4f starts (stable debut latest); more needed
9 (2)	Tennessee Blaze Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	129	—	68	-	58	-	126d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Unseen since last home at big prices on both turf starts in the spring (1m2f, 1m4f)
1 (4)	Frites Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Georgina Nicholls	137	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Non-stayer in two good-ground bumpers this summer/autumn, beaten 68l at Worcester latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Marie Laveau	15/8	7/4	13/8	13/8	7/4
Barrel Aged	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4
Mass Consumption	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sonnet Star	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Knights Affair	10	11	11	11	11
Lucky Protector	16	16	16	16	16
Sir Terence Hadley	14	16	14	14	14/1
National Health	16	18	18	18	20
A Poets Secret	20	18	18	18	20
Tennessee Blaze	150	100	100	100	100
Frites	150	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sonnet Star

17.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Marie Laveau

15.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Barrel Aged

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

11/4

Lucky Protector

11.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.2

Mass Consumption

9.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Knights Affair

7.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

A Poets Secret

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Sir Terence Hadley

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

National Health

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Tennessee Blaze

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Frites

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marie Laveau	73	86	—
Mass Consumption	68	72	39
Knights Affair	67	69	—
Sonnet Star	65	75	—
Lucky Protector	65	65	—
A Poets Secret	65	68	49
Barrel Aged	—	69	51
Sir Terence Hadley	—	75	—
National Health	—	—	—
Tennessee Blaze	—	58	—
Frites	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Knights Affair	11d ago	Quick return
Sir Terence Hadley	13d ago	Quick return
A Poets Secret	15d ago	Fit
Marie Laveau	24d ago	Fit
Sonnet Star	24d ago	Fit
Mass Consumption	30d ago	Fit
Lucky Protector	39d ago	Fit
Tennessee Blaze	126d ago	Long break
Barrel Aged	252d ago	Long break
National Health	—	—
Frites	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.