Event Signage @ signsolutions.org Handicap Chase – Southwell

Southwell

2:20

Event Signage @ signsolutions.org Handicap Chase

Date 2023-10-03

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Lusitanien b J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	156	—	P-P771	80	106	85	21d	—	—	-24	23.8	5/6 55%
Clearcut winner on last month's stable debut at Worcester; commands respect
5	Magic Mike ch J:Sean Bowen T:Paul Robson	J:Sean Bowen T:Paul Robson	155	h	1-1583	79	101	65	27d	—	—	0	20.4	7/2 22%
Dual hurdle winner in spring and was pretty good third when back over fences last month
1	Ballymagee b J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Robbie Llewellyn	168	t	25-604	92	95	67	63d	—	—	+3	13.4	13/2 13%
Ex-Irish 7yo who was last of four finishers on chasing debut; now with new stable
3	Kings Justice b J:Charlie Todd T:Sam Allwood	J:Charlie Todd T:Sam Allwood	157	—	P9750-	81	-	-	165d	—	—	+4	9.4	16 6%
0-8 over hurdles; combination of switch to fences and wind op needs to enable improvement
7	Uncle O gr J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Clare Hobson	J:Bradley Roberts(5) T:Clare Hobson	145	t	-235P6	69	103	88	8d	—	—	+2	7	16 6%
Has very modest strike-rate but runs this track well and can't be ruled out
2	Atlantic Storm b J:Cillin Leonard(5) T:Rob Summers	J:Cillin Leonard(5) T:Rob Summers	165	t	3-7225	89	99	63	33d	—	—	+9	13.1	22 5%
Well below best this season but handicapped accordingly now; can make presence felt
6	Estate Italiana b/br J:Adam Wedge T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Adam Wedge T:Alexandra Dunn	150	t	154-P7	74	96	44	21d	—	—	+4	6.7	28 4%
Won off this mark at Ludlow in February but subsequent form has been disappointing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lusitanien	8/11	4/5	5/6	4/5	8/11
Magic Mike	7/2	3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Ballymagee	7	13/2	7	7	7
Kings Justice	16	14	14	14	14
Uncle O	16	16	16	16	16
Atlantic Storm	22	18	18	18	20
Estate Italiana	28	28	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lusitanien

23.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

5/6

2nd

Magic Mike

20.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Ballymagee

13.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Atlantic Storm

13.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Kings Justice

9.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Uncle O

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

Estate Italiana

6.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ballymagee Top Rated	92	95	67
Atlantic Storm	89	99	63
Kings Justice	81	—	—
Lusitanien	80	106	85
Magic Mike	79	101	65
Estate Italiana	74	96	44
Uncle O	69	103	88

Last Run