Weatherbys Stallion Book Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Southwell

4:05

Date 2023-10-03

Distance 3m60y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (6)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Butch b J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	161	—	/7212-	124	132	106	180d	—	—	-4	53	4/7 64%
Game 2m4f novice winner in March and creditable second on subsequent handicap debut
3	Destroytheevidence b J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	161	—	53-31	123	130	101	139d	—	—	+5	24	10/3 23%
Drew clear to win by 10l at Worcester (2m7f) in May; leading contender
5	Tzarmix ch J:Max Kendrick T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Max Kendrick T:Jonjo Oneill	161	—	U31-	116	126	109	198d	—	—	+19	31.2	15/2 12%
Clearcut winner at Chepstow in March; now with new stable after £70,000 sale
NR	Cheltenam De Vaige b J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:Fergal Obrien	161	—	-3P212	107	117	87	23d	—	—	+24	30.8	18 6%
Multiple chase/point winner; bagged a weak novice hurdle in August; this is much tougher
4	Kayce Dutton b J:Robert Dunne T:Charles & Adam Pogson	J:Robert Dunne T:Charles & Adam Pogson	161	—	0UP6-1	-	112	78	81d	—	—	+7	11.1	22 5%
Won Cork maiden for Margaret Mullins in July; needs another step forward on stable debut
6	Private Pike b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	154	—	S-	-	-	-	510d	—	—	-3	1	33 3%
In process of running well before slipping up on bumper debut; back from 510-day absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Butch	8/15	4/7	4/7	4/7	8/15
Destroytheevidence	10/3	3	3	10/3	10/3
Tzarmix	15/2	13/2	7	7	7
Cheltenam De Vaige	18	18	16	16	16
Kayce Dutton	22	18	20	20	18
Private Pike	33	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Butch

OR: 18.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Tzarmix

31.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 11.4 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Cheltenam De Vaige

30.8

OR: 14.3 Form: 14.7 Odds: 1.9

Destroytheevidence

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Kayce Dutton

11.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

Private Pike

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Butch Top Rated	124	132	106
Destroytheevidence	123	130	101
Tzarmix	116	126	109
Cheltenam De Vaige	107	117	87
Kayce Dutton	—	112	78
Private Pike	—	—	—

Last Run