At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

6:00

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-03

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (5)	Master Of Combat b J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	133	—	375569	68	88	72	35d	—	—	-8	9.5	7/2 22%
In the frame in all four visits here but may need a stiffer test than this now
10 (11)	Port Erin b J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	129	—	-59113	68	81	48	15d	—	—	+7	24.5	9/2 18%
Has done well since handicapping and step back up in trip should suit, but drawn widest
1 (7)	Francesi gr J:Tom Marquand T:S Woods	J:Tom Marquand T:S Woods	142	p	576892	77	85	64	15d	—	—	-1	17	9/2 18%
Has creditable AW form in better company than this; went close last time; high on list
2 (6)	Ciotog ch J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	139	—	572211	74	79	31	20d	—	—	+20	29.7	15/2 12%
C&D winner bidding for a hat-trick after two wins on turf; player if getting a strong pace
6 (1)	Venetian b J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	136	v	326688	75	82	52	16d	—	—	+1	9.8	15/2 12%
2lb lower than when winning a nursery over C&D last November; visor goes on
5 (9)	Princess Niyla b J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	136	p	6-1827	75	77	-	24d	—	—	0	8.6	17/2 11%
Despite just the six starts, her form already has an uneven look to it; cheekpieces on
7 (3)	Noodle Mission b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	136	—	516008	75	83	63	26d	—	—	+2	10.6	11 9%
Dual C&D winner and not beaten far here last month though only eighth; worth a second look
3 (4)	Nikkis Girl b J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	137	—	8-7371	72	80	57	60d	—	—	+1	7.1	14 7%
Tidy winner over C&D in August; 5lb higher but still one for the shortlist
4 (8)	Smiling Sunflower b J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Appleby	J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Appleby	137	tp	347607	72	82	49	49d	—	—	+1	7.1	14 7%
2lb lower than when winning over C&D in January, but below her best lately
9 (2)	Outrace ch J:Thomas Greatrex T:Richard Hannon	J:Thomas Greatrex T:Richard Hannon	130	—	261380	69	81	28	34d	—	—	+6	10.3	22/1 4%
2nd in all three starts here; back off last winning mark today but a poor effort last time
11 (10)	Harbour Vision gr J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	128	v	542837	63	79	56	14d	—	—	+5	7.6	40 3%
Last win came over C&D from 4lb higher but losing run is up to 14; drawn wider than ideal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Master Of Combat	4	4	7/2	4	4
Port Erin	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Francesi	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	9/2
Ciotog	15/2	15/2	15/2	7	15/2
Venetian	15/2	8	8	8	8
Princess Niyla	9	8	17/2	8	17/2
Noodle Mission	10	11	10	11	11
Nikkis Girl	14	14	14	14	14
Smiling Sunflower	12	14	14	14	14
Outrace	22	22/1	22	22	22
Harbour Vision	40	33/1	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ciotog

29.7

OR: 6 Form: 21 Odds: 2.7

15/2

2nd

Port Erin

24.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Francesi

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Noodle Mission

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.4

Outrace

10.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Venetian

9.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Master Of Combat

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Princess Niyla

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Harbour Vision

7.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.8

Nikkis Girl

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Smiling Sunflower

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Francesi Top Rated	77	85	64
Venetian	75	82	52
Princess Niyla	75	77	—
Noodle Mission	75	83	63
Ciotog	74	79	31
Nikkis Girl	72	80	57
Smiling Sunflower	72	82	49
Outrace	69	81	28
Master Of Combat	68	88	72
Port Erin	68	81	48
Harbour Vision	63	79	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harbour Vision	14d ago	Fit
Port Erin	15d ago	Fit
Francesi	15d ago	Fit
Venetian	16d ago	Fit
Ciotog	20d ago	Fit
Princess Niyla	24d ago	Fit
Noodle Mission	26d ago	Fit
Outrace	34d ago	Fit
Master Of Combat	35d ago	Fit
Smiling Sunflower	49d ago	Fresh
Nikkis Girl	60d ago	Fresh