At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

7:30

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-10-03

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (7)	El Tesoro ch J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	134	p	1-5386	67	83	61	27d	—	—	-3	17.4	7/2 22%
Ex-Irish 3yo; weakened quickly late on stable debut (6f) but there was promise in the run
11 (6)	Speed Dial Baileys ch J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	129	—	785172	62	77	72	32d	—	—	0	18.2	9/2 18%
Her two best runs have come over C&D and she's not yet fully exposed; interesting
2 (11)	Murbih b J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	—	053223	68	84	66	21d	—	—	+7	17.5	13/2 13%
Conditions fine and he comes here in good form; widest draw might scupper him though
1 (4)	Aira Force b J:David Egan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:David Egan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	135	p	-64047	68	79	58	26d	—	—	-6	8.5	11/2 15%
Promise in this headgear (6f) here last time; down in class; one to take seriously
7 (9)	Diomed Spirit b J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	133	—	57-654	66	79	45	55d	—	—	-2	6.4	10 10%
Hopes appear to rest on today's return to AW sparking something extra from him
6 (1)	Newyorkstateofmind b J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	305738	67	83	58	10d	—	—	0	8.7	10 10%
Multiple winner but he'll need to step up on last week's modest eighth here (6f)
8 (10)	Birkenhead b J:Billy Loughnane T:Paul Midgley	J:Billy Loughnane T:Paul Midgley	133	p	555220	66	82	69	14d	—	—	+6	11.6	14 7%
Below par on turf latest but in good order on AW previously; tricky draw to overcome
10 (2)	Cabeza De Llave ch J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	129	—	025640	62	83	-	17d	—	—	-1	5.9	12 8%
Should be making a big impact off this sort of mark but consistency not his forte
9 (3)	Man On A Mission b J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	130	—	223207	63	82	74	66d	—	—	+3	9.3	12 8%
Quiet on turf the last twice but returning to AW a plus and he's on a dangerous mark
5 (5)	Texas Man ch J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	134	—	650184	67	85	-	21d	—	—	+6	10.5	20 5%
Popped up on turf in July but less good twice since; returns to AW with something to prove
3 (8)	All In The Hips b J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	134	v	225145	67	76	51	31d	—	—	+8	11.1	33 3%
Three wins this year; not at best the last twice but the new visor could give her a lift

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
El Tesoro	10/3	10/3	7/2	3	10/3
Speed Dial Baileys	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	9/2
Murbih	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Aira Force	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Diomed Spirit	10	9	9	9	9
Newyorkstateofmind	10	9	9	9	9
Birkenhead	14	12	12	12	12/1
Cabeza De Llave	11	11	12	11	11/1
Man On A Mission	12	12	12	12	12
Texas Man	20	20	20	20	20
All In The Hips	28	33	33	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Speed Dial Baileys

18.2

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Murbih

17.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 9.9 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

El Tesoro

17.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Birkenhead

11.6

OR: 4 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6

All In The Hips

11.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 0.9

Texas Man

10.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Man On A Mission

9.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.6

Newyorkstateofmind

8.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Aira Force

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Diomed Spirit

6.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Cabeza De Llave

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Murbih Top Rated	68	84	66
Aira Force	68	79	58
El Tesoro	67	83	61
Newyorkstateofmind	67	83	58
Texas Man	67	85	—
All In The Hips	67	76	51
Diomed Spirit	66	79	45
Birkenhead	66	82	69
Man On A Mission	63	82	74
Speed Dial Baileys	62	77	72
Cabeza De Llave	62	83	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Newyorkstateofmind	10d ago	Quick return
Birkenhead	14d ago	Fit
Cabeza De Llave	17d ago	Fit
Murbih	21d ago	Fit
Texas Man	21d ago	Fit
Aira Force	26d ago	Fit
El Tesoro	27d ago	Fit
All In The Hips	31d ago	Fit
Speed Dial Baileys	32d ago	Fit
Diomed Spirit	55d ago	Fresh
Man On A Mission	66d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Man On A Mission	Prominent
Texas Man	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.