quaffbox.com Apprentice Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:02

quaffbox.com Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-10-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.44s (slow by 3.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kats Bob (GB) Mia Nicholls · Iain Jardine	4/1	Won
2nd	South Dakota Sioux (IRE) Mohammed Tabti · David O'Meara	11/2	0.3
3rd	Claim The Stars (IRE) Alex Fielding · Tim Easterby	20/1	1
4th	Caribbean Sunset (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Grant Tuer	5/2F	0.1
5th	Lily In The Jungle (IRE) Joe Leavy · Philip Kirby	28/1	0.2
6th	After John (GB) Alex Jary · Iain Jardine	9/2	.75
7th	Moralisa (GB) Liam Wright · Ismail Mohammed	18/1	1
8th	Written Broadcast (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Ollie Pears	33/1	2.25
9th	Pembrokeshire (GB) Archie Young · Iain Jardine	12/1	0.3
10th	Saisons d'Or (IRE) Elle-May Croot · Jedd O'Keeffe	12/1	0.05
11th	Spartan Fighter (GB) Curtis Wilson-Ruddock · Antony Brittain	20/1	.75
12th	Shotley Royale (GB) Gianluca Sanna · Ruth Carr	100/1	1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Caribbean Sunset Bay J:Tommie Jakes(3) T:Grant Tuer	J:Tommie Jakes(3) T:Grant Tuer	134	—	321420	63	77	64	18d	—	—	-7	18.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Last attempt over C&D resulted in his sole win this term; shortlisted
4 (7)	Kats Bob Chestnut J:Mia Nicholls T:Iain Jardine	J:Mia Nicholls T:Iain Jardine	134	p	912340	63	74	47	14d	—	—	-4	13.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has rarely raced on AW but ran respectably here three starts ago
1 (4)	After John Bay J:Alex Jary T:Iain Jardine	J:Alex Jary T:Iain Jardine	136	—	074490	65	74	48	14d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Triple C&D scorer in 2022, including off 2lb higher; possibilities back here
9 (5)	South Dakota Sioux Bay J:Mohammed Tabti T:David Omeara	J:Mohammed Tabti T:David Omeara	132	—	260694	62	78	61	10d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Ran respectably over C&D last week; frame possibilities off same mark
3 (11)	Pembrokeshire Bay J:Archie Young(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(3) T:Iain Jardine	135	—	-57740	65	73	43	14d	—	—	-2	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Interesting off a reduced mark with drop back to 6f looking ideal
10 (12)	Saisons Dor Roan J:Elle-May Croot T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Elle-May Croot T:Jedd Okeeffe	131	—	323485	60	76	64	17d	—	—	-1	6.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Raced mostly at 7f-1m but latest effort suggests the return to 6f may suit
6 (3)	Moralisa Bay J:Liam Wright T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Liam Wright T:Ismail Mohammed	134	—	-88363	64	74	23	15d	—	—	+4	9.4	5.25/1	22 5%
Good effort off this mark last time; first win is not out of the question
5 (6)	Spartan Fighter Bay J:Curtis Wilson-Ruddock(7) T:Antony Brittain	J:Curtis Wilson-Ruddock(7) T:Antony Brittain	134	v	525788	63	72	42	10d	—	—	+1	5.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Losing run goes back 19 months; modest efforts the last twice
8 (9)	Claim The Stars Bay J:Alex Fielding(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Alex Fielding(3) T:Tim Easterby	132	t	016800	61	75	-	14d	—	—	+1	6.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Has lost his form on turf; AW record suggests he could revive
12 (10)	Lily In The Jungle Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Philip Kirby	130	p	402998	60	68	28	17d	—	—	+2	4.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
All wins on turf; record on AW remains unconvincing
11 (1)	Written Broadcast Grey J:Brandon Wilkie T:Ollie Pears	J:Brandon Wilkie T:Ollie Pears	130	—	663138	59	77	57	115d	—	—	+8	11	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Lacks recent match practice and isn't crying out for return to sprinting
2 (2)	Shotley Royale Bay J:Gianluca Sanna T:Ruth Carr	J:Gianluca Sanna T:Ruth Carr	135	—	557	65	68	-	17d	—	—	+3	4.1	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Not especially solid on novice form; opening mark is possibly beyond him

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Caribbean Sunset	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	5/2
Kats Bob	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	4
After John	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
South Dakota Sioux	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
Pembrokeshire	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	10
Saisons Dor	10	12/1	10/1	11/1	10
Moralisa	22	16/1	16	16/1	16
Spartan Fighter	20/1	20/1	25	25	28
Claim The Stars	20/1	25	25	25	28
Lily In The Jungle	33/1	28	25	28/1	25
Written Broadcast	33/1	33/1	28/1	28	28
Shotley Royale	100/1	125/1	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caribbean Sunset

18.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 7.6

5/2

2nd

Kats Bob

13.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Written Broadcast

OR: 2.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Moralisa

9.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

After John

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

South Dakota Sioux

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Saisons Dor

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Claim The Stars

6.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Pembrokeshire

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Spartan Fighter

5.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

Lily In The Jungle

4.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Shotley Royale

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
After John	65	74	48
Pembrokeshire	65	73	43
Shotley Royale	65	68	—
Moralisa	64	74	23
Caribbean Sunset	63	77	64
Kats Bob	63	74	47
Spartan Fighter	63	72	42
South Dakota Sioux	62	78	61
Claim The Stars	61	75	—
Saisons Dor	60	76	64
Lily In The Jungle	60	68	28
Written Broadcast	59	77	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
South Dakota Sioux	10d ago	Quick return
Spartan Fighter	10d ago	Quick return
Kats Bob	14d ago	Fit
After John	14d ago	Fit
Pembrokeshire	14d ago	Fit
Claim The Stars	14d ago	Fit
Moralisa	15d ago	Fit
Saisons Dor	17d ago	Fit
Lily In The Jungle	17d ago	Fit
Shotley Royale	17d ago	Fit
Caribbean Sunset	18d ago	Fit
Written Broadcast	115d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.