Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Redcar

13:40

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,320

Winning Time 1m 23.38s (slow by 2.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Respectful (IRE) Sam James · K R Burke	16/5	Won
2nd	Midnite Storm (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	7/2	.5
3rd	Mickley (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	8/1	0.3
4th	Bubbles Wonky (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	22/1	.5
5th	Greer (IRE) James Sullivan · John Quinn	9/4F	1.25
6th	Beguiling (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	150/1	5
7th	Wonder Smile (IRE) Ben Curtis · Hugo Palmer	18/1	0.1
8th	Starlight Stanley (GB) David Nolan · Michael Dods	80/1	4
9th	Triple Force (GB) Shane Gray · Ann Duffield	80/1	0.1
10th	Detroit Lion (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Richard Hannon	5/1	2
11th	Jez Bomb (GB) Cam Hardie · Sam England	200/1	2.25
12th	Filey Beach (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Charlie Johnston	200/1	1.25
13th	Old Bailey (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	66/1	1

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Greer Bay J:James Sullivan T:John Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John Quinn	133	—	1	-	87	76	22d	—	—	-7	17.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Incurs only a 3lb penalty for Chester debut success; open to progress and warrants respect
8 (1)	Midnite Storm Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	442	80	91	80	25d	—	—	-1	18.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Close second at Leicester most recently; that form gives him a good chance at weights
7 (9)	Mickley Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	130	—	4	-	68	-	11d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-15	6.2	0.75/1	4 25%
Slowly away and met traffic on his way to finishing fourth at Newcastle; should improve
1 (3)	Respectful Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	136	—	541	79	86	64	16d	—	—	+5	22.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Major form contender but may be worth taking on; had the run of things at Ayr last time
4 (6)	Detroit Lion Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	130	—	5	-	67	44	14d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	9 11%
Modest fifth on heavy ground at Newbury; may do better on this forecast faster surface
12 (12)	Wonder Smile Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ben Curtis T:Hugo Palmer	130	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.25/1	10 10%
50,000gns foal; by Exceed And Excel; wears tongue-tie on debut; check the betting
3 (10)	Bubbles Wonky Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Lope De Vega half-brother to three winners; one of two newcomers for this yard
9 (7)	Old Bailey Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
35,000gns yearling; half-brother to seven winners but none of them scored on debut
10 (4)	Starlight Stanley Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Michael Dods	J:David Nolan T:Michael Dods	130	—	05	-	65	57	28d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Modest fifth last time; handicaps more suitable shortly
13 (8)	Beguiling Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Bated Breath filly; stablemate of Bubbles Wonky; market can guide
5 (13)	Filey Beach Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	08	-	48	38	28d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Soundly beaten in both outings
11 (11)	Triple Force Bay J:Shane Gray T:Ann Duffield	J:Shane Gray T:Ann Duffield	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
£40,000 2yo; yard has a modest strike-rate with 2yos in last five seasons
6 (5)	Jez Bomb Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Sam England	J:Cam Hardie T:Sam England	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Hunter's Light gelding; stable isn't associated with 2yo scorers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Greer	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Midnite Storm	3	3	3	3/1	3
Mickley	4	4	4	4	4
Respectful	9/2	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2
Detroit Lion	9	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Wonder Smile	10	10	8	10	17/2
Bubbles Wonky	20	20	18	20	22
Old Bailey	40	40	40	40	40
Starlight Stanley	50	50	50	50	50
Beguiling	100	100	100	100	66
Filey Beach	100	125	100	125/1	100
Triple Force	150	150	150	150	100
Jez Bomb	150	150	150	150/1	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Respectful

22.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Midnite Storm

18.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Greer

17.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Mickley

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

Detroit Lion

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Wonder Smile

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Bubbles Wonky

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Old Bailey

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Starlight Stanley

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Beguiling

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Filey Beach

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Triple Force

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Jez Bomb

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Midnite Storm	80	91	80
Respectful	79	86	64
Greer	—	87	76
Mickley	—	68	—
Detroit Lion	—	67	44
Wonder Smile	—	—	—
Bubbles Wonky	—	—	—
Old Bailey	—	—	—
Starlight Stanley	—	65	57
Beguiling	—	—	—
Filey Beach	—	48	38
Triple Force	—	—	—
Jez Bomb	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mickley	11d ago	Quick return
Detroit Lion	14d ago	Fit
Respectful	16d ago	Fit
Greer	22d ago	Fit
Midnite Storm	25d ago	Fit
Starlight Stanley	28d ago	Fit
Filey Beach	28d ago	Fit
Wonder Smile	—	—
Bubbles Wonky	—	—
Old Bailey	—	—
Beguiling	—	—
Triple Force	—	—
Jez Bomb	—	—