Newport Recycling Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Stratford

Stratford

15:10

Newport Recycling Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-09

Distance 2m70y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,629

Winning Time 4m 1.20s (slow by 21.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Shetland Tony (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	7/2J	Won
2nd	Shinji (IRE) Brian Hughes · Martin Keighley	4/1	18
3rd	Schmilsson (GB) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy	7/2J	1.25
4th	Footloose Man (GB) Gavin Sheehan · Richard Hobson	18/1	13
5th	Kenzai Warrior (USA) James Davies · Roger Teal	5/1	2
6th	Captain Attridge (IRE) Nick Scholfield · Henry Oliver	22/1	3
7th	Mountain Bay (IRE) Micheal Nolan · Seamus Mullins	200/1	5
8th	Blackacre (GB) Adam Wedge · Evan Williams	125/1	5.5
9th	Global Esteem (IRE) Liam Harrison · Fergal O'Brien	10/1	3
10th	Jormungandr (GB) Tom Bellamy · D J Jeffreys	200/1	18
11th	Dixie Flyer (IRE) Richie McLernon · Sean Curran	9/2	6

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Schmilsson Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	153	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-23	10.6	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Useful Flat-racer for Andrew Balding; makes stable/hurdle debut after 389-day absence
11	Shinji Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Martin Keighley	J:Brian Hughes T:Martin Keighley	153	h	130-	-	-	-	177d	—	—	-7	12.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Placed in Listed Newbury bumper in February and a good hurdling prospect this season
10	Shetland Tony Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	153	—	U4356-	109	112	94	345d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Disappointed on handicap debut for Gordon Elliott last year but showed promise beforehand
2	Dixie Flyer Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Sean Curran	J:Richie McLernon T:Sean Curran	154	t	360-58	112	123	115	53d	—	—	+9	18	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-9 over hurdles in Ireland but showed some fair form; big player on today's stable debut
4	Kenzai Warrior b/br J:James Davies T:Roger Teal	J:James Davies T:Roger Teal	154	—	425-29	106	122	72	48d	—	—	+7	16.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Useful Flat-racer but nothing special over hurdles, and has mixed record in this sphere
3	Global Esteem Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	154	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Fairly useful Flat-racer at up to 1m, with 5-42 strike-rate; makes stable/hurdle debut
6	Footloose Man Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Hobson	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Hobson	153	ht	23445	-	92	61	20d	—	—	-2	3.3	3.75/1	16 6%
Has shown some ability but low-grade handicaps are probably on the agenda after this
1	Captain Attridge Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Henry Oliver	J:Nick Scholfield T:Henry Oliver	154	—	60-3	-	107	81	148d	—	—	0	4.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Improved with experience over hurdles in the spring and probably still has more to offer
7	Jormungandr Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	153	—	57	-	-	-	46d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Tailed off after racing too freely on hurdling debut a Fontwell (2m1f) in August
5	Blackacre Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	153	—	3-59	-	92	68	7d	—	—	+1	2.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Placed in a bumper in April but soundly beaten on both hurdling starts for new stable
8	Mountain Bay Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	153	—	97-	-	-	-	182d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Well beaten in both bumpers last season and can only be watched on today's hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Schmilsson	6/4	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Shinji	4	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Shetland Tony	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
Dixie Flyer	9	17/2	8	8	8
Kenzai Warrior	8	17/2	7	8	8
Global Esteem	10	10	10	10	10
Footloose Man	16	16	16	16	16
Captain Attridge	20	18	18	18	18
Jormungandr	50	80	80	80	80
Blackacre	40	80	80	80	80
Mountain Bay	100	100	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shetland Tony

19.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 1.2 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Dixie Flyer

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Kenzai Warrior

16.9

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Shinji

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Schmilsson

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

Captain Attridge

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Footloose Man

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.4

Blackacre

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

Global Esteem

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Jormungandr

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Mountain Bay

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dixie Flyer	112	123	115
Shetland Tony	109	112	94
Kenzai Warrior	106	122	72
Schmilsson	—	—	—
Shinji	—	—	—
Global Esteem	—	—	—
Footloose Man	—	92	61
Captain Attridge	—	107	81
Jormungandr	—	—	—
Blackacre	—	92	68
Mountain Bay	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blackacre	7d ago	Quick return
Footloose Man	20d ago	Fit
Jormungandr	46d ago	Fresh
Kenzai Warrior	48d ago	Fresh
Dixie Flyer	53d ago	Fresh
Captain Attridge	148d ago	Long break
Shinji	177d ago	Long break
Mountain Bay	182d ago	Long break
Shetland Tony	345d ago	Long break
Schmilsson	—	—
Global Esteem	—	—