At The Races App Market Movers Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

At The Races App Market Movers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-10

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 30.71s (slow by 5.81s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dolce Courage (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	4/1	Won
2nd	Vultar (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	4/6F	0.1
3rd	Ludden Lass (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charles Hills	18/1	1.5
4th	Souffionne (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Hugo Palmer	14/1	2.5
5th	Falcon (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	15/2	1.25
6th	Light Speed (IRE) William Carver · Andrew Balding	25/1	1.75
7th	Plink (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	18/1	0.2
8th	Jumeira Vision (IRE) Connor Beasley · Archie Watson	40/1	.75
9th	Favorite Boy (GB) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	14/1	.5
10th	Brazen Rascal (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Simon Whitaker	250/1	.75
11th	Spring Chorus (GB) Cam Hardie · Ivan Furtado	200/1	2.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (1)	Vultar Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	133	—	2-23	83	93	68	22d	—	—	-22	29.6	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Useful level of form at 7f and 6f, including on Kempton AW latest; good claims
NR (4)	Summer Of Love Bay J:TBC T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J: T:Saeed Bin Suroor	128	—	4	-	73	29	18d	—	—	-12	5	0.75/1	4 25%
Well-connected filly; stride shortened over 1m on debut; of interest dropped to 7f
2 (11)	Dolce Courage Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	133	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
160,000gns yearling; siblings include winners on Tapeta and Polytrack; check the market
3 (2)	Falcon Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	9	-	52	23	266d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
7-2 for 6f debut at Kempton but faded away slowly; gelded since; bred to improve for 7f+
8 (12)	Souffionne Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	133	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Middle-distance/staying slant to pedigree on dam's side suggest staying potential
4 (5)	Favorite Boy Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	133	—	35	-	73	57	12d	—	—	-2	3.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Looked to have ability over 1m here last time; not sure to be suited by 7f; handicaps soon
10 (6)	Ludden Lass Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charles Hills	J:Joe Fanning T:Charles Hills	128	—	4-062	70	80	-	122d	—	—	+2	6.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Front-runs; bled from nose in May; needs more than latest Catterick 2nd in June
7 (8)	Plink Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	133	—	5	-	55	-	21d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Modest start over 6f but bred to go well over 7f on Tapeta so could improve plenty
6 (10)	Light Speed Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dam bred winners on AW; useful pedigree but longer trips likely to be in order
5 (3)	Jumeira Vision Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Archie Watson	J:Connor Beasley T:Archie Watson	133	—	57	-	74	48	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Needs plenty more than he's shown for the Gosdens and this yard; handicaps more likely
11 (9)	Spring Chorus Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ivan Furtado	J:Cam Hardie T:Ivan Furtado	128	—	45	-	69	-	15d	—	—	0	0.1	49.75/1	200 1%
Signs of some ability over 1m on debut; drop to 7f and switch to AW raises questions
1 (7)	Brazen Rascal Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	133	—	8	-	48	-	34d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Had wind op before 33-1 debut over C&D, when never sighted after a slow start

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vultar	4/6	4/6	8/13	4/6	4/6
Summer Of Love	4	4	4	4	4
Dolce Courage	4	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Falcon	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Souffionne	16	16	14	16	16/1
Favorite Boy	16	14	14	14/1	14
Ludden Lass	20	20	20	20/1	20
Plink	18	20	20	20	20
Light Speed	22	25	25	25	25/1
Jumeira Vision	100	80	80	80	80/1
Spring Chorus	200	150	150	150	150
Brazen Rascal	200	250	250	250	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vultar

29.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 17.9

4/6

2nd

Dolce Courage

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

7/2

3rd

Ludden Lass

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Summer Of Love

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Favorite Boy

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Falcon

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Souffionne

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Plink

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Light Speed

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Jumeira Vision

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Spring Chorus

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200

Brazen Rascal

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vultar	83	93	68
Ludden Lass	70	80	—
Summer Of Love	—	73	29
Dolce Courage	—	—	—
Falcon	—	52	23
Souffionne	—	—	—
Favorite Boy	—	73	57
Plink	—	55	—
Light Speed	—	—	—
Jumeira Vision	—	74	48
Spring Chorus	—	69	—
Brazen Rascal	—	48	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Favorite Boy	12d ago	Quick return
Jumeira Vision	13d ago	Quick return
Spring Chorus	15d ago	Fit
Summer Of Love	18d ago	Fit
Plink	21d ago	Fit
Vultar	22d ago	Fit
Brazen Rascal	34d ago	Fit
Ludden Lass	122d ago	Long break
Falcon	266d ago	Long break
Dolce Courage	—	—
Souffionne	—	—
Light Speed	—	—