At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-10-10

Distance 2m102y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 3m 44.84s (slow by 11.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Papa Ricco (GB) Robert Havlin · S Woods	11/2	Won
2nd	Club Manager (GB) William Carver · Andrew Balding	11/8F	.75
3rd	Easy Equation (FR) David Egan · J S Moore	12/1	0.3
4th	Ship To Shore (GB) Oisin Murphy · Patrick Chamings	7/2	0.05
5th	Wannabe Brave (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	7/2	0.3
6th	Kitten's Dream (GB) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	28/1	2
7th	Autolycus (GB) Josephine Gordon · Tony Forbes	125/1	52

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Club Manager Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	135	—	-31521	64	65	55	6d	—	—	-9	35.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Penalised for last week's Nottingham win when trying 2m for the first time
1 (6)	Wannabe Brave Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	138	v	744433	58	65	48	13d	—	—	-6	12.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unable to exploit his sliding mark this year but gives his running more often than not
2 (1)	Ship To Shore Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Patrick Chamings	J:Oisin Murphy T:Patrick Chamings	137	—	291640	57	64	43	57d	—	—	-5	8.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Respected returned to a venue at which he has form figures of 4371
7 (5)	Papa Ricco Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	128	—	546351	57	66	49	12d	—	—	+3	17.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Narrow winner here recently and the runner-up went into that race in decent form
3 (7)	Easy Equation Bay J:David Egan T:J S Moore	J:David Egan T:J S Moore	135	p	333148	55	66	58	40d	—	—	+4	9.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Ground too soft last time; rarely wins (3-35) but has a big run in him
5 (3)	Kittens Dream Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	128	b	568648	48	68	51	12d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Two wins here and plenty of places; however, recent form isn't the most convincing
6 (2)	Autolycus Chestnut J:Josephine Gordon T:Tony Forbes	J:Josephine Gordon T:Tony Forbes	128	p	069-55	57	56	38	185d	—	—	+1	2	37.25/1	150 1%
Has finished last in both handicaps (1m4f); goes up in trip with cheekpieces added

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Club Manager	1	6/5	11/10	1/1	11/10
Wannabe Brave	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Ship To Shore	5	11/2	5	5	5
Papa Ricco	11/2	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Easy Equation	12	12	12	12	12
Kittens Dream	16	18	16	18	18
Autolycus	150	150	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Club Manager

35.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 17.1 Odds: 14.6

6/5

2nd

Papa Ricco

17.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Wannabe Brave

12.3

OR: 2 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Easy Equation

9.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

Ship To Shore

8.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Autolycus

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Kittens Dream

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Club Manager	64	65	55
Wannabe Brave	58	65	48
Ship To Shore	57	64	43
Papa Ricco	57	66	49
Autolycus	57	56	38
Easy Equation	55	66	58
Kittens Dream	48	68	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Club Manager	6d ago	Quick return
Papa Ricco	12d ago	Quick return
Kittens Dream	12d ago	Quick return
Wannabe Brave	13d ago	Quick return
Easy Equation	40d ago	Fit
Ship To Shore	57d ago	Fresh
Autolycus	185d ago	Long break