Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2023-10-11

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 26.94s (slow by 2.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Stella Hogan (IRE) Charlie Bennett · John O'Shea	28/1	Won
2nd	No News (IRE) Marco Ghiani · J R Jenkins	100/30	.5
3rd	Purple Poppy (GB) Georgia Dobie · Jimmy Fox	11/2	.75
4th	Magicinthemaking (USA) Hollie Doyle · John E Long	15/8F	.5
5th	White Mist (GB) George Wood · Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	10/1	.5
6th	Outreach (GB) Oliver Searle · Mark Usher	18/1	.5
7th	Romanovich (IRE) Finley Marsh · John O'Shea	13/2	1
8th	Victory House (IRE) Frederick Larson · John Butler	16/1	.75
9th	Safe Passage (GB) Ross Coakley · Luke Dace	16/1	1.25
10th	Havechatma (GB) Robert Havlin · Dean Ivory	14/1	2
11th	Optimal Sinn (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Michael Madgwick	125/1	1.5
12th	Carry On Aitch (IRE) Rhiain Ingram · Roger Ingram	50/1	3.25
13th	Lucky Mascot (IRE) William Carson · Brett Johnson	50/1	3.75
14th	Withy Rock (GB) Luke Morris · Bill Turner	200/1	2

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Magicinthemaking Brown J:Hollie Doyle T:John E Long	J:Hollie Doyle T:John E Long	133	—	167642	51	69	51	7d	—	—	-14	13.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Good latest run; returns to best trip and well drawn to be handy
10 (6)	No News Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	132	—	324865	52	68	54	7d	—	—	-12	7.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-14; appreciated the strong pace up front when a close fifth here last week over 6f
11 (13)	Purple Poppy Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	131	—	312284	49	66	59	32d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Returns to what's probably her best trip but she's not well drawn
12 (7)	White Mist Grey J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	130	t	037452	50	65	48	18d	—	—	-1	8.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Caught the eye more than once and ran well dropped to 6f at Wolverhampton last time
8 (3)	Romanovich Grey J:Finley Marsh T:John Oshea	J:Finley Marsh T:John Oshea	132	—	-62137	50	68	45	117d	—	—	+3	10.8	2.25/1	10 10%
7f winner off a similar mark; absence is a worry and he has a bit to prove on the AW
14 (5)	Havechatma Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	130	t	5-9086	50	63	31	82d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Remains a maiden and has been well below her best this year; now tongue tied
3 (12)	Outreach Grey J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Mark Usher	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Mark Usher	132	—	447045	52	66	39	16d	—	—	-4	2.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Has ability but 0-8 and whether stepping up to 7f will help matters remains to be seen
4 (4)	Safe Passage Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Luke Dace	J:Ross Coakley T:Luke Dace	132	h	56269-	50	-	-	511d	—	—	0	3.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Lightly raced mare who has gone close here; long absence is a concern
9 (8)	Victory House Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John Butler	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:John Butler	132	—	356740	52	66	50	11d	—	—	-4	2.2	5.25/1	22 5%
16-race maiden, over various trips; 7f seems as good as any
5 (10)	Lucky Mascot Bay J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	132	—	402667	50	67	-	99d	—	—	-1	2.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Struggling to get competitive when last seen during the height of summer
7 (1)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	J:Charlie Bennett T:John Oshea	132	—	85568	52	62	39	35d	—	—	-2	1.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Beaten in the region of 6l in her two handicaps and was 66-1 here for the latest
13 (9)	Carry On Aitch Bay J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Roger Ingram	J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Roger Ingram	130	—	106673	50	63	42	20d	—	—	+1	3.8	8.00/1	33 3%
5f winner; never far away when placed over this far at Chelmsford latest
1 (11)	Withy Rock Bay J:Luke Morris T:Bill Turner	J:Luke Morris T:Bill Turner	133	p	0/64	51	58	-	27d	—	—	-1	0.7	19.75/1	80 1%
Only fourth of six in a weak maiden last time; might be on a tough mark
6 (14)	Optimal Sinn Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Madgwick	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Madgwick	132	p	568	52	58	-	19d	—	—	-1	1	19.75/1	80 1%
Goes handicapping in first-time cheekpieces but with plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Magicinthemaking	2	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
No News	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Purple Poppy	15/2	13/2	7	13/2	15/2
White Mist	8	8	8	8	15/2
Romanovich	10	9	9	9	9
Havechatma	11	10	10	10	11
Outreach	14	14	14	14	16
Safe Passage	22	28	25	22	25
Victory House	20	20	20	11	22
Lucky Mascot	28	33	28	20	33
Stella Hogan	25	33	28	28	28
Carry On Aitch	33	28	28	33	28
Withy Rock	80	66	50	40	66
Optimal Sinn	80	80	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Magicinthemaking

13.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

15/8

2nd

Romanovich

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Purple Poppy

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

White Mist

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.5

15/2

No News

7.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Carry On Aitch

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Safe Passage

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

Lucky Mascot

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Victory House

2.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Havechatma

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Outreach

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Stella Hogan

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Optimal Sinn

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Withy Rock

0.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
No News	52	68	54
Outreach	52	66	39
Victory House	52	66	50
Stella Hogan	52	62	39
Optimal Sinn	52	58	—
Magicinthemaking	51	69	51
Withy Rock	51	58	—
White Mist	50	65	48
Romanovich	50	68	45
Havechatma	50	63	31
Safe Passage	50	—	—
Lucky Mascot	50	67	—
Carry On Aitch	50	63	42
Purple Poppy	49	66	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Magicinthemaking	7d ago	Quick return
No News	7d ago	Quick return
Victory House	11d ago	Quick return
Outreach	16d ago	Fit
White Mist	18d ago	Fit
Optimal Sinn	19d ago	Fit
Carry On Aitch	20d ago	Fit
Withy Rock	27d ago	Fit
Purple Poppy	32d ago	Fit
Stella Hogan	35d ago	Fit
Havechatma	82d ago	Fresh
Lucky Mascot	99d ago	Long break
Romanovich	117d ago	Long break
Safe Passage	511d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.