Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

16:52

Date 2023-10-11

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Winning Time 1m 28.39s (slow by 3.79s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ciro Di Marzio (USA) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	4/1	Won
2nd	Treasure Time (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	15/2	0.3
3rd	Cynosure (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	3/1	.5
4th	Age Of Baroque (FR) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	7/4F	.75
5th	Odonnell's Orchard (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	11/1	0.3
6th	Yellow Pages (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	25/1	0.3
7th	Penalty Shootout (IRE) Ross Coakley · Rod Millman	200/1	6
8th	Combustion (GB) Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	200/1	3.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Age Of Baroque Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	3	-	83	46	19d	—	—	-18	12.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
575,000euros yearling; promising third over C&D last month; strongly respected
4 (1)	Cynosure b/br J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	4	-	76	-	97d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Showed ability over 6f at Newbury three months ago; bred to be suited by 7f+
2 (9)	Ciro Di Marzio Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	9	-	61	-	29d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Perhaps found the ground too soft on debut; may improve markedly on this surface
9 (4)	Treasure Time Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	133	—	9	-	61	-	118d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Never landed a blow at Newbury four months ago; gelded since
5 (8)	Formidable Force Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	6	-	71	-	61d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Seemed to need his debut run two months ago; may do better
7 (2)	Odonnells Orchard Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	133	—	4455	83	88	-	33d	—	—	+3	10.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Not totally solid on his 6f turf form, though has a respectable peak rating
10 (7)	Yellow Pages Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	96	-	72	-	47d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Has a lot to find on his turf efforts
NR (5)	Najm Aldar Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.3	9.75/1	40 3%
28,000euros yearling; by Territories; market instructive
8 (6)	Penalty Shootout Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	133	—	07	-	64	42	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Needs to improve plenty on his 1m efforts
3 (3)	Combustion Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
11,000gns foal; by Harry Angel; yard has modest strike-rate with 2yos

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Age Of Baroque	2	15/8	13/8	15/8	7/4
Cynosure	11/4	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4
Ciro Di Marzio	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Treasure Time	7	7	13/2	7	7/1
Formidable Force	8	7	8	15/2	15/2
Odonnells Orchard	10	10	11	10	11
Yellow Pages	25	22	25	25	22
Najm Aldar	33	40	28	28	40
Penalty Shootout	200	200	200	200	150
Combustion	250	200	150	200	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Age Of Baroque

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Odonnells Orchard

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Cynosure

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Ciro Di Marzio

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Najm Aldar

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

Treasure Time

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Formidable Force

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Yellow Pages

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Penalty Shootout

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Combustion

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Odonnells Orchard	83	88	—
Age Of Baroque	—	83	46
Cynosure	—	76	—
Ciro Di Marzio	—	61	—
Treasure Time	—	61	—
Formidable Force	—	71	—
Yellow Pages	—	72	—
Najm Aldar	—	—	—
Penalty Shootout	—	64	42
Combustion	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Penalty Shootout	14d ago	Fit
Age Of Baroque	19d ago	Fit
Ciro Di Marzio	29d ago	Fit
Odonnells Orchard	33d ago	Fit
Yellow Pages	47d ago	Fresh
Formidable Force	61d ago	Fresh
Cynosure	97d ago	Long break
Treasure Time	118d ago	Long break
Najm Aldar	—	—
Combustion	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.