At The Races App Expert Tips Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Windsor

15:15

Date 2023-10-16

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Winning Time 1m 45.49s (slow by 4.99s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Doha (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	2/1F	Won
2nd	Inspiritus (IRE) Kyle Strydom · Roger Varian	12/1	9
3rd	Bluebottle Blue (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	6/1	.5
4th	Mother Margaret (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Harry & Roger Charlton	9/4	0.2
5th	Realised (GB) George Wood · Harry Eustace	10/1	1.25
6th	Dotties Moon (GB) Liam Keniry · Pat Phelan	200/1	.75
7th	St Just In Time (GB) David Probert · Sir Mark Todd	9/2	1
8th	Artavian (GB) Rob Hornby · Patrick Chamings	100/1	1
9th	Bloom Of Greece (GB) Gina Mangan · Rachel Cook & John Bridger	150/1	2.5
10th	Cathaya (GB) Luke Catton · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	200/1	.5
11th	Fictional (IRE) George Rooke · Richard Hughes	16/1	1.5
12th	Nostromo (GB) William Carson · Roger Teal	200/1	1.25
13th	Sir Cilia (GB) Raul Da Silva · Matt Crawley	80/1	1
14th	Credit Note (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Pat Phelan	250/1	3.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (1)	Doha Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	34	-	91	35	21d	—	—	-19	11.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Solid third over 1m on debut; flopped over 1m2f next time; worth another chance
13 (7)	Mother Margaret Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Richard Kingscote T:Harry & Roger Charlton	128	—	24	-	88	-	133d	—	—	-12	10.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Runner-up at Newbury then posted a lesser effort on AW; possibilities back on turf
6 (14)	St Just In Time Bay J:David Probert T:Sir Mark Todd	J:David Probert T:Sir Mark Todd	133	—	28	-	88	57	136d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Twice raced; better effort when second here on debut; major player on that form
8 (5)	Bluebottle Blue Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
40,000gns yearling; by Zoffany; major yard; looks the pick of the newcomers
14 (2)	Realised Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	128	—	4	-	68	46	19d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.00/1	9 11%
Only a modest fourth over 7f at Redcar but shaped as if 1m will suit
3 (13)	Inspiritus Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Roger Varian	J:Kyle Strydom T:Roger Varian	133	h	6	-	67	-	18d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Seemed to need his Southwell debut experience; open to improvement
2 (9)	Fictional Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	133	—	66	-	71	-	46d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Attracted support last time and is evidently thought capable of better
5 (4)	Sir Cilia Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Matt Crawley	J:Raul Da Silva T:Matt Crawley	133	h	7	-	59	42	161d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Well held here in May for Eve Johnson Houghton
1 (6)	Artavian Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Patrick Chamings	J:Rob Hornby T:Patrick Chamings	133	—	6	-	60	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
May do better with Lingfield debut experience under his belt
4 (3)	Nostromo Bay J:William Carson T:Roger Teal	J:William Carson T:Roger Teal	133	—	78	-	64	14	40d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Has lots to find
7 (8)	Bloom Of Greece Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Ulysses half-sister to four winners; stable not typically noted for debut scorers
12 (12)	Dotties Moon Brown J:Liam Keniry T:Pat Phelan	J:Liam Keniry T:Pat Phelan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Dam was a winner for this stable but has a poor record as a broodmare
10 (10)	Credit Note Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Pat Phelan	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Pat Phelan	128	—	9	-	45	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Achieved little in 1m3f AW event at Kempton
9 (11)	Cathaya Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	128	—	7	-	42	-	24d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Comfortably held in 1m AW event at Kempton

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Doha	9/4	2	2	2/1	13/8
Mother Margaret	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4
St Just In Time	5/1	9/2	9/2	5	5
Bluebottle Blue	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Realised	9	9	9	9	9
Inspiritus	12	11	12	12	12
Fictional	20	16	16	16	16
Sir Cilia	100	80	80	80	80
Artavian	80	80/1	80/1	80	66
Nostromo	200	150	150	150	125
Bloom Of Greece	125	150	150	150	100
Dotties Moon	200	200	200	200	150
Credit Note	250	200	200	250	125
Cathaya	200	200	200	200	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Doha

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 9.4

9/4

2nd

Mother Margaret

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

St Just In Time

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Bluebottle Blue

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Realised

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Inspiritus

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Fictional

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Sir Cilia

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Artavian

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Nostromo

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Bloom Of Greece

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Dotties Moon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Credit Note

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Cathaya

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Doha	—	91	35
Mother Margaret	—	88	—
St Just In Time	—	88	57
Bluebottle Blue	—	—	—
Realised	—	68	46
Inspiritus	—	67	—
Fictional	—	71	—
Sir Cilia	—	59	42
Artavian	—	60	—
Nostromo	—	64	14
Bloom Of Greece	—	—	—
Dotties Moon	—	—	—
Credit Note	—	45	—
Cathaya	—	42	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Artavian	11d ago	Quick return
Credit Note	12d ago	Quick return
Inspiritus	18d ago	Fit
Realised	19d ago	Fit
Doha	21d ago	Fit
Cathaya	24d ago	Fit
Nostromo	40d ago	Fit
Fictional	46d ago	Fresh
Mother Margaret	133d ago	Long break
St Just In Time	136d ago	Long break
Sir Cilia	161d ago	Long break
Bluebottle Blue	—	—
Bloom Of Greece	—	—
Dotties Moon	—	—