Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

16:50

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap

Date 2023-10-16

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,397

Winning Time 1m 1.09s (slow by 3.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Fair Wind (GB) Richard Kingscote · Owen Burrows	13/2	Won
2nd	Antiphon (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	7/2F	1.25
3rd	Sera Dawn (GB) David Probert · Jack Channon	13/2	1.5
4th	Foreseeable Future (FR) Tom Marquand · Ruth Carr	4/1	3.25
5th	Show Me Show Me (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	11/2	0.05
6th	Bama Lama (GB) Morgan Cole · Rod Millman	12/1	1.25
7th	Just Glamorous (IRE) Gina Mangan · Christopher Mason	9/1	0.05
8th	Exquisitely (GB) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	10/1	4.25
9th	Pablo Del Pueblo (IRE) Georgia Dobie · Simon Dow	25/1	2.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Antiphon Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	137	—	473298	77	90	73	33d	—	—	-2	15.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Can lead; C&D winner on soft ground and off this very mark earlier in the year
7 (5)	Foreseeable Future Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ruth Carr	J:Tom Marquand T:Ruth Carr	129	v	112524	69	91	71	20d	—	—	+1	16.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won four times this year and ran up to his best when runner-up at Bath last month
6 (4)	Sera Dawn Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	131	—	443455	71	88	76	21d	—	—	-5	10.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Progress has rather stalled but it wasn't a bad run last time and she's on a decent mark
2 (9)	Fair Wind Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Owen Burrows	J:Richard Kingscote T:Owen Burrows	137	h	321420	77	87	70	27d	—	—	+5	17.9	1.25/1	6 17%
Lightly raced 3yo who is better than he showed last time at Yarmouth
4 (1)	Show Me Show Me Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	v	611900	72	89	75	24d	—	—	+2	13.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Needs to get back on track after three heavy defeats
3 (8)	Just Glamorous Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	135	—	0-1446	75	89	70	44d	—	—	+1	8.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Below par since June's win in a veterans' race and ideally wants faster ground
NR (6)	Mary Of Modena Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Attwater	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Attwater	128	—	135146	68	87	81	26d	—	—	-4	16.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Record of 5-15 on turf and last two wins came on soft ground; below par latest but player
5 (3)	Exquisitely Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	132	—	-30124	72	86	72	26d	—	—	+9	16.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Made a good start for this yard and much respected with conditions no issue
10 (10)	Bama Lama Chestnut J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rod Millman	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rod Millman	116	—	126187	56	86	80	12d	—	—	+3	9.2	3.25/1	14 7%
The return to Windsor is a bonus but she does her winning at a lower level than this
9 (2)	Pablo Del Pueblo Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Simon Dow	128	—	8735U5	68	87	41	20d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.50/1	11 9%
1-11 on turf and 4-21 on the AW; questionable whether he wants soft ground

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Antiphon	4	7/2	4	7/2	7/2
Foreseeable Future	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sera Dawn	5	5	11/2	5	5
Fair Wind	6	5	6	6	5
Show Me Show Me	6	7	13/2	6	6
Just Glamorous	10	10	11	10	10
Mary Of Modena	12	12	11	12	12
Exquisitely	10	9	10	9	9
Bama Lama	12	14	12	12	12
Pablo Del Pueblo	10	11	11	10	10

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fair Wind

17.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Exquisitely

16.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.1 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Foreseeable Future

16.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mary Of Modena

16.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 6

Antiphon

15.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 5

7/2

Show Me Show Me

13.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sera Dawn

10.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Bama Lama

9.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.7

Just Glamorous

8.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Pablo Del Pueblo

6.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Antiphon	77	90	73
Fair Wind	77	87	70
Just Glamorous	75	89	70
Show Me Show Me	72	89	75
Exquisitely	72	86	72
Sera Dawn	71	88	76
Foreseeable Future	69	91	71
Mary Of Modena	68	87	81
Pablo Del Pueblo	68	87	41
Bama Lama	56	86	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bama Lama	12d ago	Quick return
Foreseeable Future	20d ago	Fit
Pablo Del Pueblo	20d ago	Fit
Sera Dawn	21d ago	Fit
Show Me Show Me	24d ago	Fit
Mary Of Modena	26d ago	Fit
Exquisitely	26d ago	Fit
Fair Wind	27d ago	Fit
Antiphon	33d ago	Fit
Just Glamorous	44d ago	Fit