Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Nursery Handicap

Dundalk (AW)

18:15

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €7,375

Winning Time 1m 26.97s (slow by 3.27s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Simplexity (IRE) Colin Keane · G M Lyons	7/1	Won
2nd	House Of Aviz (USA) Seamie Heffernan · A P O'Brien	5/2F	.75
3rd	King Of Gosford (GB) W J Lee · A Oliver	9/2	0.3
4th	McTenett (IRE) Conor Stone-Walsh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	28/1	0.2
5th	Transcending Glory (IRE) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	11/1	0.2
6th	Starliner (IRE) Paddy Harnett · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	5/1	0.2
7th	Alto Sax (IRE) Jack Kearney · G M Lyons	20/1	.5
8th	Harry The Rogue (IRE) Amy Jo Hayes · Andrew Slattery	22/1	.5
9th	Raknah (IRE) Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	11/1	1
10th	Prince X J (IRE) Leigh Roche · M D O'Callaghan	33/1	1.25
11th	What A Squeeze (IRE) Keithen Kennedy · Mrs John Harrington	25/1	.5
12th	State's Evidence (GB) Gary Carroll · G M Lyons	20/1	0.3
13th	Lady Craftsman (IRE) Robbie Colgan · Adrian Murray	66/1	.75
14th	Uncle Albert (IRE) Ronan Whelan · Kieran P Cotter	10/1	4.75

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (17)	Huxley Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:NON-RUNNER T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	138	—	742	85	92	-	66d	—	—	-36	33.8	—	—
Non-runner
9 (2)	King Of Gosford Chestnut J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	129	tp	04571	76	87	80	14d	—	—	+4	21.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Just got up to win a C&D nursery last time; 7lb higher and cheekpieces tried but respected
5 (16)	House Of Aviz Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	133	—	569	80	89	-	26d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two decent Curragh maiden runs but below par on soft last time; this surface should suit
NR (12)	Cuban Confusion Bay J:TBC T:David Marnane	J: T:David Marnane	123	—	0403	70	88	81	14d	—	—	0	11.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Best run when 3rd in a C&D nursery last time; up 2lb but respected; reserve
7 (4)	Simplexity Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	131	b	405	78	86	-	68d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.25/1	6 17%
Promise on debut but didn't go on from that; looks stable selected on nursery debut
2 (13)	Starliner b/br J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	137	—	33217	84	91	-	6d	—	—	+12	22.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Off the mark in Listowel maiden but poor in Newmarket Group 3 since; yard second-string
13 (7)	Uncle Albert Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Ronan Whelan T:Kieran P Cotter	126	—	570234	73	87	-	16d	—	—	+5	12.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Solid runs in defeat in three nursery runs; chance again if handling this surface
6 (9)	Raknah Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	131	—	5630	78	90	74	27d	—	—	-3	14.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Was 3rd in a 1m AW maiden in UK; below that in Goffs Million but a player in this grade
8 (11)	What A Squeeze Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(10) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Keithen Kennedy(10) T:Mrs John Harrington	131	—	48420	78	87	-	27d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Best run when 2nd in a Curragh nursery; below that form in Goffs Million last time
NR (3)	Masonbrook Meadow Bay J:TBC T:Daniel James Murphy	J: T:Daniel James Murphy	124	—	5095	71	85	77	14d	—	—	-3	8.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Solid run in a C&D nursery last time off this mark; cheekpieces worn then removed; reserve
R15 (15)	Harry The Rogue Bay J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	124	—	52354	71	86	46	7d	—	—	+4	9.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Some solid runs in defeat incl' in a C&D maiden last time; chance if getting in; reserve
3 (8)	Mctenett Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	135	—	416	82	83	-	44d	—	—	+11	16.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Naas 6f maiden winner disappointed in a Cork novice since; needs best up in trip
11 (6)	Alto Sax Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:G M Lyons	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:G M Lyons	127	—	075	74	85	-	44d	—	—	+3	7.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Best run when 5th in a Gowran maiden last time; chance on nursery debut
4 (1)	Prince X J Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D Ocallaghan	134	—	971080	81	86	-	61d	—	—	+9	11.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Won a 6f Fairyhouse maiden but below that since and gelded; needs to resume progress
10 (14)	States Evidence Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	129	t	3468	76	87	-	55d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Promising debut 3rd but has regressed since and was poor on nursery debut last time
14 (5)	Transcending Glory Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	125	p	050	72	83	-	61d	—	—	0	7.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Mild promise in three maiden runs over 6f; cheekpieces on for nursery bow; check market
12 (10)	Lady Craftsman gr/b J:Robbie Colgan T:Adrian Murray	J:Robbie Colgan T:Adrian Murray	127	—	5160	74	81	-	13d	—	—	+9	11.9	16.25/1	66 2%
Bellewstown maiden winner over 1m outclassed in Group 3 races since; chance on AW debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Huxley	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
King Of Gosford	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
House Of Aviz	6	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cuban Confusion	8	8	9	8	8
Simplexity	6	5	5	5	5
Starliner	8	7	15/2	7	15/2
Uncle Albert	14	10	11	11/1	11
Raknah	9/2	11/2	6	7/2	7
What A Squeeze	14	12	14	12	16
Masonbrook Meadow	11	20	20	20	20
Harry The Rogue	16	16	14	12	16
Mctenett	16	16	16	16	16
Alto Sax	25	22	20	22	25
Prince X J	50	33	28	33	33
States Evidence	14	14	14	14	14
Transcending Glory	10	11	11	11	11
Lady Craftsman	66	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Huxley

33.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Starliner

22.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 11 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

King Of Gosford

21.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Mctenett

16.4

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Raknah

14.1

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

Uncle Albert

12.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.2

What A Squeeze

12.2

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

House Of Aviz

11.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Lady Craftsman

11.9

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

Prince X J

11.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Simplexity

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Cuban Confusion

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.2

Harry The Rogue

9.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

States Evidence

9.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

Masonbrook Meadow

8.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Transcending Glory

7.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Alto Sax

7.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Huxley	85	92	—
Starliner	84	91	—
Mctenett	82	83	—
Prince X J	81	86	—
House Of Aviz	80	89	—
Simplexity	78	86	—
Raknah	78	90	74
What A Squeeze	78	87	—
King Of Gosford	76	87	80
States Evidence	76	87	—
Alto Sax	74	85	—
Lady Craftsman	74	81	—
Uncle Albert	73	87	—
Transcending Glory	72	83	—
Masonbrook Meadow	71	85	77
Harry The Rogue	71	86	46
Cuban Confusion	70	88	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Starliner	6d ago	Quick return
Harry The Rogue	7d ago	Quick return
Lady Craftsman	13d ago	Quick return
King Of Gosford	14d ago	Fit
Cuban Confusion	14d ago	Fit
Masonbrook Meadow	14d ago	Fit
Uncle Albert	16d ago	Fit
House Of Aviz	26d ago	Fit
Raknah	27d ago	Fit
What A Squeeze	27d ago	Fit
Mctenett	44d ago	Fit
Alto Sax	44d ago	Fit
States Evidence	55d ago	Fresh
Prince X J	61d ago	Fresh
Transcending Glory	61d ago	Fresh
Huxley	66d ago	Fresh
Simplexity	68d ago	Fresh