Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:30

Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-10-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (9)	Lezardrieux Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	132	—	480000	57	69	-	43d	—	—	-12	7.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Big chance on spring form but badly out of sorts more recently
10 (4)	Kraken Power Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	—	557308	55	76	61	17d	—	—	-9	7.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Placed off 3lb higher on latest AW run; below par at Ayr twice since; likely reviver
1 (1)	Noteable Chestnut J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	135	—	470522	60	75	60	10d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
16-race maiden but banging at the door in recent starts; one to consider
12 (7)	The Gay Blade Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Iain Jardine	J:Dougie Costello T:Iain Jardine	129	h	152323	54	73	-	8d	—	—	+2	13.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In good form on turf this summer and may prove as effective on AW in time; respected
6 (6)	Lily In The Jungle Chestnut J:Ben Curtis T:Philip Kirby	J:Ben Curtis T:Philip Kirby	133	p	029985	59	71	35	14d	—	—	-5	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lower mark on AW and latest C&D run was more encouraging; not discounted
8 (11)	Muddy Lynn Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	132	—	136658	57	74	54	7d	—	—	-6	5.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Impressed over C&D in June; not kicked on but still not fully exposed on AW
2 (2)	One Of Our Own Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paddy Mathers T:Rebecca Menzies	134	p	336714	60	70	-	43d	—	—	+5	12.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Beat 17 rivals to win at Redcar in August; fair fourth at Carlisle since; effective on AW
4 (5)	Yaahobby Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	tp	321889	58	73	62	17d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Three Tapeta wins at Wolverhampton; effective over C&D; had an excuse last time
5 (8)	Written Broadcast Grey J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Ollie Pears	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Ollie Pears	133	—	631388	58	74	54	14d	—	—	+3	8.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Three 7f wins on Tapeta this year but held over C&D last time & looks vulnerable once more
11 (3)	One Last Hug Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Jim Goldie	129	—	347066	54	73	-	18d	—	—	-2	2.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Three Ayr wins this year but mixed record of late and others look stronger this time
7 (12)	Shabaaby Brown J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ewan Whillans	132	p	039760	57	68	36	113d	—	—	0	3.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Only one run of note for current yard and others look more persuasive
3 (10)	Shotley Royale Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	5570	60	69	14	14d	—	—	+1	3.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Yet to build on his debut, including when well held over C&D on recent h'cap debut (100-1)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lezardrieux	3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Kraken Power	9/2	4	7/2	4	4
Noteable	6	6	5	11/2	11/2
The Gay Blade	11/2	6	11/2	6	6
Lily In The Jungle	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Muddy Lynn	15/2	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
One Of Our Own	12	10	10	10	11
Yaahobby	22	20	22	22	22
Written Broadcast	22	14	16	16	16
One Last Hug	18	22	22/1	20	22
Shabaaby	50	50	33	28	40
Shotley Royale	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Noteable

14.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

The Gay Blade

13.8

OR: 1 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

One Of Our Own

12.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.1

Written Broadcast

8.8

OR: 2 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.7

Kraken Power

7.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Lezardrieux

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Yaahobby

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 4 Odds: 1.2

Lily In The Jungle

6.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Muddy Lynn

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Shabaaby

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Shotley Royale

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

One Last Hug

2.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Noteable	60	75	60
One Of Our Own	60	70	—
Shotley Royale	60	69	14
Lily In The Jungle	59	71	35
Yaahobby	58	73	62
Written Broadcast	58	74	54
Lezardrieux	57	69	—
Muddy Lynn	57	74	54
Shabaaby	57	68	36
Kraken Power	55	76	61
The Gay Blade	54	73	—
One Last Hug	54	73	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Muddy Lynn	7d ago	Quick return
The Gay Blade	8d ago	Quick return
Noteable	10d ago	Quick return
Lily In The Jungle	14d ago	Fit
Written Broadcast	14d ago	Fit
Shotley Royale	14d ago	Fit
Kraken Power	17d ago	Fit
Yaahobby	17d ago	Fit
One Last Hug	18d ago	Fit
Lezardrieux	43d ago	Fit
One Of Our Own	43d ago	Fit
Shabaaby	113d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.