British Stallion Studs EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Newton Abbot

14:15

Date 2023-10-21

Distance 2m167y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £4,955

Winning Time 4m 23.47s (slow by 37.47s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Farnoge (GB) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	5/6F	Won
2nd	Flying Fortune (IRE) James Bowen · Peter Bowen	5/2	3
3rd	No Mean Feat (IRE) Charlie Deutsch · Alexandra Dunn	80/1	19
4th	Atreides (IRE) James Best · Neil Mulholland	50/1	4.75
5th	Hour Star (GB) Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	66/1	3.5
6th	Spinnaker Blue (GB) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	7/1	7.5
7th	Grumpy Rosie (GB) Bryan Carver · Chris Honour	66/1	6
8th	Jasmin De Grugy (FR) Richie McLernon · Anthony Honeyball	10/1	3.75
9th	Zufal (GB) Bryony Frost · Jimmy Frost	50/1	2.25
10th	Great Threat (FR) Isabel Williams · Evan Williams	20/1	51

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Farnoge Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	2/1-	-	-	-	217d	—	—	-22	32.2	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Bumper winner who looks to have a very bright future for his top trainer
9	Flying Fortune Brown J:James Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:James Bowen T:Peter Bowen	146	—	341-16	-	122	75	22d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.50/1	3 33%
Two-time bumper winner; open to improvement in jumping department on second hurdle start
8	Spinnaker Blue Grey J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	147	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Pedigree catches the eye and she's in top hands; no surprise to see a good run on debut
6	Jasmin De Grugy Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Richie McLernon T:Anthony Honeyball	153	—	FU4-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Ex-pointer; improvement needed on rules debut but trainer among winners; watch the betting
4	Great Threat Bay J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	153	—	67P-3	-	-	-	112d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Showed ability over hurdles/fences in France; each-way possible on British debut
3	Zufal Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	154	—	0/P-4	-	116	44	157d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Left previous form miles behind when fourth over C&D in May; each-way contender
1	Atreides b/br J:James Best T:Neil Mulholland	J:James Best T:Neil Mulholland	154	t	P-P366	-	115	78	105d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Promising third on hurdle debut in June but failed to shine the next twice; stable debut
10	Grumpy Rosie Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	146	—	2758-	-	68	-	183d	—	—	0	2.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Tailed off on her three hurdle starts and she's hard to fancy
5	Hour Star Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	153	—	29-	-	-	-	194d	—	—	+2	4.1	19.75/1	80 1%
Close second on bumper debut then well beaten next time; others are more compelling
7	No Mean Feat Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Alexandra Dunn	153	t	P-07	-	102	61	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Soundly beaten on both hurdle starts and it's probably best to look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Farnoge	8/11	4/5	5/6	5/6	8/11
Flying Fortune	3	3	3	3	3
Spinnaker Blue	15/2	7	7	7	15/2
Jasmin De Grugy	11	11	12	11	11
Great Threat	14	16	16	16	16
Zufal	28	25	28	28	28
Atreides	22	22	22	22	28
Grumpy Rosie	50	40	40	40	40
Hour Star	80	50	50	50	50
No Mean Feat	150	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Farnoge

32.2

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 18.7

5/6

2nd

Flying Fortune

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3rd

Great Threat

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Hour Star

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

Spinnaker Blue

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Grumpy Rosie

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

Jasmin De Grugy

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Atreides

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Zufal

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

No Mean Feat

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Farnoge	—	—	—
Flying Fortune	—	122	75
Spinnaker Blue	—	—	—
Jasmin De Grugy	—	—	—
Great Threat	—	—	—
Zufal	—	116	44
Atreides	—	115	78
Grumpy Rosie	—	68	—
Hour Star	—	—	—
No Mean Feat	—	102	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No Mean Feat	19d ago	Fit
Flying Fortune	22d ago	Fit
Atreides	105d ago	Long break
Great Threat	112d ago	Long break
Zufal	157d ago	Long break
Grumpy Rosie	183d ago	Long break
Hour Star	194d ago	Long break
Farnoge	217d ago	Long break
Spinnaker Blue	—	—
Jasmin De Grugy	—	—