Huizhou Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

19:10

Huizhou Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2023-10-29

Distance 1m55y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £69,776

Winning Time 1m 40.21s (slow by 2.21s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Durham Star (AUS) Zac Purton · Douglas Whyte	43/10	Won
2nd	Dragon Star (AUS) Karis Teetan · P C Ng	56/10	1.5
3rd	Red Hare King (AUS) M L Yeung · A S Cruz	12/1	1
4th	Packing Succeeder (NZ) Lyle Hewitson · T P Yung	23/10F	0.05
5th	Concerto (AUS) L J Ferraris · Jimmy Ting	12/1	1.75
6th	Ninja Derby (NZ) K De Melo · David A Hayes	98/1	.75
7th	Management Folks (IRE) Brenton Avdulla · D J Hall	12/1	1.75
8th	Little Fairy (AUS) Andrea Atzeni · P F Yiu	44/5	0.05
9th	Golden Bull (NZ) Matthew Chadwick · C S Shum	26/5	1.5
10th	Righteous Doctrine (FR) K C Leung · C W Chang	46/1	0.05
11th	Chateau (IRE) Alexis Badel · J Size	23/1	0.05
12th	Horse Of Good Luck (AUS) Matthew Poon · C H Yip	60/1	7

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Chrysos b/br J:TBC T:C Fownes	J: T:C Fownes	135	tb	010908	60	74	-	25d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Struggled in higher grade after C&D win; one to consider at this level if getting a run
R14 (14)	Legion Of Merit Grey J:TBC T:W Y So	J: T:W Y So	125	tb	139006	50	78	-	25d	—	—	—	0.6	—	—
Dual C&D winner; can strip fitter for return and weighted to go well if making the line-up
1 (5)	Chateau Chestnut J:Alexis Badel T:J Size	J:Alexis Badel T:J Size	132	b	009090	57	77	-	18d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
Listed 6f 2yo winner in Britain; yet to threaten locally and takes a big step up in trip
2 (6)	Red Hare King Bay J:M L Yeung T:A S Cruz	J:M L Yeung T:A S Cruz	132	t	154088	57	79	-	18d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
7f Sha Tin winner in April; unexposed over 1m but others have stronger claims
3 (3)	Packing Succeeder Bay J:L Hewitson T:T P Yung	J:L Hewitson T:T P Yung	131	—	297069	56	81	-	105d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Relishes this C&D and looks well treated; leading claims if ready to go on reappearance
4 (10)	Concerto Chestnut J:L J Ferraris T:Jimmy Ting	J:L J Ferraris T:Jimmy Ting	129	t	-85115	54	72	-	32d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Handicapper could be in charge after two recent wins; still considered in current mood
5 (4)	Golden Bull Brown J:Matthew Chadwick T:C S Shum	J:Matthew Chadwick T:C S Shum	128	t	230645	53	80	-	28d	—	—	—	1.4	—	—
Consistent maiden and should be suited by the step up in trip; minor place hopes at least
6 (1)	Ninja Derby Bay J:K De Melo T:David A Hayes	J:K De Melo T:David A Hayes	127	h	-00800	52	63	-	25d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Yet to land a blow in five runs; up in trip and may need more help from the handicapper
7 (9)	Righteous Doctrine Bay J:K C Leung T:C W Chang	J:K C Leung T:C W Chang	127	b	456365	52	80	-	35d	—	—	—	2	—	—
More than capable off current mark and can improve since reappearance run; considered
8 (2)	Durham Star Bay J:Zac Purton T:Douglas Whyte	J:Zac Purton T:Douglas Whyte	126	—	662244	51	82	-	25d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Twice a winner here over 6f; knocking on the door over this trip and looks the one to beat
9 (7)	Management Folks Brown J:Brenton Avdulla T:D J Hall	J:Brenton Avdulla T:D J Hall	126	—	523313	51	71	-	115d	0W/1P 1 run	—	—	13.7	—	—
Won here over 1m1f; this mark looks within range and he's hard to ignore in current mood
10 (8)	Horse Of Good Luck Bay J:Matthew Poon(2) T:C H Yip	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:C H Yip	124	htb	00	49	67	-	28d	—	—	—	0	—	—
More encouragement last month and has scope for improvement this season; not discounted
11 (12)	Little Fairy Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:P F Yiu	J:Andrea Atzeni T:P F Yiu	123	tb	8955	48	74	-	25d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Unexposed and caught the eye over C&D latest; however, has the widest draw to contend with
12 (11)	Dragon Star Chestnut J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	117	v	586233	42	77	-	18d	—	—	—	7.6	—	—
Threatened to score in each of his last three starts; draw not ideal; still respected

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Management Folks

13.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 13.4 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Concerto

OR: 1 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Dragon Star

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 7.6 Odds: 0

—

Chrysos

4.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Durham Star

4.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0

—

Righteous Doctrine

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Chateau

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Red Hare King

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Packing Succeeder

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Golden Bull

1.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Legion Of Merit

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Ninja Derby

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Horse Of Good Luck

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Little Fairy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chrysos	60	74	—
Chateau	57	77	—
Red Hare King	57	79	—
Packing Succeeder	56	81	—
Concerto	54	72	—
Golden Bull	53	80	—
Ninja Derby	52	63	—
Righteous Doctrine	52	80	—
Durham Star	51	82	—
Management Folks	51	71	—
Legion Of Merit	50	78	—
Horse Of Good Luck	49	67	—
Little Fairy	48	74	—
Dragon Star	42	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chateau	18d ago	Fit
Red Hare King	18d ago	Fit
Dragon Star	18d ago	Fit
Chrysos	25d ago	Fit
Legion Of Merit	25d ago	Fit
Ninja Derby	25d ago	Fit
Durham Star	25d ago	Fit
Little Fairy	25d ago	Fit
Golden Bull	28d ago	Fit
Horse Of Good Luck	28d ago	Fit
Concerto	32d ago	Fit
Righteous Doctrine	35d ago	Fit
Packing Succeeder	105d ago	Long break
Management Folks	115d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.