Guangzhou Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

17:15

Guangzhou Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2023-10-29

Distance 1m3f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £122,258

Winning Time 2m 17.04s (fast by 0.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Turin Mascot (IRE) Zac Purton · P C Ng	7/5F	Won
2nd	Majestic Victory (AUS) Angus Chung · A S Cruz	61/10	0.05
3rd	Natural Storm (NZ) Karis Teetan · P F Yiu	16/5	2.75
4th	Packing Hurricane (GB) Harry Bentley · C Fownes	76/10	2
5th	Total Power (AUS) Matthew Poon · D J Hall	9/1	0.05
6th	S J Tourbillon (IRE) K De Melo · Douglas Whyte	10/1	0.05
7th	Young Brilliant (GB) Andrea Atzeni · C H Yip	18/1	.75
8th	Super Hong Kong (AUS) Matthew Chadwick · K L Man	12/1	.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Natural Storm Bay J:Karis Teetan T:P F Yiu	J:Karis Teetan T:P F Yiu	135	b	138094	80	107	-	32d	—	—	—	8.1	—	—
Posted a creditable effort over 1m1f latest; likely to be seen to better effect over 1m3f
2 (4)	Packing Hurricane Bay J:Harry Bentley T:C Fownes	J:Harry Bentley T:C Fownes	129	t	111460	74	93	-	14d	—	—	—	11	—	—
Modest in two starts this term but does now step back up in trip; capable of bouncing back
3 (3)	S J Tourbillon Bay J:K De Melo T:Douglas Whyte	J:K De Melo T:Douglas Whyte	125	tp	631880	70	95	-	14d	—	—	—	8.6	—	—
Well handicapped based on older form but yet to get involved in two starts this term
4 (2)	Turin Mascot Grey J:Zac Purton T:P C Ng	J:Zac Purton T:P C Ng	125	t	075315	70	95	-	32d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Fifth when well supported off his elevated mark last month; should be sharper this time
5 (1)	Majestic Victory Bay J:Angus Chung(7) T:A S Cruz	J:Angus Chung(7) T:A S Cruz	124	t	240416	69	94	-	14d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
Largely consistent 7yo; wasn't beaten all that far off his revised rating two weeks ago
6 (7)	Young Brilliant Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:C H Yip	J:Andrea Atzeni T:C H Yip	122	—	761077	67	92	-	14d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Made local breakthrough in June; modest in two starts this season and now steps up in trip
7 (6)	Super Hong Kong Brown J:Matthew Chadwick T:K L Man	J:Matthew Chadwick T:K L Man	116	tb	422140	60	91	-	28d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	10	—	—
Was in good form for Tony Millard but appeared to go backwards on his recent stable debut
8 (8)	Total Power Bay J:Matthew Poon(2) T:D J Hall	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:D J Hall	116	b	334278	60	101	-	14d	—	—	—	5.6	—	—
Found 7f/1m1f too sharp in his first two starts this term; now back at his preferred trip

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Turin Mascot

13.5

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Majestic Victory

11.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Packing Hurricane

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Super Hong Kong

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0

—

S J Tourbillon

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0

—

Natural Storm

8.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Young Brilliant

7.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Total Power

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natural Storm	80	107	—
Packing Hurricane	74	93	—
S J Tourbillon	70	95	—
Turin Mascot	70	95	—
Majestic Victory	69	94	—
Young Brilliant	67	92	—
Super Hong Kong	60	91	—
Total Power	60	101	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Packing Hurricane	14d ago	Fit
S J Tourbillon	14d ago	Fit
Majestic Victory	14d ago	Fit
Young Brilliant	14d ago	Fit
Total Power	14d ago	Fit
Super Hong Kong	28d ago	Fit
Natural Storm	32d ago	Fit
Turin Mascot	32d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m3f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.