BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:45

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2023-10-31

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 12.89s (slow by 2.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Snash (IRE) Jack Garritty · Tim Easterby	11/5F	Won
2nd	Bella Kopella (IRE) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	7/1	.75
3rd	Misty Blues (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	20/1	0.2
4th	Carlton And Co (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	100/30	.75
5th	Asadjumeirah (GB) Harry Russell · Antony Brittain	6/1	.5
6th	Astapor (GB) Callum Hutchinson · John David Riches	66/1	0.1
7th	Water Of Leith (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	5/1	1.5
8th	Ignac Lamar (IRE) Robert Havlin · Jim Goldie	25/1	2.25
9th	Daytona Lady (IRE) Luke Morris · Ruth Carr	33/1	0.3
10th	Athollblair Boy (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	28/1	2
11th	Thaki (IRE) Sam James · Katie Scott	16/1	.75
12th	Invested (IRE) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	66/1	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (7)	Carlton And Co Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	617554	63	78	46	32d	—	—	-7	10.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
7f winner here in August; mixed since and needs the return to 6f to spark something extra
3 (3)	Snash Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Tim Easterby	J:Jack Garritty T:Tim Easterby	138	p	400579	68	76	48	47d	—	—	-9	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
On a lowly mark but hopes rest on today's drop in class perking him up; 2-3 on AW
4 (4)	Asadjumeirah Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	137	tv	256407	67	77	12	32d	—	—	-8	9.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Conditions to suit but he's on a losing run and his yard have been quiet; others safer
12 (8)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	129	—	570466	59	77	49	10d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-7	5.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D win one year ago off 15lb higher; 0-11 this year but retains ability; not ruled out
11 (9)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	131	t	319375	62	81	69	25d	—	—	-4	10.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two course wins over 7f; 5f turf winner; promising run in a race that's working out latest
1 (6)	Thaki Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	139	t	167108	69	79	-	60d	—	—	+4	11.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Conditions to suit and he's won twice on turf for his new yard; not at best the last twice
2 (12)	Misty Blues Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	139	—	5-6007	70	73	-	32d	—	—	+1	6.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Useful 2yo but it's been a real struggle this year; accessories left off today; risky
9 (2)	Ignac Lamar Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Jim Goldie	J:Robert Havlin T:Jim Goldie	133	—	257300	64	77	70	19d	—	—	+2	6.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Two 6f wins on Tapeta for Rod Millman; tailed off on heavy (7f) on recent stable debut
5 (5)	Athollblair Boy Chestnut J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	136	—	185159	66	76	56	150d	—	—	+6	10.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three C&D wins last winter; likely to come on for this first outing in five months
6 (10)	Daytona Lady Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	135	—	570057	66	76	59	112d	—	—	+1	5.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Two AW wins for other yards; sold for 3,500gns in July; risks attached on stable debut
7 (11)	Invested Chestnut J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	135	—	131680	66	77	57	11d	—	—	+5	8.4	12.25/1	50 2%
No show in two runs for this yard (7f) but on a reduced mark; check betting
8 (1)	Astapor Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:John David Riches	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:John David Riches	134	—	213196	64	78	-	71d	—	—	+9	12.4	12.25/1	50 2%
Four 5f wins this year but disappointing the last twice; something to prove on AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Carlton And Co	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Snash	7/2	4	4	4	4
Asadjumeirah	9/2	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2
Water Of Leith	6	11/2	11/2	6	6
Bella Kopella	6	11/2	5	11/2	9/2
Thaki	12	11	12	12	11/1
Misty Blues	20	18	18	18	16
Ignac Lamar	20	18	16	18	18
Athollblair Boy	25	25	22	25	28/1
Daytona Lady	28	25	25	25	28/1
Invested	50	40	40	40	40
Astapor	50	40	40	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Astapor

12.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1

2nd

Thaki

11.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Carlton And Co

10.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 2 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bella Kopella

10.5

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Snash

10.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Athollblair Boy

10.1

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Asadjumeirah

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Invested

8.4

OR: 4 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.8

Misty Blues

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ignac Lamar

6.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

Water Of Leith

5.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Daytona Lady

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Misty Blues	70	73	—
Thaki	69	79	—
Snash	68	76	48
Asadjumeirah	67	77	12
Athollblair Boy	66	76	56
Daytona Lady	66	76	59
Invested	66	77	57
Ignac Lamar	64	77	70
Astapor	64	78	—
Carlton And Co	63	78	46
Bella Kopella	62	81	69
Water Of Leith	59	77	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Water Of Leith	10d ago	Quick return
Invested	11d ago	Quick return
Ignac Lamar	19d ago	Fit
Bella Kopella	25d ago	Fit
Carlton And Co	32d ago	Fit
Asadjumeirah	32d ago	Fit
Misty Blues	32d ago	Fit
Snash	47d ago	Fresh
Thaki	60d ago	Fresh
Astapor	71d ago	Fresh
Daytona Lady	112d ago	Long break
Athollblair Boy	150d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Snash	Prominent
Asadjumeirah	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.