Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

8:15

Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-10-31

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (8)	Sydney Bay b J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	134	p	69-001	51	68	57	14d	—	—	-23	10.9	15/8 35%
Hampered early but just prevailed over C&D on debut for new yard; still well treated
4 (1)	Blackcurrent b J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	133	p	873212	50	64	56	32d	—	—	+7	18.7	7/1 13%
Useful AW strike-rate; five course wins, the latest over C&D in September; solid chance
11 (11)	Fighting Chance ch J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Simon West	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Simon West	129	p	078734	46	63	48	1d	—	—	-6	5.2	7/1 13%
First sign of ability when close 3rd over C&D this month; close 4th here last night
7 (12)	Lupset Flossy Pop b J:Kevin Stott T:Phillip Makin	J:Kevin Stott T:Phillip Makin	133	p	753565	51	66	53	18d	—	—	-6	3.8	17/2 11%
C&D winner off 13lb higher last autumn; not clear run latest but looked in fair form
5 (10)	Brother Dave ch J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	133	—	7094	51	61	29	18d	—	—	-5	2.2	12/1 8%
Promising handicap debut over C&D after a break; scope for improvement; can be involved
1 (3)	Flavius Titus ch J:Graham Lee T:Danny Brooke	J:Graham Lee T:Danny Brooke	135	b	124257	52	64	52	7d	—	—	0	5.4	16 6%
Sole AW win in 2017; often spoils chance with slow starts; first run here for 2 years
10 (9)	Tathmeen b J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	131	p	950844	48	59	50	14d	—	—	-5	1.9	16 6%
Seven course wins, most recently in February; not at full strength in recent AW starts
12 (5)	Kasino b J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	128	p	676072	46	67	57	14d	—	—	0	6.7	16 6%
C&D winner as 2yo; taken a while to find form in 2023; close 2nd to Sydney Bay latest
NR (6)	Eyes b J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	131	p	435471	48	64	50	14d	—	—	-4	16.5	14 7%
Often slowly away; good record over 7f and 6f here this year and C&D winner latest
3 (7)	Cuban Rock ch J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	h	786659	52	62	39	15d	—	—	-5	2.7	25 4%
Has form from 5f-1m; 0-2 on AW but seems to handle Tapeta; needs best form to figure
6 (4)	Churchill Bay b J:Tom Eaves T:Ronald Thompson	J:Tom Eaves T:Ronald Thompson	133	t	090809	50	58	40	50d	—	—	-15	6.2	9/2 18%
Maiden; big weights chance on C&D form in March but not in the same form since
8 (2)	Mai Alward gr J:Billy Garritty T:Tristan Davidson	J:Billy Garritty T:Tristan Davidson	132	b	003600	50	65	51	43d	—	—	-1	1.7	50/1 2%
Dropped down weights; good 7f run here in August; not looked one to side with since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sydney Bay	13/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Blackcurrent	11/2	6	13/2	6	7/1
Fighting Chance	7	13/2	7/1	13/2	7
Lupset Flossy Pop	8	7	15/2	15/2	17/2
Brother Dave	11	10	11/1	10	12/1
Flavius Titus	16	14	14	14	16
Tathmeen	14	12	12	12	16
Kasino	16	14	14	14	16
Eyes	14	12	11	11	11
Cuban Rock	25	20	22/1	20	25
Churchill Bay	9/2	4/1	11/4	9/2	7/2
Mai Alward	50	50/1	40/1	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blackcurrent

18.7

OR: 0 Form: 15.4 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Eyes

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5.9

3rd

Sydney Bay

10.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

15/8

Kasino

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Churchill Bay

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

9/2

Flavius Titus

5.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Fighting Chance

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Lupset Flossy Pop

3.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Cuban Rock

2.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Brother Dave

2.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Tathmeen

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Mai Alward

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flavius Titus Top Rated	52	64	52
Cuban Rock	52	62	39
Sydney Bay	51	68	57
Lupset Flossy Pop	51	66	53
Brother Dave	51	61	29
Blackcurrent	50	64	56
Churchill Bay	50	58	40
Mai Alward	50	65	51
Tathmeen	48	59	50
Eyes	48	64	50
Fighting Chance	46	63	48
Kasino	46	67	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fighting Chance	1d ago	Quick return
Flavius Titus	7d ago	Quick return
Sydney Bay	14d ago	Fit
Tathmeen	14d ago	Fit
Kasino	14d ago	Fit
Eyes	14d ago	Fit
Cuban Rock	15d ago	Fit
Lupset Flossy Pop	18d ago	Fit
Brother Dave	18d ago	Fit
Blackcurrent	32d ago	Fit
Mai Alward	43d ago	Fit
Churchill Bay	50d ago	Fresh