Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Date 2023-10-31

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 42.52s (slow by 5.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dolce Courage (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	7/4	Won
2nd	Leadman (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	8/15F	.5
3rd	Delta Legend (IRE) Rowan Scott · Jane Chapple-Hyam	80/1	8
4th	Darkzideofthemoon (IRE) Luke Morris · John Butler	80/1	.5
5th	Nashid (IRE) Jack Garritty · Antony Brittain	125/1	0.1
6th	Eternal Sunshine (GB) Joanna Mason · Jim Goldie	250/1	.5
7th	Very Classy (GB) Harry Russell · Geoff Oldroyd	50/1	5.5
8th	Pleasure Vampire (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	200/1	.5
9th	Muddy Marvellous (GB) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	200/1	10

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Leadman Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	22-	-	102	-	445d	—	—	-25	26.4	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Classy juvenile form at 7f; looks sure to stay 1m but has been off since last August
1 (11)	Dolce Courage Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	137	t	1	-	92	16	21d	—	—	-13	20.7	0.38/1	6/4 40%
160,000gns yearling; highly promising 7f debut at Southwell when leading near line
2 (5)	Crown Board Bay J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.75/1	8 13%
180,000gns yearling; likely type on pedigree; yard 6-24 here; worth market check
11 (6)	Very Classy Bay J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	5.25/1	22 5%
Trip looks about right on pedigree but likely to need this debut experience
4 (3)	Delta Legend Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Rowan Scott T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	94	-	72	34	31d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Modest form at 1m2f (AW) and 1m4f (turf) for both yards; handicaps more likely
3 (4)	Darkzideofthemoon Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	130	—	6	-	61	-	34d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
66-1, made low-key start when remote 6th in 7f Redcar maiden last month
10 (1)	Pleasure Vampire Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	125	—	65	-	50	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Big prices and no impact in either start so far, at about 7f and 1m
7 (7)	Nashid Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Antony Brittain	J:Jack Garritty T:Antony Brittain	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Out of 1m2f Polytrack winner; nice enough pedigree but this looks a tough debut
6 (9)	Muddy Marvellous Chestnut J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
Out of winning Fibresand sprinter; not sure to want 1m on pedigree; likely best watched
8 (8)	Eternal Sunshine Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	125	—	46	-	35	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
Moderate form at 5f and 1m4f; handicaps surely her best option after this
9 (10)	Miss Motivator Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Several winning siblings but enough speed in pedigree to hesitate over 1m on debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Leadman	4/6	4/6	4/6	4/6	4/6
Dolce Courage	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Crown Board	8	7	7	7	7
Very Classy	20	22	22	22	22
Delta Legend	66	40	33	33	33
Darkzideofthemoon	100	100	80	50	80
Pleasure Vampire	200	150	200	200	200
Nashid	200	150	200	200	200
Muddy Marvellous	250	200	200	200	200
Eternal Sunshine	250	200	200	200	200
Miss Motivator	100	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Leadman

26.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 17.9

4/6

2nd

Dolce Courage

20.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 10.7

6/4

3rd

Crown Board

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Very Classy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Delta Legend

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Darkzideofthemoon

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Pleasure Vampire

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Nashid

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Muddy Marvellous

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Eternal Sunshine

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Miss Motivator

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Leadman	—	102	—
Dolce Courage	—	92	16
Crown Board	—	—	—
Very Classy	—	—	—
Delta Legend	—	72	34
Darkzideofthemoon	—	61	—
Pleasure Vampire	—	50	—
Nashid	—	—	—
Muddy Marvellous	—	—	—
Eternal Sunshine	—	35	—
Miss Motivator	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pleasure Vampire	11d ago	Quick return
Eternal Sunshine	15d ago	Fit
Dolce Courage	21d ago	Fit
Delta Legend	31d ago	Fit
Darkzideofthemoon	34d ago	Fit
Leadman	445d ago	Long break
Crown Board	—	—
Very Classy	—	—
Nashid	—	—
Muddy Marvellous	—	—
Miss Motivator	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.