Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

14:35

Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 3m 36.15s (slow by 13.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Black Kalanisi (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	100/30F	Won
2nd	Coquelicot (FR) David Probert · Anthony Honeyball	13/2	4.5
3rd	Dreams Adozen (FR) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	7/2	8.5
4th	Havaila (IRE) Rob Hornby · Milton Harris	5/1	9.5
5th	September Power (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Michael Wigham	22/1	3.75
6th	Paricolor (FR) Cieren Fallon · David Pipe	20/1	5
7th	Haveyoumissedme (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Iain Jardine	10/1	6
8th	Land Of Winter (FR) Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	14/1	12
9th	Clansman (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey	5/1	19

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (2)	Dreams Adozen Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	129	v	122136	79	90	73	9d	—	—	+3	22.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Sixth of seven at Kempton (AW) nine days ago when attempting 2m for the first time
10 (3)	Clansman Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	126	—	400213	69	89	58	22d	—	—	+6	21.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Raced too freely when he attempted 2m; in-form candidate after 1m7f and 1m5f runs at Ayr
8 (10)	Havaila Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Milton Harris	J:Rob Hornby T:Milton Harris	132	—	36-264	75	92	82	19d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
130 days off before his recent outing when he might have needed the run but was favourite
7 (9)	Black Kalanisi Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	132	p	2-5231	75	88	71	25d	—	—	+1	13.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Pontefract win latest; usually thereabouts; there are more doubts over most of the others
6 (8)	Coquelicot b/br J:David Probert T:Anthony Honeyball	J:David Probert T:Anthony Honeyball	136	t	4-4124	79	88	57	175d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Off since May; blinkers removed; needs better still but there's no doubt over her stamina
3 (7)	Land Of Winter Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	138	—	510990	81	89	73	20d	—	—	+2	12.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won four-runner race at Beverley (2m, soft) in July but out of form since
1 (6)	Haveyoumissedme Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Iain Jardine	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Iain Jardine	142	—	2381-8	85	88	44	20d	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Mostly ran well last season but not seen this term until three weeks ago, when well beaten
NR (1)	Sarsons Risk Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:B F Brookhouse	J:NON-RUNNER T:B F Brookhouse	137	t	112-60	80	90	-	—	—	—	-12	16	3.75/1	16 6%
Absent since May and his best efforts have been on good or good to firm ground
11 (5)	Paricolor Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:David Pipe	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Pipe	125	tp	15572/	68	79	-	—	—	—	+7	13.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Had a troubled end to last jumps season and had wind surgery since; headgear change
5 (11)	September Power Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Michael Wigham	J:Trevor Whelan T:Michael Wigham	137	p	601614	80	86	80	20d	—	—	+14	18.9	4.25/1	18 6%
2m wins at Beverley in August and York in September; needs a career best
2 (4)	Kenzai Warrior b/br J:Sean Levey T:Roger Teal	J:Sean Levey T:Roger Teal	140	p	639-00	83	92	-	—	—	—	-2	12.6	9.75/1	40 3%
2023 results on Flat and over hurdles give cause for concern; unraced on Flat beyond 1m4f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dreams Adozen	10/3	7/2	7/2	3	7/2
Clansman	5	5	11/2	9/2	5
Havaila	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Black Kalanisi	6	11/2	13/2	11/2	11/2
Coquelicot	6	13/2	6	5	6
Land Of Winter	7	13/2	15/2	13/2	13/2
Haveyoumissedme	12	11	11	11	11
Sarsons Risk	16	11	SP	SP	SP
Paricolor	16	14	14	14	14
September Power	16	16	18	16	16
Kenzai Warrior	40	28	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dreams Adozen

22.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Clansman

21.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

September Power

18.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

Sarsons Risk

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.5

Black Kalanisi

13.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Paricolor

13.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

Land Of Winter

12.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 2 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Kenzai Warrior

12.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

Coquelicot

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Havaila

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Haveyoumissedme

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Haveyoumissedme	85	88	44
Kenzai Warrior	83	92	—
Land Of Winter	81	89	73
Sarsons Risk	80	90	—
September Power	80	86	80
Dreams Adozen	79	90	73
Coquelicot	79	88	57
Havaila	75	92	82
Black Kalanisi	75	88	71
Clansman	69	89	58
Paricolor	68	79	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dreams Adozen	9d ago	Quick return
Havaila	19d ago	Fit
Land Of Winter	20d ago	Fit
Haveyoumissedme	20d ago	Fit
September Power	20d ago	Fit
Clansman	22d ago	Fit
Black Kalanisi	25d ago	Fit
Coquelicot	175d ago	Long break
Sarsons Risk	—	—
Paricolor	—	—
Kenzai Warrior	—	—