Irish EBF "Bosra Sham" Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Newmarket

12:50

Date 2023-11-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £22,684

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (7)	Romantic Style Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	71	-	101	85	44d	—	—	-7	17.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won at Yarmouth on second start and could have plenty more to offer for top connections
12 (13)	Serene Seraph Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	321	89	106	90	42d	—	—	+9	31.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Faces tougher opposition here but she's highly regarded and could be up to the task
10 (10)	Navassa Island Bay J:Kevin Stott T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Kevin Stott T:M D O'Callaghan	128	p	20413	-	105	99	41d	—	—	-3	16.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Irish challenger; Group 3 third at Ayr last time and she's a leading candidate on form
13 (5)	Stop The Cavalry Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	1	-	99	90	35d	—	—	-2	15	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Cruised clear to win on debut at Haydock and she could have lots more left in the tank
9 (12)	Lexington Belle Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	p	112123	91	105	98	27d	—	—	+19	27.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Her best form puts her in the mix and surplus stamina may well be a plus in the conditions
14 (15)	Works Of Art Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	128	—	6132	92	99	86	27d	—	—	+18	24.3	3.25/1	14 7%
Listed runner-up at Redcar last month and she's an each-way possible once more
1 (8)	Adaay In Devon Bay J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	128	—	211151	88	103	97	17d	—	—	+25	31.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Four wins from last five starts; up in grade here but knows how to get the job done
4 (14)	Happy Hadeda Bay J:David Egan T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Egan T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	721	84	92	73	37d	—	—	+18	23.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Others have more substance to their form but she's unexposed and progressive; interesting
NR (3)	Exponista Bay J:TBC T:David Loughnane	J: T:David Loughnane	128	—	2716	92	101	71	41d	—	—	+17	19.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Fair sixth of nine in Group 3 at Ayr last time but needs a bigger performance today
8 (11)	Komat Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	13650	93	101	87	50d	—	—	+10	14.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Disappointing last time but lost a shoe; earlier form puts her in the picture
2 (9)	Eminny Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	162432	83	98	93	38d	—	—	+14	18.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Went close in Nottingham nursery in September but needs something extra today
5 (1)	Heritage House Grey J:Robert Havlin T:James Fanshawe	J:Robert Havlin T:James Fanshawe	128	t	474122	79	94	84	17d	—	—	+19	21.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Looked progressive when going close in Donny nursery but no match for Adaay In Devon since
7 (4)	Je Ne Sais Quoi Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Grant Tuer	J:Clifford Lee T:Grant Tuer	128	—	526921	80	95	85	16d	—	—	+20	22.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Something to find now up in grade on stable debut but unexposed in testing conditions
15 (2)	Ziggy's Dream Bay J:Christian Howarth T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth T:Alice Haynes	128	—	959571	79	91	75	13d	—	—	+17	17.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Two wins from her nine starts; looks vulnerable now back up in grade
6 (6)	Imperiality Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	128	—	3419	80	89	75	41d	—	—	+15	15.6	49.75/1	200 1%
Hamilton maiden winner but last of nine in Group 3 at Ayr last time out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Romantic Style	9/4	4	5/2	7/2	5/2
Serene Seraph	10/3	11/4	10/3	11/4	7/2
Navassa Island	9/2	4	9/2	4	7/2
Stop The Cavalry	13/2	5	5	5	13/2
Lexington Belle	9/1	9	17/2	10	10
Works Of Art	14	12	12	12	14
Adaay In Devon	12/1	16	14	14	12/1
Happy Hadeda	20	20	18	18	20
Exponista	25	40	40	40	40
Komat	25/1	22	22/1	16	22
Eminny	40/1	22	22	22	28/1
Heritage House	80/1	40	50	33	50/1
Je Ne Sais Quoi	80/1	33	33	33	40/1
Ziggy's Dream	80	80	100/1	100	100
Imperiality	100/1	125	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Serene Seraph

31.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 15 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Adaay In Devon

31.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 20 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Lexington Belle

27.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 15 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Works Of Art

24.3

OR: 10.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.7

Happy Hadeda

23.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

Je Ne Sais Quoi

22.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Heritage House

21.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Exponista

19.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

Eminny

18.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.2

40/1

Ziggy's Dream

17.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Romantic Style

17.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

7/2

Navassa Island

16.7

OR: 0 Form: 11 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Imperiality

15.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0.2

200

Stop The Cavalry

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

13/2

Komat

14.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Komat	93	101	87
Works Of Art	92	99	86
Exponista	92	101	71
Lexington Belle	91	105	98
Serene Seraph	89	106	90
Adaay In Devon	88	103	97
Happy Hadeda	84	92	73
Eminny	83	98	93
Je Ne Sais Quoi	80	95	85
Imperiality	80	89	75
Heritage House	79	94	84
Ziggy's Dream	79	91	75
Romantic Style	—	101	85
Navassa Island	—	105	99
Stop The Cavalry	—	99	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ziggy's Dream	13d ago	Quick return
Je Ne Sais Quoi	16d ago	Fit
Adaay In Devon	17d ago	Fit
Heritage House	17d ago	Fit
Lexington Belle	27d ago	Fit
Works Of Art	27d ago	Fit
Stop The Cavalry	35d ago	Fit
Happy Hadeda	37d ago	Fit
Eminny	38d ago	Fit
Navassa Island	41d ago	Fit
Exponista	41d ago	Fit
Imperiality	41d ago	Fit
Serene Seraph	42d ago	Fit
Romantic Style	44d ago	Fit
Komat	50d ago	Fresh