Ascot

12:55

Grundon Waste Management Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-04
Distance 2m3f58y
Class Class 4
Going Soft
Type Hurdle
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £7,737

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7
Immortal
Grey
J:Freddie Gordon(6)
T:Nicky Henderson
J:Freddie Gordon(6)
T:Nicky Henderson
158 22-
110
130
116
261d 0
34.2
0.34/1
11/8
42%
Runner-up in two 2m novice hurdles at Sandown; wind op before and after his latest start
2
Ed Keeper
Bay
J:Shane Quinlan
T:Sam Thomas
J:Shane Quinlan
T:Sam Thomas
166 t 321-
118
125
110
224d +22
36
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Won maiden at Bangor (2m3f, good to soft) in March, with the front two drawing 21l clear
1
Idem
Bay
J:Conner McCann(8)
T:Lucinda Russell
J:Conner McCann(8)
T:Lucinda Russell
168 /32-11
120
121
52
45d +7
21.9
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Won at Hexham (2m) and Kelso (2m5f; impressive) in his two hurdle races; promising
5
Saladam
Bay
J:Dylan Johnston(6)
T:Olly Murphy
J:Dylan Johnston(6)
T:Olly Murphy
163 t 32221-
115
125
104
209d +29
36.5
2.50/1
11
9%
Won a maiden at Market Rasen in April when last seen; had wind surgery either side of that
4
Awaythelad
Bay
J:Beau Morgan(3)
T:Ben Pauling
J:Beau Morgan(3)
T:Ben Pauling
163 t /23P2-
115
119
104
231d +18
25.3
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Probably no ground concerns; step back up in trip should help on handicap/seasonal debut
11
Rebel Intentions
Bay
J:Joe Anderson
T:Emma Lavelle
J:Joe Anderson
T:Emma Lavelle
143 t 47-812
95
124
100
41d +8
12.6
4.25/1
18
6%
1st and 2nd on good on last two starts; has more to prove back on much more testing ground
8
Prince Imperial
Bay
J:Bradley Harris(3)
T:Milton Harris
J:Bradley Harris(3)
T:Milton Harris
155 tp 348-33
107
124
109
24d +11
15.6
4.25/1
18
6%
3rd of 12 at Sedgefield (2m4f, good) latest was narrowly his best form in this sphere
10
Lipa K
Bay
J:Conor Ring
T:Evan Williams
J:Conor Ring
T:Evan Williams
154 71-153
106
122
107
26d +11
15.1
6.00/1
25
4%
Dual handicap winner; needs better but this sort of trip looks worth the second attempt
9
John W Creasy
Chestnut
J:Finn Lambert
T:Chris Honour
J:Finn Lambert
T:Chris Honour
154 4406-5
106
120
92
187d +11
15
6.75/1
28
4%
Left Margaret Mullins for £10,000 in May; worth a second look back up in trip
3
Young Merlin
Bay
J:Liam Harrison
T:Amy Murphy
J:Liam Harrison
T:Amy Murphy
165 111P
117
121
101
36d +28
31.1
7.00/1
28/1
3%
111P hurdling; stayed well on Flat but pulled up trying 2m4f at Worcester five weeks ago
6
Estacas
Bay
J:Lilly Pinchin
T:David Bridgwater
J:Lilly Pinchin
T:David Bridgwater
159 2P-122
111
120
113
+13
16
12.25/1
50
2%
Improvement is needed but the step back up in trip offers some hope
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Immortal
11/8 11/8 11/8 11/8 11/8
Ed Keeper
11/2 5 5 5 5
Idem
11/2 5 5/1 11/2 5/1
Saladam
11 9 9 9 10
Awaythelad
9 10 12/1 10 11/1
Rebel Intentions
18 16 16 18 14
Prince Imperial
18 16 18 16 14
Lipa K
25 22 22 22 22
John W Creasy
28 22 25 25 22
Young Merlin
25 22 25 25 28/1
Estacas
40 40 50 40 33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Saladam
36.5
OR: 16.3 Form: 18.1 Odds: 2.1
11
2nd Ed Keeper
36
OR: 17 Form: 15 Odds: 4
11/2
3rd Immortal
34.2
OR: 15 Form: 8.5 Odds: 10.7
11/8
4 Young Merlin
31.1
OR: 16.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.9
28/1
5 Awaythelad
25.3
OR: 16.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1
12/1
6 Idem
21.9
OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
11/2
7 Estacas
16
OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
50
8 Prince Imperial
15.6
OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18
9 Lipa K
15.1
OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25
10 John W Creasy
15
OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28
11 Rebel Intentions
12.6
OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Idem
120
121
52
Ed Keeper
118
125
110
Young Merlin
117
121
101
Saladam
115
125
104
Awaythelad
115
119
104
Estacas
111
120
113
Immortal
110
130
116
Prince Imperial
107
124
109
Lipa K
106
122
107
John W Creasy
106
120
92
Rebel Intentions
95
124
100

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Prince Imperial 24d ago Fit
Lipa K 26d ago Fit
Young Merlin 36d ago Fit
Rebel Intentions 41d ago Fit
Idem 45d ago Fit
John W Creasy 187d ago Long break
Saladam 209d ago Long break
Ed Keeper 224d ago Long break
Awaythelad 231d ago Long break
Immortal 261d ago Long break
Estacas