Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:30

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Date 2023-11-04

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,789

Winning Time 1m 36.99s (slow by 1.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cariad (GB) Daniel Muscutt · George Scott	9/2	Won
2nd	Kodi Noir (IRE) Christian Howarth · Alice Haynes	4/1	3
3rd	Deed Pole (GB) William Carson · Anthony Carson	18/1	0.2
4th	Safe Passage (GB) Luke Morris · Luke Dace	25/1	1
5th	Mitigator (GB) Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	15/8F	9.5
6th	Mr Trick (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	5/1	2.75
7th	Kilcummin (IRE) Liam Wright · Mark Gillard	100/1	1.25
8th	Star Map (GB) Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	40/1	13

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
U.R.	Storm Asset (GB) Millie Wonnacott · Tony Carroll	7/1

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Mitigator Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	135	b	192-92	58	73	58	16d	—	—	-21	12.6	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Travelled strongly when second over C&D last month; can surely win a similar event
7 (6)	Kodi Noir Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	130	h	333143	55	72	61	21d	—	—	-2	16	0.75/1	4 25%
7f winner here in September & he's run to a similar level twice since; should be involved
4 (4)	Mr Trick Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	133	b	240388	56	72	28	17d	—	—	-10	8.2	0.75/1	4 25%
On a handy mark but needs to leave two quiet runs behind him; new headgear today
3 (3)	Cariad Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	133	b	523756	58	71	43	7d	—	—	-7	8.3	1.00/1	5 20%
Needs things to pan out kindly but more than capable at this level; e-w claims at least
5 (8)	Storm Asset Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Tony Carroll	132	—	115424	55	70	53	12d	—	—	+1	8.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Two wins in June and he's run at least as well the last twice; one to consider
2 (7)	Deed Pole Bay J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	134	—	344334	59	67	31	144d	—	—	+2	7.2	4.25/1	18 6%
0-10 but often threatened in the first half of 2023; back from a 144-day break
9 (1)	Safe Passage Bay J:Luke Morris T:Luke Dace	J:Luke Morris T:Luke Dace	124	h	6269-9	47	64	30	24d	—	—	-6	2.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Close 2nd on handicap debut; sharper for last month's return from a long break
6 (5)	Star Map Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	130	v	628006	55	64	37	16d	—	—	0	3	8.00/1	33 3%
Not built on her Doncaster 2nd in May (6f, soft); new trip today & it needs to spark extra
8 (9)	Kilcummin Grey J:Liam Wright(7) T:Mark Gillard	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Mark Gillard	129	b	053760	54	67	28	—	—	—	+1	2.3	16.25/1	66 2%
Hurdle winner last month; pulled up on Sunday; hard to fancy on his Flat form

Horse	bet365	Coral
Mitigator	13/8	13/8
Kodi Noir	4	4
Mr Trick	4	4
Cariad	5	5
Storm Asset	14	12
Deed Pole	16	18
Safe Passage	20	18
Star Map	33	33
Kilcummin	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kodi Noir

OR: 1.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5.2

2nd

Mitigator

12.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

3rd

Storm Asset

8.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.1

Cariad

8.3

OR: 2 Form: 1.9 Odds: 4.4

Mr Trick

8.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

Deed Pole

7.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.4

Star Map

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

Kilcummin

2.3

OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.4

Safe Passage

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Deed Pole	59	67	31
Mitigator	58	73	58
Cariad	58	71	43
Mr Trick	56	72	28
Kodi Noir	55	72	61
Storm Asset	55	70	53
Star Map	55	64	37
Kilcummin	54	67	28
Safe Passage	47	64	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cariad	7d ago	Quick return
Storm Asset	12d ago	Quick return
Mitigator	16d ago	Fit
Star Map	16d ago	Fit
Mr Trick	17d ago	Fit
Kodi Noir	21d ago	Fit
Safe Passage	24d ago	Fit
Deed Pole	144d ago	Long break
Kilcummin	—	—