BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:25

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 39.34s (slow by 2.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Eldrickjones (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	3/1F	Won
2nd	Shaladar (FR) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	15/2	2.25
3rd	Power Of Darkness (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Charlie Fellowes	17/2	2.5
4th	Ron O (GB) P J McDonald · Ray Craggs	6/1	0.3
5th	Tele Red (GB) Brandon Wilkie · K R Burke	18/1	1.75
6th	Young Fire (FR) David Nolan · David O'Meara	9/1	.5
7th	O G Beachwear (GB) Clifford Lee · Hugo Palmer	7/1	0.3
8th	Cori Glory (IRE) Harry Russell · Mark Walford	12/1	1
9th	Kingmania (IRE) Luke Morris · James Ferguson	14/1	.5
10th	Spioradalta (GB) Jack Garritty · Mark Walford	11/1	1
11th	Harswell Duke (IRE) Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	18/1	0.3
12th	Crownthorpe (GB) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	33/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (11)	Eldrickjones Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	133	—	099123	79	94	58	25d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+5	24.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Running well (chiefly here) following wind surgery and he can give another good account
10 (5)	Power Of Darkness Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	130	p	505012	76	95	74	36d	—	—	+11	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won at Salisbury in September and has since gone close here; he's a possible
11 (9)	O G Beachwear Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hugo Palmer	J:Clifford Lee T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	443212	76	92	-	31d	—	—	+13	25.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Finished strongly over 7f on handicap debut & has potential now tackling 1m for first time
1 (2)	Ron O Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Ray Craggs	J:P J McDonald T:Ray Craggs	138	—	797125	84	93	38	31d	—	—	+11	19.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three-time C&D winner who has been in good form on turf and is firmly in calculations
2 (7)	Shaladar Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	135	p	472236	81	93	-	31d	—	—	+7	16.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-9 this year but has run some really good races and could be bang there on AW debut
4 (8)	Young Fire Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	134	v	165503	80	93	72	15d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Four wins this year (including C&D) and good third at Wolverhampton last time; contender
5 (4)	Tele Red Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	133	—	132461	79	91	-	35d	—	—	+13	21.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Three wins on turf this year but well beaten over C&D last October on sole AW run
3 (1)	Kingmania Bay J:Luke Morris T:James Ferguson	J:Luke Morris T:James Ferguson	134	—	-14600	80	91	69	55d	—	—	+5	11.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Below best at Southwell latest but Newmarket trainer does well here & she's not ruled out
6 (10)	Spioradalta Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	133	p	961640	81	90	-	52d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Enjoyed good 3yo campaign in the main and he faced a tough task last time; not discounted
12 (12)	Cori Glory Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	128	—	312662	76	91	52	21d	—	—	+10	16.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Easy lead when going close over C&D last time, but unexposed on AW and not ruled out
9 (6)	Harswell Duke Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	131	b	700767	77	91	70	27d	—	—	+3	8.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Won the Spring Mile off 6lb higher in April but has struggled to get competitive since
7 (3)	Crownthorpe Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	133	p	441152	79	91	69	194d	—	—	+15	22.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Absent since April but stable enjoying very productive autumn and he's a 2-time C&D winner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Eldrickjones	4	10/3	7/2	3	10/3
Power Of Darkness	13/2	13/2	13/2	6	13/2
O G Beachwear	6	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
Ron O	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Shaladar	9	17/2	9	8	17/2
Young Fire	12	10	9	10	10
Tele Red	8	17/2	9	9	17/2
Kingmania	11	12	14	12	12
Spioradalta	16	14	14	14	14
Cori Glory	12	12	11	12	12
Harswell Duke	16	16	18	16	18
Crownthorpe	14	22	22	10	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

O G Beachwear

25.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 15.4 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Eldrickjones

24.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Crownthorpe

22.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 13 Odds: 1.9

Tele Red

21.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Power Of Darkness

21.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ron O

19.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Cori Glory

16.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Shaladar

16.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Young Fire

12.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Spioradalta

12.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Kingmania

11.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

Harswell Duke

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ron O	84	93	38
Shaladar	81	93	—
Spioradalta	81	90	—
Young Fire	80	93	72
Kingmania	80	91	69
Eldrickjones	79	94	58
Tele Red	79	91	—
Crownthorpe	79	91	69
Harswell Duke	77	91	70
Power Of Darkness	76	95	74
O G Beachwear	76	92	—
Cori Glory	76	91	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Young Fire	15d ago	Fit
Cori Glory	21d ago	Fit
Eldrickjones	25d ago	Fit
Harswell Duke	27d ago	Fit
O G Beachwear	31d ago	Fit
Ron O	31d ago	Fit
Shaladar	31d ago	Fit
Tele Red	35d ago	Fit
Power Of Darkness	36d ago	Fit
Spioradalta	52d ago	Fresh
Kingmania	55d ago	Fresh
Crownthorpe	194d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.