Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 27.58s (slow by 3.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ratafia (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael Herrington	9/4F	Won
2nd	Clotherholme (IRE) Rowan Scott · Ann Duffield	18/1	3.25
3rd	Cheese The One (GB) Christian Howarth · Stella Barclay	17/2	.5
4th	Rum Runner (GB) Shane Gray · Geoffrey Harker	9/1	.5
5th	Van Zant (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	8/1	.75
6th	Tiger Trap (GB) Tom Eaves · Tom Tate	7/1	0.2
7th	See My Baby Jive (GB) Jason Hart · Donald Whillans	9/2	1
8th	Malham Tarn Cove (GB) Dougie Costello · Steph Hollinshead	7/1	1.5
9th	Highland Queen (IRE) Graham Lee · Bryan Smart	14/1	.5
10th	Lincoln Red (GB) Cam Hardie · Olly Williams	125/1	.75
11th	Rockonmecca (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	28/1	.5
12th	Crown Bridges (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	66/1	20

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (10)	Ratafia Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Herrington	132	—	043821	51	67	-	18d	—	—	-5	23.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Off the mark at Redcar last month when clear with the runner-up; respected up 5lb
1 (8)	See My Baby Jive Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Donald Whillans	135	b	130442	54	65	28	21d	—	—	-2	9.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
5l second to well-handicapped winner over this C&D three weeks ago; contender
5 (2)	Tiger Trap Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tom Tate	J:Tom Eaves T:Tom Tate	129	p	-98609	49	66	-	41d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.50/1	7 14%
3yo whose mark continues to fall but he's been unable to threaten in his five handicaps
10 (4)	Van Zant Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	126	—	-30602	45	67	57	14d	—	—	-1	8.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-17 but runner-up at Wolverhampton latest; in the shake-up if again on a going day
8 (1)	Clotherholme Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	128	hp	388336	47	67	26	11d	—	—	-3	6	2.50/1	11 9%
Fair third over C&D on last two visits to Newcastle and has each-way claims
7 (5)	Rum Runner Bay J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	128	—	150036	47	65	24	21d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Third over C&D two starts ago then denied a clear run when mid-division here most recently
4 (9)	Cheese The One Grey J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Stella Barclay	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Stella Barclay	130	b	501434	49	65	56	14d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Course winner who has continued in good form since scoring at Wolverhampton in August
6 (6)	Malham Tarn Cove Roan J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Dougie Costello T:Steph Hollinshead	129	tp	332745	48	65	49	8d	—	—	-7	5.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Kept on for fifth over 6f here recently and the step back up to 7f is worth a go
9 (12)	Highland Queen Bay J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	128	—	950264	47	65	13	39d	—	—	-2	4.2	3.75/1	16 6%
0-16 but some positive performances in recent months and an each-way case can be made
2 (3)	Rockonmecca Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	135	v	-43327	55	65	-	123d	—	—	+4	8.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Has run well when new headgear has been applied and wears a first-time visor today
11 (7)	Crown Bridges Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	126	p	664678	46	58	24	7d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
3yo who has dropped to a basement mark but for a good reason
12 (11)	Lincoln Red Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Olly Williams	J:Cam Hardie T:Olly Williams	126	—	0-0609	45	57	16	75d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Went close twice in a row in summer 2022 but he's struggled to get competitive since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ratafia	9/4	2	9/4	2	2
See My Baby Jive	13/2	6	13/2	6	13/2
Tiger Trap	7	7	7	7	7
Van Zant	9/1	9	8	8	9
Clotherholme	11	10	10	10	10
Rum Runner	8	10	9	10	11
Cheese The One	8/1	12	10	12	12
Malham Tarn Cove	13/2	13/2	13/2	6	13/2
Highland Queen	16	12	12	12	12
Rockonmecca	18	22	22	22	22
Crown Bridges	66	50	50	50	66
Lincoln Red	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ratafia

23.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 14.4 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

See My Baby Jive

9.9

OR: 1 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Rockonmecca

8.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.1

Van Zant

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Cheese The One

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.4

Clotherholme

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

Malham Tarn Cove

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Rum Runner

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Highland Queen

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

Tiger Trap

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Crown Bridges

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Lincoln Red

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rockonmecca	55	65	—
See My Baby Jive	54	65	28
Ratafia	51	67	—
Tiger Trap	49	66	—
Cheese The One	49	65	56
Malham Tarn Cove	48	65	49
Clotherholme	47	67	26
Rum Runner	47	65	24
Highland Queen	47	65	13
Crown Bridges	46	58	24
Van Zant	45	67	57
Lincoln Red	45	57	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Crown Bridges	7d ago	Quick return
Malham Tarn Cove	8d ago	Quick return
Clotherholme	11d ago	Quick return
Van Zant	14d ago	Fit
Cheese The One	14d ago	Fit
Ratafia	18d ago	Fit
See My Baby Jive	21d ago	Fit
Rum Runner	21d ago	Fit
Highland Queen	39d ago	Fit
Tiger Trap	41d ago	Fit
Lincoln Red	75d ago	Fresh
Rockonmecca	123d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.