Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:40

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-07

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 13.05s (slow by 2.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Magic Fluke (IRE) Luke Morris · Marco Botti	22/1	Won
2nd	Professor Tickle (GB) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	5/1	0.1
3rd	Wichahpi (GB) Graham Lee · Bryan Smart	12/1	2
4th	Madame Christine (GB) Rowan Scott · Ann Duffield	16/1	0.3
5th	Calafrio (GB) Andrew Mullen · Philip Kirby	16/1	1.5
6th	Glory Hyde (IRE) Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	9/2	0.1
7th	Chat Up Line (GB) James Sullivan · Tim Easterby	40/1	0.3
8th	Inspiring Speeches (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	4/1	.5
9th	Vitarli (IRE) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	100/30F	0.3
10th	Blue Eyed Kate (IRE) P J McDonald · Darryll Holland	33/1	1.75
11th	Invincible Siam (IRE) Sam James · George Boughey	5/1	1.25
12th	Showmethewayhome (IRE) Cam Hardie · Ewan Whillans	150/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Vitarli Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	141	—	408421	71	69	48	5d	—	—	+2	26	0.69/1	11/4 27%
In top form over 5f the last twice & wasn't stopping either time; respected under penalty
5 (9)	Inspiring Speeches Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	135	—	5374	65	67	-	29d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has shown ability and was a fair fourth on nursery debut, but improvement is necessary
3 (2)	Invincible Siam Bay J:Sam James T:George Boughey	J:Sam James T:George Boughey	135	t	045	65	67	-	64d	—	—	-9	9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Half-sister to two Tapeta winners who is open to further improvement on AW/handicap debut
4 (5)	Professor Tickle Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	135	b	548332	65	70	51	12d	—	—	+1	16.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-6 in nurseries but running well in these blinkers and could be thereabouts
2 (7)	Glory Hyde Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	—	04246	66	71	7	25d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Has shown ability but needs something extra on this first handicap start
8 (1)	Wichahpi Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	132	p	560181	62	73	-	28d	—	—	+13	19.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Made it 2-3 in these cheekpieces when prevailing in a big field at Leicester; progressive
10 (3)	Madame Christine Grey J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	J:Rowan Scott T:Ann Duffield	130	—	643066	60	72	48	12d	—	—	0	4.8	3.75/1	16 6%
Did fairly well when sixth at Wolverhampton last time given that things didn't go her way
6 (6)	Magic Fluke Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Marco Botti	J:Luke Morris T:Marco Botti	134	t	489	64	69	48	43d	—	—	0	4.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Makes handicap debut off a modest mark and his Newmarket trainer has a good record here
11 (4)	Calafrio Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	128	—	4675	58	68	28	25d	—	—	-1	3.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Fair fifth over C&D on nursery debut; each-way possibilities if building on it
7 (10)	Blue Eyed Kate Bay J:P J McDonald T:Darryll Holland	J:P J McDonald T:Darryll Holland	134	h	5067	64	70	-	64d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Major turnaround needed in a first-time hood on her AW debut
9 (8)	Chat Up Line Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	132	h	414436	62	71	-	67d	—	—	+5	8	9.75/1	40 3%
May have been unsuited by fast ground latest; otherwise pretty consistent since July win
12 (12)	Showmethewayhome Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ewan Whillans	J:Cam Hardie T:Ewan Whillans	119	—	650	49	67	22	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Makes nursery/stable debut off a basement mark but improvement is needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Vitarli	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Inspiring Speeches	4	4	7/2	4/1	7/2
Invincible Siam	7/2	4	10/3	4	9/2
Professor Tickle	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Glory Hyde	14	12	12	12	12
Wichahpi	10	11	11	11/1	11
Madame Christine	16	16	16	16	16
Magic Fluke	18	20	18/1	20/1	18
Calafrio	20	22	22	22/1	25
Blue Eyed Kate	33	25	25	25/1	28
Chat Up Line	40	33	33	33	33/1
Showmethewayhome	150	80	80	80	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Vitarli

OR: 5.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Wichahpi

19.9

OR: 3 Form: 15 Odds: 1.9

11/1

3rd

Professor Tickle

16.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Inspiring Speeches

10.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Invincible Siam

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Glory Hyde

8.2

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

Chat Up Line

OR: 3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.9

Magic Fluke

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Madame Christine

4.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

Blue Eyed Kate

4.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Calafrio

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Showmethewayhome

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vitarli	71	69	48
Glory Hyde	66	71	7
Inspiring Speeches	65	67	—
Invincible Siam	65	67	—
Professor Tickle	65	70	51
Magic Fluke	64	69	48
Blue Eyed Kate	64	70	—
Wichahpi	62	73	—
Chat Up Line	62	71	—
Madame Christine	60	72	48
Calafrio	58	68	28
Showmethewayhome	49	67	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vitarli	5d ago	Quick return
Professor Tickle	12d ago	Quick return
Madame Christine	12d ago	Quick return
Showmethewayhome	17d ago	Fit
Glory Hyde	25d ago	Fit
Calafrio	25d ago	Fit
Wichahpi	28d ago	Fit
Inspiring Speeches	29d ago	Fit
Magic Fluke	43d ago	Fit
Invincible Siam	64d ago	Fresh
Blue Eyed Kate	64d ago	Fresh
Chat Up Line	67d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.