Watch On Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Warwick

Warwick

13:15

Watch On Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-11-08

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,085

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Shuile Warrior Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Edwards	J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Edwards	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-50	20	—	—
Newcomer; best watched
6	Helnwein Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	154	—	3/513-	-	-	-	235d	—	—	-30	18.4	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Bumper winner and good effort when third in March; shortlisted on hurdle debut
15	Fortune Forever Chestnut J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	147	—	4354-2	-	119	41	34d	—	—	-8	10.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent in bumpers and second over C&D on hurdle debut; likely contender
18	Smurfette Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	147	—	53-	-	-	-	222d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ran well enough in two bumpers last season to make her of interest on hurdle debut
9	Nordic Tiger Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Harry Derham	J:Daryl Jacob T:Harry Derham	154	—	4-4	-	109	-	31d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well enough when fourth at Uttoxeter last month to hold place prospects, at least
11	Toonagh Warrior Chestnut J:Charlie Hammond T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Charlie Hammond T:Stuart Edmunds	154	—	O-4603	-	118	90	61d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran well enough on hurdle debut in Ireland to have hopes in this
1	Bingo Little Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	154	t	6-	-	-	-	200d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Disappointed in a bumper; wind surgery since; should be capable of much better
3	Commanding View Bay J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	154	—	3746-	-	108	79	196d	—	—	-2	2.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fair sixth at Ludlow when last seen in April but deal more needed to beat some of these
7	Kilbarry Hill Bay J:Lewis Stones(3) T:Olly Murphy	J:Lewis Stones(3) T:Olly Murphy	154	—	4P522-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+6	8.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Second twice in Irish points; hurdle debut; Sean Bowen rides stable's other runner
8	Molly's Third Man Chestnut J:David Bass T:Henry Daly	J:David Bass T:Henry Daly	154	—	4-8	-	-	-	179d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well held in two bumpers; hurdle debut
5	Heard That Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	154	—	52-4	-	-	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Second in an Irish point; beaten a fair way in a bumper last month; hurdle debut
14	Elle Est Beau Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Dan Skelton	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Dan Skelton	147	—	5-8	-	64	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Well held in a bumper and tailed off on last month's hurdle debut
4	Dusautior Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	—	133-8	-	103	67	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Irish point winner; well held when eighth on hurdle debut last month
17	Shirley Knott Chestnut J:Lee Edwards T:Adam West	J:Lee Edwards T:Adam West	147	t	4-377	-	79	-	24d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Modest bumper fom and well beaten on last month's hurdle debut
2	Brandt Bay J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	154	—	62-8	-	91	-	31d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Second in an Irish bumper; down the field on last month's hurdle/stable debut
16	I Look How I Look Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Dan Skelton	J:Charlie Todd T:Dan Skelton	147	—	540	-	92	51	13d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Modest form in bumpers and well beaten on last month's hurdle debut
12	Yogi's Trail Bay J:James Best T:Sophie Leech	J:James Best T:Sophie Leech	154	h	80	-	68	19	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
No promise in either start
13	Ballet Blanc Chestnut J:Ben Poste T:Richard Price	J:Ben Poste T:Richard Price	147	h	P	-	-	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Very modest Flat maiden and was pulled up on last month's hurdle debut

Horse	bet365	Coral
Shuile Warrior	SP	SP
Helnwein	4/5	8/11
Fortune Forever	11/2	9/2
Smurfette	9/2	5/1
Nordic Tiger	8	10/1
Toonagh Warrior	12/1	11/1
Bingo Little	20	25/1
Commanding View	18/1	25/1
Kilbarry Hill	66/1	40
Molly's Third Man	66/1	50
Heard That	66	50
Elle Est Beau	66	50
Dusautior	80	80
Shirley Knott	150	125
Brandt	125	125/1
I Look How I Look	200	150
Yogi's Trail	500	200
Ballet Blanc	500	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shuile Warrior

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Helnwein

18.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 16.3

4/5

3rd

Fortune Forever

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.4

11/2

Kilbarry Hill

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Smurfette

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Nordic Tiger

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Commanding View

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Toonagh Warrior

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Bingo Little

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Molly's Third Man

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Heard That

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Elle Est Beau

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Dusautior

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Shirley Knott

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Brandt

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

I Look How I Look

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Yogi's Trail

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ballet Blanc

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shuile Warrior	—	—	—
Helnwein	—	—	—
Fortune Forever	—	119	41
Smurfette	—	—	—
Nordic Tiger	—	109	—
Toonagh Warrior	—	118	90
Bingo Little	—	—	—
Commanding View	—	108	79
Kilbarry Hill	—	—	—
Molly's Third Man	—	—	—
Heard That	—	—	—
Elle Est Beau	—	64	—
Dusautior	—	103	67
Shirley Knott	—	79	—
Brandt	—	91	—
I Look How I Look	—	92	51
Yogi's Trail	—	68	19
Ballet Blanc	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dusautior	13d ago	Quick return
I Look How I Look	13d ago	Quick return
Yogi's Trail	13d ago	Quick return
Ballet Blanc	13d ago	Quick return
Shirley Knott	24d ago	Fit
Heard That	25d ago	Fit
Elle Est Beau	26d ago	Fit
Nordic Tiger	31d ago	Fit
Brandt	31d ago	Fit
Fortune Forever	34d ago	Fit
Toonagh Warrior	61d ago	Fresh
Molly's Third Man	179d ago	Long break
Commanding View	196d ago	Long break
Bingo Little	200d ago	Long break
Smurfette	222d ago	Long break
Helnwein	235d ago	Long break
Shuile Warrior	—	—
Kilbarry Hill	—	—