Racing TV Mares' Handicap Hurdle – Warwick

Warwick

15:00

Racing TV Mares' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-08

Distance 2m3f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Pretending Grey J:Bryony Frost T:Lucy Wadham	J:Bryony Frost T:Lucy Wadham	167	—	32282-	103	98	81	202d	—	—	+5	30.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won 1m3f novice on AW; looks a shoo-in for ordinary handicap on form of Cheltenham 2nd
10	Giulietta Grey J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	148	—	0/U37-	83	104	85	195d	—	—	-6	14	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Glimmer of ability in qualifying runs; goes handicapping off lowly mark; interesting
7	Bushtucker Park Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	151	—	733-4	86	104	104	180d	—	—	-5	14.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Reasonably encouraging handicap debut over 2m4f in May; has scope for some improvement
8	Annie Day Brown J:Jonathan Burke T:Ben Case	J:Jonathan Burke T:Ben Case	149	p	5/15P-	84	105	86	275d	—	—	0	11.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won on return from absence last November (2m3f, good); not repeat it; longer break today
1	Sweet Magic Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	168	—	43427-	103	104	83	207d	—	—	+9	21	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Solid effort in this context when 2nd over C&D in March (soft); less to prove than some
6	Sunshine Girl Chestnut J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Gary Hanmer	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Gary Hanmer	151	—	741539	86	107	84	56d	—	—	+8	16.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Stays well and in good form in July and August but failed to do herself justice last time
5	Ol'river Shine Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	154	—	3/430-	89	103	80	196d	—	—	+6	14	3.25/1	14 7%
Showed ability in Irish point; beaten long way on handicap hurdle debut in April (2m5f)
9	Backinforglory Bay J:James Best T:Andy Irvine	J:James Best T:Andy Irvine	148	—	85524/	83	-	-	594d	—	—	+6	13.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Comes into it on her 2nd over 2m4f in March 2022 but has a long absence to overcome
12	My Granny Lily Bay J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	142	p	03433-	77	98	85	271d	—	—	+8	14.5	3.25/1	14 7%
In the frame in all 4 handicaps; improvement needed to have winning chance from 5lb wrong
NR	Criquette Bay J:James Bowen T:Billy Aprahamian	J:James Bowen T:Billy Aprahamian	159	—	9/446-	94	102	77	271d	—	—	-2	16.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Won Irish point in 2021; promise in bumpers but just modest hurdle form so far; new yard
4	Minnie Beets Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Henry Oliver	J:Nick Scholfield T:Henry Oliver	156	p	088-00	91	97	26	38d	—	—	+6	12	4.25/1	18 6%
Showed little for G Elliott in Ireland, including when 40-1 for both handicaps; new yard
11	Damask Bay J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	147	—	5F56-	83	97	59	196d	—	—	+5	9.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Minor promise so far; needs plenty more than when sixth on handicap debut over 2m5f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Pretending	9/4	2	2	2	9/4
Giulietta	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Bushtucker Park	3	10/3	10/3	3	10/3
Annie Day	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Sweet Magic	13/2	6	6/1	6	6
Sunshine Girl	9	9	9/1	8	9
Ol'river Shine	14	12	12/1	11/1	11
Backinforglory	11	11	10/1	11	11
My Granny Lily	14	14	12/1	12	14
Criquette	12	14	10	12	12
Minnie Beets	18	14	11/1	14	14
Damask	16	18	14	18	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pretending

30.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Sweet Magic

OR: 13.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Sunshine Girl

16.6

OR: 9 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Criquette

16.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

Bushtucker Park

14.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

My Granny Lily

14.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.7

Giulietta

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ol'river Shine

OR: 9.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

Backinforglory

13.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

Minnie Beets

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Annie Day

11.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Damask

9.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pretending	103	98	81
Sweet Magic	103	104	83
Criquette	94	102	77
Minnie Beets	91	97	26
Ol'river Shine	89	103	80
Bushtucker Park	86	104	104
Sunshine Girl	86	107	84
Annie Day	84	105	86
Giulietta	83	104	85
Backinforglory	83	—	—
Damask	83	97	59
My Granny Lily	77	98	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Minnie Beets	38d ago	Fit
Sunshine Girl	56d ago	Fresh
Bushtucker Park	180d ago	Long break
Giulietta	195d ago	Long break
Ol'river Shine	196d ago	Long break
Damask	196d ago	Long break
Pretending	202d ago	Long break
Sweet Magic	207d ago	Long break
My Granny Lily	271d ago	Long break
Criquette	271d ago	Long break
Annie Day	275d ago	Long break
Backinforglory	594d ago	Long break