NFU Mutual Novices' Handicap Chase – Ludlow

Ludlow

14:35

NFU Mutual Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2023-11-09

Distance 1m7f212y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Winning Time 4m 16.46s (slow by 26.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Famoso (IRE) Stan Sheppard · Matt Sheppard	5/1	Won
2nd	Hunter Legend (FR) Charlie Deutsch · Venetia Williams	6/5F	.5
3rd	Phoenix Aquilus (IRE) James Bowen · Seamus Durack	7/1	10
4th	King Of The Hill (IRE) Charlie Todd · Sam Allwood	40/1	35
5th	Crews Pitch (GB) Lewis Dobb · L J Morgan	12/1	.75

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Go Fox (GB) Ms Laura Ward · Neil King	18/1
P.U.	Lonimoss Bareliere (FR) Ben Poste · Rob Summers	14/1
P.U.	Ten Past Midnight (GB) James Best · Martin Keighley	9/2

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Hunter Legend Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	165	—	/445-2	97	-	-	184d	—	—	-8	28.2	0.41/1	13/8 38%
0-4 over hurdles but ran well in defeat on latest outing; can improve over fences
6	Famoso Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	149	—	2P1525	81	103	94	16d	—	—	+1	19.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Led close home to score at Stratford in August but overall profile not that persuasive
5	Ten Past Midnight Bay J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	151	p	-52346	83	-	-	25d	—	—	0	15.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Four-time winner over hurdles, but last year's sole chasing attempt did not go well
3	Crews Pitch Bay J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:L J Morgan	164	t	52653-	96	-	-	471d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed on handicap hurdle debut in summer 2022; absent since but watch the betting
1	Phoenix Aquilus Bay J:James Bowen T:Seamus Durack	J:James Bowen T:Seamus Durack	168	—	/30P-0	100	-	-	—	—	—	+6	15	2.25/1	10 10%
Well beaten on last two hurdling starts and not easy to predict on chasing debut
7	Lonimoss Bareliere Bay J:Ben Poste T:Rob Summers	J:Ben Poste T:Rob Summers	142	t	-62247	74	107	86	45d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Didn't fire at Warwick last month and now 0-12 over fences; 5lb wrong; others preferred
4	Go Fox Chestnut J:Ms Laura Ward(7) T:Neil King	J:Ms Laura Ward(7) T:Neil King	157	h	11F377	89	106	100	72d	—	—	+9	14.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Won twice on good ground in June but was out of form when last seen in August
8	King Of The Hill Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Sam Allwood	J:Charlie Todd T:Sam Allwood	142	—	/P96-7	74	-	22	12d	—	—	+3	7.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Struggled on recent chase/handicap debut and effectively 5lb higher here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hunter Legend	13/8	11/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Famoso	9/2	5	4	4	9/2
Ten Past Midnight	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Crews Pitch	6	8	13/2	13/2	15/2
Phoenix Aquilus	10	9	8	8	8/1
Lonimoss Bareliere	12	11	10	11	11/1
Go Fox	12	20	20	20	20
King Of The Hill	25	20	20	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hunter Legend

28.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Crews Pitch

19.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

15/2

3rd

Famoso

19.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 6.2 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Ten Past Midnight

15.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Phoenix Aquilus

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Go Fox

14.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.6

Lonimoss Bareliere

12.1

OR: 6 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

King Of The Hill

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Phoenix Aquilus	100	—	—
Hunter Legend	97	—	—
Crews Pitch	96	—	—
Go Fox	89	106	100
Ten Past Midnight	83	—	—
Famoso	81	103	94
Lonimoss Bareliere	74	107	86
King Of The Hill	74	—	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Of The Hill	12d ago	Quick return
Famoso	16d ago	Fit
Ten Past Midnight	25d ago	Fit
Lonimoss Bareliere	45d ago	Fit
Go Fox	72d ago	Fresh
Hunter Legend	184d ago	Long break
Crews Pitch	471d ago	Long break
Phoenix Aquilus	—	—