CCR Welcomes The Mayor Of Chelmsford Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

CCR Welcomes The Mayor Of Chelmsford Handicap

Date 2023-11-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (7)	Holkham Bay Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	130	—	290771	78	98	85	24d	—	—	+1	23.7	0.50/1	3 33%
Ready win at Kempton last month (front two clear) but up 6lb against stronger opposition
1 (1)	Buccabay Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	135	—	545124	83	96	87	10d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+5	21.8	0.75/1	4 25%
Turf winner in September and he's followed that with two good runs at Kempton; contender
5 (4)	Dare To Hope Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	135	—	607218	83	99	79	8d	—	—	+10	20.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ripon win followed by a luckless effort at Newcastle last week; should remain competitive
8 (10)	The Waiting Game Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Jones	J:David Probert T:Jack Jones	130	—	611111	78	97	82	30d	—	—	+24	35.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
5-5 since dropped to 6f, four of them here; foolish to think she'd reached her ceiling
6 (6)	Shalaa Asker Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Billy Loughnane T:Adrian Paul Keatley	133	p	321473	81	96	55	29d	—	—	+6	18.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Conditions to suit and he shaped well after a break last month (5f); one to consider
12 (3)	Masterclass Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	123	p	410621	71	97	82	9d	—	—	+16	22.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Cheekpieces helped the last twice, keeping on well to win over C&D latest; this is tougher
9 (8)	Cuban Breeze Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	130	v	509623	78	95	81	23d	—	—	+6	16.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Placed over C&D on her last two starts; needs extra if she's to add to her tally
11 (12)	Billyjoh Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	126	—	13557	74	94	80	46d	—	—	+5	10.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Not added to debut win but continues to shape with some promise; widest stall to defy
7 (11)	Hello Me Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Joseph Parr	J:Jack Mitchell T:Joseph Parr	131	v	210125	79	96	85	65d	—	—	+14	19.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Conditions no problem and in good form this year; lower draw would have been preferable
4 (2)	Leap Abroad Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Paul & Oliver Cole	135	t	-44468	83	97	47	10d	—	—	+5	9.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Spring form looks strong in the context of this race; had excuses latest; revival likely
2 (5)	Burstow Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	135	p	7-1806	83	91	74	98d	—	—	+6	9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
AW winner for Andre Fabre; well held in two runs for this yard; cheekpieces return today
3 (9)	Letmelivemylife Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Barry Brennan	J:Joshua Bryan T:Barry Brennan	135	—	111366	83	96	82	119d	—	—	+13	15.3	12.25/1	50 2%
3 course wins over 7f but that looks his best trip; sold 35,000gns in July; best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Holkham Bay	3	3	3	3	3
Buccabay	4	4	4	4	4
Dare To Hope	7	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
The Waiting Game	7	13/2	13/2	6	6
Shalaa Asker	11/2	15/2	8	15/2	8
Masterclass	12/1	12	12	11	12
Cuban Breeze	10	17/2	9	7	9
Billyjoh	14	12	14	14	12
Hello Me	16/1	20	20	14	20
Leap Abroad	25	22	25	22	25
Burstow	50/1	33	33	28	33
Letmelivemylife	50	50	50	33	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Waiting Game

35.1

OR: 7 Form: 25 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Holkham Bay

23.7

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

3rd

Masterclass

22.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Buccabay

21.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

Dare To Hope

20.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Hello Me

19.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.4

Shalaa Asker

18.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Cuban Breeze

16.4

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.9

Letmelivemylife

15.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.6

Billyjoh

10.5

OR: 6 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.6

Leap Abroad

9.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Burstow

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Buccabay	83	96	87
Dare To Hope	83	99	79
Leap Abroad	83	97	47
Burstow	83	91	74
Letmelivemylife	83	96	82
Shalaa Asker	81	96	55
Hello Me	79	96	85
Holkham Bay	78	98	85
The Waiting Game	78	97	82
Cuban Breeze	78	95	81
Billyjoh	74	94	80
Masterclass	71	97	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dare To Hope	8d ago	Quick return
Masterclass	9d ago	Quick return
Buccabay	10d ago	Quick return
Leap Abroad	10d ago	Quick return
Cuban Breeze	23d ago	Fit
Holkham Bay	24d ago	Fit
Shalaa Asker	29d ago	Fit
The Waiting Game	30d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	46d ago	Fresh
Hello Me	65d ago	Fresh
Burstow	98d ago	Long break
Letmelivemylife	119d ago	Long break