Ladbrokes (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race – Down Royal

Down Royal

16:00

Ladbrokes (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

Date 2023-11-11

Distance 2m190y

Class

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3	Cleatus Poolaw Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	168	—	21-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-20	31.4	4/5 56%
Stable has won the last eight runnings of this race and this is likely the one to beat
1	Big Dee Bay J:Mr J C Barry(3) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Mr J C Barry(3) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	168	—	2	-	101	-	54d	—	—	-5	9	11/2 15%
Should improve on his run at Listowel but this race looks potentially tougher
2	Bonavena Bay J:Mr D G Lavery T:Peter Fahey	J:Mr D G Lavery T:Peter Fahey	168	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	9 11%
Market should be a decent guide here and no surprise if he was a contender
10	Joya Del Mar Bay J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Dermot A McLoughlin	161	—	7-	-	104	29	207d	—	—	-3	1.1	25 4%
Showed some promise on her bumper debut at Tipperary in April; market should guide
4	Ganderstown Bay J:Neil Ryan(7) T:Noel Meade	J:Neil Ryan(7) T:Noel Meade	168	—	0-	-	79	39	273d	—	—	-3	1.1	33 3%
No show in a Naas bumper in February and needs to step up drastically on that
8	Pay The Tab Bay J:Mr F D Brickley(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mr F D Brickley(7) T:Gordon Elliott	168	—	P	-	-	-	36d	—	—	-2	0.7	40 3%
Did not show enthusiasm in a Downpatrick maiden hurdle last month; transformation needed
5	Ivybrook Bay J:Mr D McGill(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Mr D McGill(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	168	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	4.7	5 20%
Stable has two for the same connections and the market should be a good guide
6	Manfredi Bay J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	168	—	PP8-	-	103	-	216d	—	—	-6	2.5	10 10%
Not beaten far in a valuable sales bumper at Fairyhouse in April; more needed
9	Takenasred Chestnut J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Jamie Albert Sloan	J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Jamie Albert Sloan	168	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	80 1%
Interesting pedigree but best watched in this company
11	Skervan Bay J:Cian Walsh(7) T:Paul Mulligan	J:Cian Walsh(7) T:Paul Mulligan	161	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	100 1%
Alkhaadem gelding best watched on debut
7	Opera Night Chestnut J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:P A Fahy	J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:P A Fahy	168	—	9	-	84	65	23d	—	—	-2	0.8	40 3%
Down the field in a Thurles bumper last month and up against it here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cleatus Poolaw	4/5	4/5	4/5	8/11	4/5
Big Dee	6	11/2	5	5	5
Bonavena	8	9	8	8	9
Joya Del Mar	25	20	18	20	22
Ganderstown	33	28	25	28	28
Pay The Tab	33	40	33	40	40
Ivybrook	5	5	4	4	5
Manfredi	10	10	9	10	10
Takenasred	80	66	66	66	80
Skervan	100	100	100	100	100
Opera Night	33	33	25	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cleatus Poolaw

31.4

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 17.9

4/5

2nd

Big Dee

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Ivybrook

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

Manfredi

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Bonavena

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Joya Del Mar

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ganderstown

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Opera Night

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Pay The Tab

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Takenasred

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Skervan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cleatus Poolaw	—	—	—
Big Dee	—	101	—
Bonavena	—	—	—
Joya Del Mar	—	104	29
Ganderstown	—	79	39
Pay The Tab	—	—	—
Ivybrook	—	—	—
Manfredi	—	103	—
Takenasred	—	—	—
Skervan	—	—	—
Opera Night	—	84	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Opera Night	23d ago	Fit
Pay The Tab	36d ago	Fit
Big Dee	54d ago	Fresh
Joya Del Mar	207d ago	Long break
Manfredi	216d ago	Long break
Ganderstown	273d ago	Long break
Cleatus Poolaw	—	—
Bonavena	—	—
Ivybrook	—	—
Takenasred	—	—
Skervan	—	—