Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle – Huntingdon

Huntingdon

12:20

Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 2m4f145y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,085

Winning Time 5m 6.93s (slow by 16.93s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Apologise (IRE) Toby Wynne · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	9/1	Won
2nd	State Legend (IRE) Alice Stevens · Ian Williams	12/1	0.2
3rd	Celtic Fortune (IRE) Jack Hogan · Neil Mulholland	13/2	.5
4th	Furkash (FR) Harry Kimber · Joe Tizzard	9/4F	3
5th	Sir Rock (IRE) Ben Bromley · Toby Lawes	5/2	1.75
6th	Rafferty (IRE) Lewis Dobb · L J Morgan	28/1	7.5
7th	On Se Calme (FR) Oscar Palmer · Alan King	5/1	19
8th	Ipso Falco (FR) Freddie Gordon · Chris Gordon	25/1	15

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Deja Rouge (FR) Fergus Gillard · Kate Hazard	125/1

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Sir Rock Bay J:Ben Bromley T:Toby Lawes	J:Ben Bromley T:Toby Lawes	157	—	2P-1R3	94	106	91	36d	—	—	-6	18.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Some risks (has refused to race), but last-time Stratford third was a new peak form effort
6	Furkash Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Joe Tizzard	157	p	523-U2	94	107	53	26d	—	—	-3	16.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Still something to offer as a hurdler judged on Wincanton second latest; down in trip
2	On Se Calme Chestnut J:Oscar Palmer(10) T:Alan King	J:Oscar Palmer(10) T:Alan King	160	—	10-741	97	106	16	28d	—	—	-1	17	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Easy Hereford mares' maiden winner latest (2m); found a good opening on handicap debut
8	Celtic Fortune Bay J:Jack Hogan T:Neil Mulholland	J:Jack Hogan T:Neil Mulholland	156	—	7B99-3	93	105	89	188d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
6lb swing with Sir Rock for an 8l beating at Fontwell in May (2m5f, good); unseen since
9	Apologise Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	156	t	43P-69	94	106	80	37d	—	—	+3	14.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Form of defeats this autumn needs building on significantly; unsure 2m4f will be a plus
1	State Legend Bay J:Alice Stevens(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Alice Stevens(3) T:Ian Williams	160	—	76P-	98	99	50	—	—	—	+8	13.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Another Flat success in July (1m6f); not easy mark judged on initial runs over hurdles
5	Ipso Falco Bay J:Freddie Gordon T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon T:Chris Gordon	157	—	8-7956	94	103	52	38d	—	—	+8	12.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Mark makes some sense on peak form effort; hasn't shone over 2m3f-2m4f up to now
4	Rafferty Bay J:Lewis Dobb(6) T:L J Morgan	J:Lewis Dobb(6) T:L J Morgan	158	—	3P/4-8	95	93	23	174d	—	—	+9	12	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has offered little in just two starts this past year, the latest back over hurdles (2m5f)
3	Deja Rouge Chestnut J:Fergus Gillard T:Kate Hazard	J:Fergus Gillard T:Kate Hazard	159	—	00P5-P	96	100	23	7d	—	—	+10	11.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Has offered little across three starts for current yard, including on last week's return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sir Rock	3	3	11/4	3/1	11/4
Furkash	7/2	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
On Se Calme	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Celtic Fortune	5	9/2	5	5	5
Apologise	6	7	7	7	7
State Legend	14	14	14	14	14
Ipso Falco	20/1	20	18	20	22/1
Rafferty	40/1	33	33	33	40/1
Deja Rouge	66/1	50	100	50	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Rock

18.3

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Celtic Fortune

17.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

On Se Calme

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Furkash

16.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Apologise

14.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

State Legend

13.4

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ipso Falco

12.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Rafferty

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Deja Rouge

11.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
State Legend	98	99	50
On Se Calme	97	106	16
Deja Rouge	96	100	23
Rafferty	95	93	23
Sir Rock	94	106	91
Furkash	94	107	53
Apologise	94	106	80
Ipso Falco	94	103	52
Celtic Fortune	93	105	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Deja Rouge	7d ago	Quick return
Furkash	26d ago	Fit
On Se Calme	28d ago	Fit
Sir Rock	36d ago	Fit
Apologise	37d ago	Fit
Ipso Falco	38d ago	Fit
Rafferty	174d ago	Long break
Celtic Fortune	188d ago	Long break
State Legend	—	—