Off The Fence On youtube.com/attheraces Novices' Handicap Chase

Doncaster

13:00

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 2m78y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Gone In Sixty Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	157	t	525325	84	98	88	11d	—	—	-1	21.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Slightly disappointing on latest outing but last month's Fontwell second was a good effort
7	Key Factor Bay J:James Davies T:Henry Oliver	J:James Davies T:Henry Oliver	147	—	0747-4	74	84	69	24d	—	—	-5	10.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Respectable fourth on seasonal/chase debut; may fare better on this left-handed track
3	Fearless Action Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Chris Grant	165	p	34-071	92	101	89	20d	—	—	+1	14.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Battled well to open account in first-time cheekpieces last month, his sixth chase start
2	Guillaume Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	166	—	PF943-	93	97	70	217d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Placed at Sedgefield on chase/handicap debut in April; big player if tuned up after break
1	Fanfan Du Seuil Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Nick Kent	J:Charlie Hammond T:Nick Kent	168	—	P/543-	95	-	-	365d	—	—	+4	14.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Made frame in both hurdles for stable but this chasing debut comes after a one-year layoff
9	Loudspeaker Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Sean Houlihan T:Seamus Mullins	142	—	345P-8	77	-	-	7d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has uninspiring record over hurdles and is not bred for chasing; others preferred
6	Fox's Socks Brown J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Mike Sowersby	153	t	-3P393	80	98	99	71d	—	—	+7	14.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Made underwhelming stable debut ten weeks ago and now 0-7 over fences
10	Out For The Count Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Jennie Candlish	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Jennie Candlish	142	v	PP63U4	69	-	44	38d	—	—	0	6.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Tailed off over 2m7f last month; sharply dropped back in trip today
8	Solid Fuel Bay J:Conor Ring(3) T:Joanne Thomason-Murphy	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Joanne Thomason-Murphy	142	—	434737	69	96	62	24d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Soundly beaten in both chases last month and again out of the weights here
5	Howyouplaythegame Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Sam Allwood	J:Craig Nichol T:Sam Allwood	155	—	/8024-	82	97	68	232d	—	—	+9	12.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not seen since March but ran big race in defeat on chase/handicap debut that month
11	Scottsdale Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Peter Winks	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Peter Winks	142	—	444P-7	69	-	58	37d	—	—	+3	5.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Won over hurdles in 2019 but it's a long time since he showed any worthwhile form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gone In Sixty	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Key Factor	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Fearless Action	5	5	11/2	5	5
Guillaume	6	11/2	6	6	11/2
Fanfan Du Seuil	15/2	7	8	15/2	15/2
Loudspeaker	9	17/2	9	9	9
Fox's Socks	12	11	12	12	12
Out For The Count	11	12	12	12	12
Solid Fuel	33	33	33	33	33
Howyouplaythegame	22	25/1	25	25	25
Scottsdale	33	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gone In Sixty

21.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 6 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Guillaume

16.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.3 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Fearless Action

14.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Fanfan Du Seuil

14.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Fox's Socks

14.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.7 Odds: 1.9

Howyouplaythegame

12.6

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Key Factor

10.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Loudspeaker

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Solid Fuel

8.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.9

Out For The Count

6.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.2 Odds: 1.7

Scottsdale

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fanfan Du Seuil	95	—	—
Guillaume	93	97	70
Fearless Action	92	101	89
Gone In Sixty	84	98	88
Howyouplaythegame	82	97	68
Fox's Socks	80	98	99
Loudspeaker	77	—	—
Key Factor	74	84	69
Out For The Count	69	—	44
Solid Fuel	69	96	62
Scottsdale	69	—	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Loudspeaker	7d ago	Quick return
Gone In Sixty	11d ago	Quick return
Fearless Action	20d ago	Fit
Key Factor	24d ago	Fit
Solid Fuel	24d ago	Fit
Scottsdale	37d ago	Fit
Out For The Count	38d ago	Fit
Fox's Socks	71d ago	Fresh
Guillaume	217d ago	Long break
Howyouplaythegame	232d ago	Long break
Fanfan Du Seuil	365d ago	Long break