At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Hurdle – Doncaster

Doncaster

15:53

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 2m4f181y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Zwicky Bay J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Philip Kirby	166	—	513-11	102	112	89	22d	—	—	-3	19.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
2-2 this term, winning at Sedgefield and Carlisle; improving sort; respected
8	Burrows Hall Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	159	—	341P-3	95	108	102	29d	—	—	+5	17.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Creditable third over 2m1f at Carlisle on reappearance; could go well again
NR	Headscarf Lil Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	163	—	7-1842	99	107	64	67d	—	—	-5	19.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not sure to back up latest effort, having proved inconsistent this year
1	Immortal Fame Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	168	p	2883-2	104	107	70	17d	—	—	+11	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has a record of 3-4 in 2m4f/2m5f contests over hurdles; major claims
3	Well Vicky Bay J:David Bass T:Alastair Ralph	J:David Bass T:Alastair Ralph	165	—	11140-	101	106	94	211d	—	—	+15	25.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
3-3 in Class 5, namely a February hat-trick; possibilities back in this grade
10	What A Steal Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Tom George	J:Jonathan Burke T:Tom George	157	t	/503P-	93	108	95	203d	—	—	+3	14.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Had wind surgery since last run; may progress this season
9	Nickelforce Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	157	h	465-42	94	104	76	31d	—	—	+4	13.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Solid second at Hereford last month; open to further progress in handicaps
NR	Coilrock Bay J:Max Kendrick T:D J Jeffreys	J:Max Kendrick T:D J Jeffreys	142	h	1098-P	78	89	-	58d	—	—	-4	11.5	2.75/1	12 8%
May improve if taking well to first-time hood; second handicap attempt
11	Mister Barclay Bay J:Jordan Nailor T:Tom Symonds	J:Jordan Nailor T:Tom Symonds	155	—	8P663-	91	104	88	225d	—	—	+8	14.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Promising handicap debut at Hereford on last appearance; one to consider
16	No Worries Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Neil Mulholland	J:Bryan Carver T:Neil Mulholland	142	tp	-P4368	78	104	56	42d	—	—	+5	9.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Poor effort returned to hurdles six weeks ago; opposed
5	Ambassador Bay J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	163	v	511714	99	106	100	—	—	—	+21	25.5	4.75/1	20 5%
2-4 over hurdles for current stable but has stamina to prove upped in trip
13	Bergentown Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	151	—	-18966	87	107	98	37d	—	—	+9	12.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Has totally failed to build on Bangor success; others preferred
14	Magna Moralia Grey J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Mike Sowersby	150	p	264250	86	108	82	90d	—	—	+9	12.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
0-11 and inconsistent for current stable; not sure what to expect
15	Rainbow Jet Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:John Mackie	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:John Mackie	142	—	8566-F	78	102	73	—	—	—	+5	7.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Flat winner who has unconvincing hurdles form
12	Seaborough Bay J:James Davies T:Derek Shaw	J:James Davies T:Derek Shaw	154	—	1635-7	90	100	74	—	—	—	+8	10.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Exposed 8yo who has poor claims on 2023 form (Flat/hurdles)
7	Miss Mahmite Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Richard Phillips	J:Tom Bellamy T:Richard Phillips	162	—	342PP/	98	-	-	960d	—	—	+11	13.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Returning from a long absence and debuting for new yard; market can guide
4	Monty Nevett Chestnut J:Craig Nichol T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Craig Nichol T:Jedd O'Keeffe	164	—	687-39	101	97	40	145d	—	—	+12	13.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Looked a non-stayer over 2m4f last time out; has a stamina doubt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zwicky	11/4	11/4	3	3	11/4
Burrows Hall	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Headscarf Lil	15/2	15/2	15/2	8	8
Immortal Fame	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	6
Well Vicky	13/2	7	7	7	7
What A Steal	7	13/2	6	6/1	7
Nickelforce	15/2	7	7	7	8
Coilrock	10	11	12	12	12
Mister Barclay	14	12	11	12	12
No Worries	16	20	20	20	20
Ambassador	20	20	18	20	20
Bergentown	25	25	22	25	25
Magna Moralia	28/1	25	22	25	25
Rainbow Jet	40	40	40	40	40
Seaborough	40/1	33	33	33	33
Miss Mahmite	50	40	33	33	33
Monty Nevett	100	80	80	80	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Well Vicky

25.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Ambassador

25.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Immortal Fame

21.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Headscarf Lil

19.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.7

15/2

Zwicky

19.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Burrows Hall

17.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

6/1

What A Steal

14.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Mister Barclay

14.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.6 Odds: 1.7

Nickelforce

13.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Miss Mahmite

13.1

OR: 12 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.6

Monty Nevett

13.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Magna Moralia

12.4

OR: 9 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Bergentown

12.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

Coilrock

11.5

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

Seaborough

10.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

No Worries

9.4

OR: 7 Form: 1.2 Odds: 1.2

Rainbow Jet

7.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Immortal Fame	104	107	70
Zwicky	102	112	89
Well Vicky	101	106	94
Monty Nevett	101	97	40
Headscarf Lil	99	107	64
Ambassador	99	106	100
Miss Mahmite	98	—	—
Burrows Hall	95	108	102
Nickelforce	94	104	76
What A Steal	93	108	95
Mister Barclay	91	104	88
Seaborough	90	100	74
Bergentown	87	107	98
Magna Moralia	86	108	82
Coilrock	78	89	—
No Worries	78	104	56
Rainbow Jet	78	102	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Immortal Fame	17d ago	Fit
Zwicky	22d ago	Fit
Burrows Hall	29d ago	Fit
Nickelforce	31d ago	Fit
Bergentown	37d ago	Fit
No Worries	42d ago	Fit
Coilrock	58d ago	Fresh
Headscarf Lil	67d ago	Fresh
Magna Moralia	90d ago	Fresh
Monty Nevett	145d ago	Long break
What A Steal	203d ago	Long break
Well Vicky	211d ago	Long break
Mister Barclay	225d ago	Long break
Miss Mahmite	960d ago	Long break
Ambassador	—	—
Rainbow Jet	—	—
Seaborough	—	—