Bar One Racing "Price Boosts Across All Channels" Apprentice Handicap (Div I)

Dundalk (AW)

18:15

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 1m4f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (17)	Sioux Princess Bay J:James Ryan T:M D O'Callaghan	J:James Ryan T:M D O'Callaghan	129	tb	-67719	51	69	60	35d	—	—	-7	13	0.50/1	3 33%
A 1m4f winner in September; didn't get the breaks dropped to 1m2f last time
9 (7)	Maura's Gift Bay J:Robert Whearty T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty T:Paul W Flynn	129	—	589997	51	75	55	49d	—	—	-12	5.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won this last year off 5lb higher; below par since but too well treated to ignore
4 (4)	Humtaza Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(2) T:P O'Rourke	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(2) T:P O'Rourke	137	tb	424795	59	76	55	16d	—	—	-8	7.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made up some late ground over C&D 16 days ago and she's still lightly raced
14 (13)	Nevada Brave Bay J:Wesley Joyce T:Luke Comer	J:Wesley Joyce T:Luke Comer	125	—	338034	47	75	52	56d	—	—	-8	7.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Effective here; won over 1m2f here in January and a number of good efforts since
NR (3)	Deluca Chop Chestnut J:TBC T:S M Duffy	J: T:S M Duffy	138	p	955363	60	70	51	56d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Narrowly denied over 1m2f here last time and he won over a longer trip than this in France
NR (6)	Nusra Bay J:TBC T:G Ahern	J: T:G Ahern	125	p	-20810	47	74	-	32d	—	—	0	11	3.25/1	14 7%
Heavy ground too much for her last time but looks hard to predict
3 (9)	St Cianans Fire Bay J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C McConnell	J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C McConnell	138	t	-00040	60	74	28	9d	—	—	-3	4.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Back-to-back 1m2f wins here last November, the latest off a similar mark; possible
NR (2)	Areana Bay J:TBC T:Miss Shauna Larkin	J: T:Miss Shauna Larkin	140	—	659260	62	71	39	128d	—	—	-26	21.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Third reserve; second over 1m4f on handicap debut at Tipperary in May
1 (5)	Storm Steps Brown J:Jack Kearney T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney T:Patrick Martin	140	t	809-09	62	68	46	16d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Three-time C&D winner but well below best in just two appearances in the last 12 months
5 (8)	Action Motion Grey J:Sean D Bowen T:Miss Shauna Larkin	J:Sean D Bowen T:Miss Shauna Larkin	136	p	05-507	58	72	33	9d	—	—	-3	3.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Repeat of her close fifth at Killarney in July (1m3f) wouldn't see her far away
NR (15)	Bronze River Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	125	—	797990	47	73	46	14d	—	—	-35	18.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Second reserve; 1m too sharp last time but didn't go into that race in the best of form
11 (11)	Dreams Fled Away Bay J:Hugh Horgan(2) T:Shane Crawley	J:Hugh Horgan(2) T:Shane Crawley	128	b	0-0009	50	67	47	49d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Has made no progress since sent in handicaps, the latest over C&D; now blinkered
6 (1)	Is That So Grey J:Jack Cleary(4) T:Adrian Murray	J:Jack Cleary(4) T:Adrian Murray	131	p	/206-0	53	73	39	35d	—	—	-1	1.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Has a lot to prove right now and cheekpieces are tried
13 (14)	Ballycommon Chapel Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:P Cluskey	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:P Cluskey	125	b	0-0700	47	69	38	56d	—	—	-3	1.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Tailed off here last time after running moderately over hurdles; now 0-14 overall
7 (12)	Landue Bay J:Oisin McSweeney T:R K Watson	J:Oisin McSweeney T:R K Watson	131	b	5/0000	53	68	39	9d	—	—	-2	2	9.75/1	40 3%
Four-time winner in Britain at about this distance; mostly disappointing in Ireland
8 (16)	Big Challenge Chestnut J:Paddy Harnett T:R Donohoe	J:Paddy Harnett T:R Donohoe	130	—	000-00	52	71	-	18d	—	—	-2	1.5	8.00/1	33 3%
No wins since 2021 and it's been a while since he showed worthwhile form
12 (10)	Td's Approach Bay J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Cian Collins	J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Cian Collins	128	—	0049	55	71	18	128d	—	—	-1	2.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Lightly raced; beaten in the claimers the last twice and has been off since July

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sioux Princess	3	3	3	3	3
Maura's Gift	4	4	7/2	4	4
Humtaza	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Nevada Brave	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Deluca Chop	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
Nusra	14	12	11	14	SP
St Cianans Fire	14	14	14	14	12
Areana	SP	18	16	18	18
Storm Steps	18	16	16	16	14
Action Motion	12	11	11	11	11
Bronze River	25	33	28	33	33
Dreams Fled Away	14	12	12	14	12
Is That So	33	40	33	33	33
Ballycommon Chapel	28	33	33	33	33
Landue	40	33	33	33	33
Big Challenge	33	25	25	25	25
Td's Approach	20	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Areana

21.5

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 16

2nd

Bronze River

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 18.9

3rd

Sioux Princess

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

Deluca Chop

11.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Nusra

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 3

Humtaza

7.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Nevada Brave

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Maura's Gift

5.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

St Cianans Fire

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Storm Steps

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Action Motion

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Td's Approach

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Landue

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Dreams Fled Away

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Is That So

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Big Challenge

1.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ballycommon Chapel

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Areana	62	71	39
Storm Steps	62	68	46
Deluca Chop	60	70	51
St Cianans Fire	60	74	28
Humtaza	59	76	55
Action Motion	58	72	33
Td's Approach	55	71	18
Is That So	53	73	39
Landue	53	68	39
Big Challenge	52	71	—
Sioux Princess	51	69	60
Maura's Gift	51	75	55
Dreams Fled Away	50	67	47
Nevada Brave	47	75	52
Nusra	47	74	—
Bronze River	47	73	46
Ballycommon Chapel	47	69	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
St Cianans Fire	9d ago	Quick return
Action Motion	9d ago	Quick return
Landue	9d ago	Quick return
Bronze River	14d ago	Fit
Humtaza	16d ago	Fit
Storm Steps	16d ago	Fit
Big Challenge	18d ago	Fit
Nusra	32d ago	Fit
Sioux Princess	35d ago	Fit
Is That So	35d ago	Fit
Maura's Gift	49d ago	Fresh
Dreams Fled Away	49d ago	Fresh
Nevada Brave	56d ago	Fresh
Deluca Chop	56d ago	Fresh
Ballycommon Chapel	56d ago	Fresh
Areana	128d ago	Long break
Td's Approach	128d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
St Cianans Fire	Prominent
Maura's Gift	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 17 runners classified.