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Dundalk (AW)

17:10

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 6f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (17)	Volatile Analyst Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	140	—	-57064	80	95	-	34d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.25/1	6 17%
Yet to hit form for current yard and wide draw makes this tough
12 (8)	Half Nutz Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	132	—	274500	72	97	66	26d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Slow starts often his downfall; 0-6 on AW but never one to rule out
5 (10)	Jered Maddox Bay J:W J Lee T:David Marnane	J:W J Lee T:David Marnane	138	—	002164	78	88	76	14d	—	—	+1	18.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Creditable staying-on C&D fourth latest; five-time winner here never one to rule out
13 (3)	Secret Magician Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Martin Hassett	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Martin Hassett	132	b	100604	72	92	-	17d	—	—	-3	8.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Good Curragh effort latest; interesting now on AW debut from a good draw
1 (6)	Daamberdiplomat Chestnut J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:J P Murtagh	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:J P Murtagh	142	—	-57444	82	89	-	83d	—	—	+2	10.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Had break since good Curragh run in August; only second AW start but top-weight respected
NR (13)	First Gentleman Bay J:TBC T:Mrs John Harrington	J: T:Mrs John Harrington	130	p	233786	70	93	-	30d	—	—	-44	26.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Weighted to go well if taking to this surface; reserve
8 (16)	Petit Calvados Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:E J O'Neill	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:E J O'Neill	137	—	14-638	77	87	62	41d	—	—	+1	9.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Penultimate C&D third encouraging but wide draw to overcome here
NR (11)	Eastern Wind Bay J:TBC T:T G McCourt	J: T:T G McCourt	131	v	085696	71	75	52	12d	—	—	-45	25.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Best form at 7f, not sure if she has the speed for this; reserve
NR (2)	Distillate Chestnut J:TBC T:Adrian McGuinness	J: T:Adrian McGuinness	130	t	251540	70	81	-	17d	—	—	-42	28	4.75/1	20 5%
Poor effort on latest but respected on balance of form; reserve
6 (1)	Ostraka Bay J:Shane Foley T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Shane Foley T:M Halford & T Collins	138	b	1457	78	90	-	72d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Hasn't progressed from debut maiden win but may yet do better; AW debut
9 (5)	Furnace Creek Chestnut J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Robbie Colgan T:Joseph Anthony Murray	135	p	039200	75	92	-	17d	—	—	+6	10.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Disappointing on turf last twice; cheekpieces now fitted for second AW start
10 (15)	Cash Or Crypto Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	134	—	03RR35	74	90	52	35d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't quite get home over 7f last month, drop in trip to suit but wide draw a negative
4 (7)	Musical Tribute Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	J:Chris Hayes T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	139	b	333194	79	90	77	29d	—	—	+11	14.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Chelmsford winner bought for 20,000gns; fair draw and not one to rule out on Irish debut
3 (14)	Dontspoilasale Bay J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Miss Natalia Lupini	139	—	952740	79	87	62	14d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Never sighted from wide draw on recent comeback and draw again hasn't been kind here
11 (12)	Curraheen Princess Chestnut J:Gary Carroll T:N Stokes	J:Gary Carroll T:N Stokes	133	—	660957	73	89	-	12d	—	—	+3	7	4.75/1	20 5%
Eight turf wins, belatedly tries the polytrack here and could have done with a kinder draw
7 (4)	Marks Bear Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:W J Burke	J:Declan McDonogh T:W J Burke	137	—	60-005	77	72	-	60d	—	—	+4	7.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Dual AW winner in Britain needs to improve on recent turf form off lower marks
14 (9)	Tamazu Bay J:Calum Hogan(10) T:Fergal Birrane	J:Calum Hogan(10) T:Fergal Birrane	132	t	-27362	72	91	63	66d	—	—	+8	14.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Recent Laytown second but needs to improve markedly on four previous visits here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Volatile Analyst	6	6	6	6	6
Half Nutz	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	6
Jered Maddox	9/2	4	10/3	4	4
Secret Magician	8	7/1	6	6	13/2
Daamberdiplomat	8	8	15/2	8	8
First Gentleman	12	14	12	14	16
Petit Calvados	14	14	14	14	14
Eastern Wind	20	16	14	16	16
Distillate	14	20	18	20	20
Ostraka	16	16	14	16	16
Furnace Creek	20	20	16	20	20
Cash Or Crypto	7	6	6	13/2	13/2
Musical Tribute	22	22	20	20	22/1
Dontspoilasale	9	9	17/2	9	9
Curraheen Princess	20	18	16	20	20
Marks Bear	28	28	25	28	28
Tamazu	25	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Distillate

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 20

2nd

First Gentleman

26.5

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 20

3rd

Eastern Wind

25.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

Jered Maddox

18.7

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Musical Tribute

14.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Tamazu

14.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.7

Ostraka

11.6

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Dontspoilasale

11.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Volatile Analyst

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Cash Or Crypto

10.8

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Furnace Creek

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.4

Daamberdiplomat

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Half Nutz

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Petit Calvados

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Secret Magician

8.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Marks Bear

7.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Curraheen Princess

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Daamberdiplomat	82	89	—
Volatile Analyst	80	95	—
Musical Tribute	79	90	77
Dontspoilasale	79	87	62
Jered Maddox	78	88	76
Ostraka	78	90	—
Petit Calvados	77	87	62
Marks Bear	77	72	—
Furnace Creek	75	92	—
Cash Or Crypto	74	90	52
Curraheen Princess	73	89	—
Half Nutz	72	97	66
Secret Magician	72	92	—
Tamazu	72	91	63
Eastern Wind	71	75	52
First Gentleman	70	93	—
Distillate	70	81	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eastern Wind	12d ago	Quick return
Curraheen Princess	12d ago	Quick return
Jered Maddox	14d ago	Fit
Dontspoilasale	14d ago	Fit
Secret Magician	17d ago	Fit
Distillate	17d ago	Fit
Furnace Creek	17d ago	Fit
Half Nutz	26d ago	Fit
Musical Tribute	29d ago	Fit
First Gentleman	30d ago	Fit
Volatile Analyst	34d ago	Fit
Cash Or Crypto	35d ago	Fit
Petit Calvados	41d ago	Fit
Marks Bear	60d ago	Fresh
Tamazu	66d ago	Fresh
Ostraka	72d ago	Fresh
Daamberdiplomat	83d ago	Fresh