Bar One Racing "Guaranteed Overnight Prices" Nursery Handicap

Dundalk (AW)

17:45

Date 2023-11-17

Distance 1m

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €6,490

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Masonbrook Meadow Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	139	b	5095	71	71	62	42d	—	—	-12	12.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Better on nursery debut here last time and she found some trouble' now blinkered
4 (7)	Koniag Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Declan McDonogh T:Kieran P Cotter	130	tb	09556	62	70	28	32d	—	—	-9	8	1.00/1	5 20%
Eyecatching at Naas and conditions were testing at Gowran; now blinkered
6 (9)	Thia Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	126	tp	350646	58	69	-	18d	—	—	-5	4.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Beaten in four nurseries and was behind Victor's Choice in the latest
1 (6)	Bergamasco Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Jack W Davison	J:James Ryan(5) T:Jack W Davison	142	—	4534	74	71	35	2d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	12.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Some reservations about him going up to 1m and looks on a harsh mark
8 (8)	Burn The Bridges Chestnut J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	125	—	0508	57	69	-	70d	—	—	-3	3.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Not beaten many rivals in any of his runs, including handicap debut
3 (13)	Dream Ticket Chestnut J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	131	v	090	63	65	-	36d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Poor form so far but a visor may help now entering nurseries
13 (12)	With Annie Luck Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Chris Hayes T:Kevin Prendergast	119	—	7709	51	68	-	31d	—	—	-5	2.2	3.75/1	16 6%
The ground was heavy when well beaten on nursery debut; went off only 9-1
7 (1)	Victor's Choice Chestnut J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Adrian Murray	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Adrian Murray	126	t	0602	58	75	-	18d	—	—	-1	10.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
First worthwhile form when running on from off the pace to be second on handicap debut
9 (10)	Highland Bells Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	123	—	87646	55	71	-	17d	—	—	-5	3.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Heavy ground might not have been ideal in his two nurseries
5 (11)	Miami Sunshine Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Adrian Murray	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Adrian Murray	130	—	959	62	69	29	21d	—	—	0	4.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Has shown some ability and is entitled to show more now handicapping
10 (3)	So Diligent Bay J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:T G McCourt	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:T G McCourt	122	h	897	54	67	20	80d	—	—	-1	1.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Unsure as to what trip he wants and now hooded for nursery debut
11 (2)	Mokotow Glory Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Daniel James Murphy	119	—	000	51	65	-	35d	—	—	-3	1.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Insufficient promise in his maidens on turf to rate an obvious contender on nursery debut
12 (5)	Phoenix Princess Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	119	—	950	51	57	-	31d	—	—	-1	0.7	19.75/1	80 1%
Pretty much tailed off in three deep-ground maidens at about 1m; lots to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Masonbrook Meadow	5/2	3	3	3	3
Koniag	5	4/1	7/2	4	4
Thia	17/2	8	15/2	8	8
Bergamasco	6	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Burn The Bridges	12	11	10	11	10/1
Dream Ticket	11	10	9	12/1	10
With Annie Luck	16	16	12	16	16
Victor's Choice	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1	9
Highland Bells	8	17/2	8	9/1	9
Miami Sunshine	22	20	18	20	20
So Diligent	66	50	40	50	40
Mokotow Glory	50	40	33	40	40
Phoenix Princess	80	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Masonbrook Meadow

12.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Bergamasco

12.1

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Victor's Choice

10.3

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

9/1

Koniag

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Dream Ticket

5.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Thia

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Miami Sunshine

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Burn The Bridges

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Highland Bells

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

With Annie Luck

2.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

So Diligent

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Mokotow Glory

1.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Phoenix Princess

0.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bergamasco	74	71	35
Masonbrook Meadow	71	71	62
Dream Ticket	63	65	—
Koniag	62	70	28
Miami Sunshine	62	69	29
Thia	58	69	—
Victor's Choice	58	75	—
Burn The Bridges	57	69	—
Highland Bells	55	71	—
So Diligent	54	67	20
With Annie Luck	51	68	—
Mokotow Glory	51	65	—
Phoenix Princess	51	57	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bergamasco	2d ago	Quick return
Highland Bells	17d ago	Fit
Thia	18d ago	Fit
Victor's Choice	18d ago	Fit
Miami Sunshine	21d ago	Fit
With Annie Luck	31d ago	Fit
Phoenix Princess	31d ago	Fit
Koniag	32d ago	Fit
Mokotow Glory	35d ago	Fit
Dream Ticket	36d ago	Fit
Masonbrook Meadow	42d ago	Fit
Burn The Bridges	70d ago	Fresh
So Diligent	80d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Koniag	Prominent
Victor's Choice	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.