Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

11:15

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-11-18

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Wake Up Harry Bay J:J F Egan T:Brian Toomey	J:J F Egan T:Brian Toomey	132	—	260082	59	81	60	12d	—	—	-16	17.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
C&D winner; well handicapped & went close at Kempton 12 days ago; new yard; major player
3 (8)	Intricate Pillar Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tom Ward	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tom Ward	137	t	406622	66	73	53	17d	—	—	-2	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Runner-up at Kempton and over C&D on her last two starts; in the mix once again
1 (7)	Wadacre Grace Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	142	—	759131	69	76	64	8d	—	—	+12	25.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Five AW wins (including C&D) and drops in class after a ready Chelmsford win last week
7 (4)	Recuerdame Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	129	—	501446	56	75	61	17d	—	—	-2	6.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ten wins on AW and comes here in fair form; strong pace suits his come-from-behind style
6 (3)	Deed Pole Bay J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	130	—	443343	59	72	42	14d	—	—	+2	10	2.25/1	9/1 10%
11-race maiden but hard to fault his consistency & he made a pleasing return two weeks ago
2 (9)	Mykonos St John Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	138	p	865928	65	72	59	16d	—	—	+4	8.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Near miss over C&D last month; less good over 7f (Class 5) latest; can bounce back
4 (2)	Roscioli Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Brett Johnson	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Brett Johnson	135	t	514246	62	76	21	30d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won a 2-runner race at Brighton in June; below par latest; others look stronger today
9 (10)	Equiami Bay J:Harry Davies T:Philip McBride	J:Harry Davies T:Philip McBride	119	—	170964	48	74	65	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
1m winner at Southwell in April off 6lb higher; patchy record since; others look safer
10 (1)	Sapperdean Grey Roan J:Luke Morris T:Luke Dace	J:Luke Morris T:Luke Dace	119	h	708703	46	71	29	26d	—	—	+1	3.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Didn't run badly on heavy ground last month but this is stronger and he's opposable again
8 (5)	Forever Proud Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Hoad	J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Hoad	127	—	864590	56	75	18	31d	—	—	0	2	16.25/1	66 2%
Hard to recommend on what she has shown in two runs for her new stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wake Up Harry	13/8	6/4	6/4	13/8	6/4
Intricate Pillar	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	7/2
Wadacre Grace	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Recuerdame	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Deed Pole	8	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1
Mykonos St John	16	16	16	16	16
Roscioli	16	18/1	16	16	16
Equiami	25	25	25	25	25
Sapperdean	50	40	50	50	50
Forever Proud	66	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wadacre Grace

25.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Intricate Pillar

18.7

OR: 4 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Wake Up Harry

17.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

Deed Pole

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Roscioli

8.9

OR: 3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Mykonos St John

8.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Recuerdame

6.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Sapperdean

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Forever Proud

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Equiami

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wadacre Grace	69	76	64
Intricate Pillar	66	73	53
Mykonos St John	65	72	59
Roscioli	62	76	21
Wake Up Harry	59	81	60
Deed Pole	59	72	42
Recuerdame	56	75	61
Forever Proud	56	75	18
Equiami	48	74	65
Sapperdean	46	71	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wadacre Grace	8d ago	Quick return
Equiami	11d ago	Quick return
Wake Up Harry	12d ago	Quick return
Deed Pole	14d ago	Fit
Mykonos St John	16d ago	Fit
Intricate Pillar	17d ago	Fit
Recuerdame	17d ago	Fit
Sapperdean	26d ago	Fit
Roscioli	30d ago	Fit
Forever Proud	31d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.