Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

11:45

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-11-18

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 38.34s (slow by 3.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Raqraaq (USA) David Probert · Patrick Chamings	16/5	Won
2nd	Golden Phase (GB) David Egan · Denis Coakley	15/2	0.3
3rd	H Key Lails (GB) Robert Havlin · Michael Attwater	12/1	1.5
4th	Hul Ah Bah Loo (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	9/2	.75
5th	Island Native (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Michael Appleby	11/8F	2.5
6th	Villalobos (IRE) Adam Farragher · Simon Hodgson	12/1	3
7th	Poppaea (GB) William Cox · Charles Hills	100/1	1
8th	Adaayinourlife (GB) Luke Morris · Mark Usher	33/1	0.2
9th	Kokomo (GB) Richard Kingscote · Brian O'Rourke	33/1	1.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (1)	Cephalus Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary Moore	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary Moore	130	—	808600	57	70	-	31d	—	—	-48	21.8	—	—
Four AW wins in winter 2021-22 but well held on all six outings this year
7 (7)	Island Native Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	129	p	652232	58	74	66	26d	—	—	-9	23.1	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Placed four times on AW (including C&D) this autumn and can strike for excellent new yard
1 (3)	Hul Ah Bah Loo Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	139	—	508461	66	76	48	17d	—	—	+1	19.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second C&D win when leading late on 17 days ago; a 3lb rise looks fair
3 (10)	Raqraaq Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	135	—	260803	62	78	43	31d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-6	11	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-16 but was a back-to-form third over 1m at Kempton last time
8 (8)	Golden Phase Chestnut J:David Egan T:Denis Coakley	J:David Egan T:Denis Coakley	124	p	901232	53	73	64	22d	—	—	+5	16.7	1.50/1	7 14%
Turf win in August; three good placed efforts on AW since; cheekpieces on; should go well
6 (9)	Villalobos Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Simon Hodgson	129	p	452296	56	74	68	16d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	7.2	2.75/1	12 8%
C&D winner; mostly good efforts this year but below par last twice
4 (6)	H Key Lails Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	132	—	212655	61	73	60	86d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Turf efforts in late summer nothing special but did win on AW for previous yard
9 (2)	Adaayinourlife Bay J:Luke Morris T:Mark Usher	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Usher	119	—	504884	46	71	53	12d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Sole win in 23 starts came over C&D in 2022; back from break with fair fourth 12 days ago
2 (5)	Kokomo Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Brian O'Rourke	J:Richard Kingscote T:Brian O'Rourke	137	h	252007	66	71	10	39d	—	—	+3	6.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Showed early promise but has struggled since handicapping
10 (4)	Poppaea Bay J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	118	—	0-9839	47	73	65	35d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Third in 7f handicap here in June but well held at Chelmsford last month on sole run since

Horse	bet365	Coral
Cephalus	SP	SP
Island Native	6/4	13/8
Hul Ah Bah Loo	7/2	10/3
Raqraaq	4	7/2
Golden Phase	7	6/1
Villalobos	12	12
H Key Lails	12	12
Adaayinourlife	25	28/1
Kokomo	33	28/1
Poppaea	66/1	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Island Native

23.1

OR: 2 Form: 11.1 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Cephalus

21.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Hul Ah Bah Loo

19.2

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Golden Phase

16.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 3.3

Raqraaq

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

H Key Lails

8.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Villalobos

7.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.7

Kokomo

6.4

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

Adaayinourlife

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Poppaea

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hul Ah Bah Loo	66	76	48
Kokomo	66	71	10
Raqraaq	62	78	43
H Key Lails	61	73	60
Island Native	58	74	66
Cephalus	57	70	—
Villalobos	56	74	68
Golden Phase	53	73	64
Poppaea	47	73	65
Adaayinourlife	46	71	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Adaayinourlife	12d ago	Quick return
Villalobos	16d ago	Fit
Hul Ah Bah Loo	17d ago	Fit
Golden Phase	22d ago	Fit
Island Native	26d ago	Fit
Cephalus	31d ago	Fit
Raqraaq	31d ago	Fit
Poppaea	35d ago	Fit
Kokomo	39d ago	Fit
H Key Lails	86d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.