BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:38

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2023-11-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,454

Winning Time 1m 13.34s (slow by 2.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Phoenix Beach (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Richard Fahey	9/2	Won
2nd	Bella Kopella (IRE) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	4/1F	.75
3rd	Rainbow Rain (GB) Tom Eaves · Tracy Waggott	5/1	0.3
4th	El Hibri (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	6/1	1.5
5th	Conri (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	18/1	0.3
6th	Global Humor (USA) David Egan · Jim Goldie	22/1	0.2
7th	Mr Trevor (IRE) Jonny Peate · Ann Duffield	10/1	0.2
8th	Athollblair Boy (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	10/1	.75
9th	Lady Celia (GB) Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	12/1	.75
10th	Turbo Command (IRE) Mark Winn · Alison Hamilton	14/1	0.1
11th	Miss Britain (IRE) Harry Burns · Ian McInnes	18/1	1
12th	My Boy Jack (GB) Ben Sanderson · Kevin Frost	25/1	2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (6)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	134	t	937521	64	78	71	9d	—	—	+5	22.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Up 2lb since her win here nine days ago and is much respected dropping back again in trip.
10 (1)	El Hibri Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	126	—	002146	56	77	60	50d	—	—	-3	12.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Made all at Kempton (6f, Polytrack) but handicapper may now have caught up.
7 (2)	Rainbow Rain Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	133	v	122115	63	79	63	17d	—	—	+10	20.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner, when 3lb lower; unable to match that effort latest; more needed.
1 (8)	Phoenix Beach Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	135	—	660230	65	80	67	13d	—	—	+1	11.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
No excuses for his latest effort but would be a big player if back on song.
4 (12)	Athollblair Boy Chestnut J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	515906	64	78	58	9d	—	—	0	7.7	2.00/1	9 11%
A standing dish here and back on a winning mark; no surprise if he returns to form.
2 (7)	Mr Trevor Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Ann Duffield	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Ann Duffield	135	h	686514	65	78	-	50d	—	—	+5	13	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Multiple 6f-7f winner, including twice here; claims if retaining his ability on Tapeta.
5 (3)	Lady Celia Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	134	—	463416	64	77	63	20d	—	—	+5	13.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
C&D winner; squeezed for room here last time and she looks an each-way player again.
9 (10)	Turbo Command Grey J:Mark Winn(3) T:Alison Hamilton	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Alison Hamilton	130	—	423758	60	75	61	9d	—	—	0	6	3.75/1	16 6%
Not at his best on his last three starts; probably needs a further drop in the weights.
3 (11)	Miss Britain Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	135	eb	748705	65	74	7	17d	—	—	+1	5	4.75/1	20 5%
Back on a handy mark and she showed signs of a revival last time, so not written off.
12 (4)	Global Humor Bay J:David Egan T:Jim Goldie	J:David Egan T:Jim Goldie	124	b	504475	54	73	36	17d	—	—	-2	2.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Dropping to a more competitive mark and not ruled out each-way now back up in trip.
8 (5)	Conri Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	133	—	0-54	63	67	11	197d	—	—	0	4.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Initial mark looks stiff but he may be able to improve now entering handicaps.
11 (9)	My Boy Jack Chestnut J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	126	p	205710	56	78	70	13d	—	—	+5	9.7	5.25/1	22 5%
6f Tapeta winner; need to put a line through latest effort if considering supporting him.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bella Kopella	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
El Hibri	4	4	4	4	4
Rainbow Rain	13/2	6	6	13/2	13/2
Phoenix Beach	8	7	7/1	15/2	7
Athollblair Boy	9	9	9	9	9
Mr Trevor	9	17/2	17/2	9	17/2
Lady Celia	10	10/1	9	10	10
Turbo Command	16	14	12	14	14
Miss Britain	16	18	16	18	20
Global Humor	20	20	18	20	20
Conri	25	22/1	20	22	22
My Boy Jack	20	20	18	20	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bella Kopella

22.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Rainbow Rain

20.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Lady Celia

13.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mr Trevor

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

17/2

El Hibri

12.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

Phoenix Beach

11.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

My Boy Jack

9.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Athollblair Boy

7.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.2

Turbo Command

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.6

Miss Britain

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Conri

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Global Humor

2.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Phoenix Beach	65	80	67
Mr Trevor	65	78	—
Miss Britain	65	74	7
Bella Kopella	64	78	71
Athollblair Boy	64	78	58
Lady Celia	64	77	63
Rainbow Rain	63	79	63
Conri	63	67	11
Turbo Command	60	75	61
El Hibri	56	77	60
My Boy Jack	56	78	70
Global Humor	54	73	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Kopella	9d ago	Quick return
Athollblair Boy	9d ago	Quick return
Turbo Command	9d ago	Quick return
Phoenix Beach	13d ago	Quick return
My Boy Jack	13d ago	Quick return
Rainbow Rain	17d ago	Fit
Miss Britain	17d ago	Fit
Global Humor	17d ago	Fit
Lady Celia	20d ago	Fit
El Hibri	50d ago	Fresh
Mr Trevor	50d ago	Fresh
Conri	197d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.