Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap (Div I) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-11-20

Distance 1m3f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 2m 34.04s (slow by 2.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Trusty Scout (IRE) Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	9/1	Won
2nd	Showlan Spirit (GB) Jack Mitchell · George Baker	4/1	1.25
3rd	Duchess (FR) Gina Mangan · John Berry	14/1	2
4th	Naadyaa (GB) William Cox · Alexandra Dunn	50/1	4.75
5th	Aryaah (IRE) Finley Marsh · Mark Hoad	80/1	0.3
6th	Total Master (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Ismail Mohammed	13/2	0.1
7th	Kemerton (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	11/4F	2.25
8th	Kingston Sunflower (FR) George Rooke · Ralph J Smith	80/1	0.2
9th	Silver Atom (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	16/1	2.25
10th	Central City (IRE) Dougie Costello · B F Brookhouse	10/1	1
11th	Khangai (GB) Rob Hornby · Mark Rimell	13/2	5
12th	Hazel Bear (GB) Callum Shepherd · Jamie Osborne	9/2	30

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (5)	Kemerton Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	135	—	70-995	57	76	-	53d	—	—	-15	9	11/4 27%
Achieved his peak RPR at Kempton on sole AW run; possible improver back in this sphere
NR (3)	Fravanco Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Madgwick	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Madgwick	136	—	155497	58	70	55	13d	—	—	-13	8.2	7/2 22%
Did too much near the pace in last two races; fighting chance if this pans out better
8 (6)	Hazel Bear Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	130	h	258753	57	71	45	19d	—	—	-5	8.8	9/2 18%
3yo maiden; ran well over 1m2f at Lingfield most recently, looking worth a crack at 1m4f
6 (4)	Showlan Spirit Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	J:Jack Mitchell T:George Baker	132	—	-63884	54	71	46	13d	—	—	-10	6.9	9/2 18%
Maiden; ran creditably over 1m2f last time and shapes as if this new trip will suit
1 (1)	Total Master Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Ismail Mohammed	138	—	0/59	60	61	18	23d	—	—	-4	5.2	15/2 12%
May find his feet now handicapping but doesn't look obviously well treated off top weight
9 (8)	Trusty Scout Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	127	—	264334	49	68	63	—	—	—	-3	6.3	15/2 12%
Recent Flat form is satisfactory but he's still seeking first handicap win
5 (14)	Khangai Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	133	t	172656	60	73	-	28d	—	—	-3	6.7	15/2 12%
Best form is at 1m2f on turf; something to prove over this new trip back on AW
13 (2)	Duchess Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:John Berry	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:John Berry	124	t	966404	46	66	60	30d	—	—	-5	1.9	12 8%
Now 0-17 but recent Wolverhampton form is respectable; could go well again
10 (9)	Silver Atom Grey J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	126	—	578140	48	69	57	16d	—	—	+1	6.4	16 6%
Successful at Bath and fourth at Newcastle in his two attempts at about 1m4f
2 (7)	Central City Bay J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	137	—	88-565	59	67	-	293d	—	—	-2	3.9	16 6%
Multiple winner; absent since January and now makes debut for new yard; market can guide
NR (11)	Two Plus Two Chestnut J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Ed de Giles	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Ed de Giles	119	b	850033	46	67	55	16d	—	—	+1	6.8	16 6%
In-form contender, placed the last twice; however, this quirky maiden comes with risks
12 (10)	Naadyaa Bay J:William Cox T:Alexandra Dunn	J:William Cox T:Alexandra Dunn	124	—	464703	46	68	49	18d	—	—	+1	3.7	40 3%
Close third over 9.5f last time; now 0-26 and has stamina to prove at this new trip
7 (13)	Kingston Sunflower Black J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	131	—	07/09/	53	-	-	—	—	—	-1	1.5	40 3%
Modest chance on recent hurdles form and was a maiden on Flat in France
11 (12)	Aryaah Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Hoad	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Hoad	126	—	947889	48	68	25	24d	—	—	-2	0.7	50 2%
Poor efforts for new yard the last twice; opposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kemerton	3	11/4	3	5/2	11/4
Fravanco	11/4	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Hazel Bear	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Showlan Spirit	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Total Master	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Trusty Scout	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Khangai	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Duchess	11	11	11	11	12
Silver Atom	16	14	14	14	16
Central City	16	14	12	14	16
Two Plus Two	14	14	16	16	16
Naadyaa	28/1	33	33	33	40
Kingston Sunflower	40	33	25	28	33
Aryaah	50	50	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kemerton

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Hazel Bear

8.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Fravanco

8.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Showlan Spirit

6.9

OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5

9/2

Two Plus Two

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.7

Khangai

6.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Silver Atom

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Trusty Scout

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Total Master

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Central City

3.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Naadyaa

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Duchess

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Kingston Sunflower

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Aryaah

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

TR Top Rated by OR

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Total Master TR	60	61	18
Khangai	60	73	—
Central City	59	67	—
Fravanco	58	70	55
Kemerton	57	76	—
Hazel Bear	57	71	45
Showlan Spirit	54	71	46
Kingston Sunflower	53	—	—
Trusty Scout	49	68	63
Silver Atom	48	69	57
Aryaah	48	68	25
Duchess	46	66	60
Two Plus Two	46	67	55
Naadyaa	46	68	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fravanco	13d ago	Quick return
Showlan Spirit	13d ago	Quick return
Silver Atom	16d ago	Fit
Two Plus Two	16d ago	Fit
Naadyaa	18d ago	Fit
Hazel Bear	19d ago	Fit
Total Master	23d ago	Fit
Aryaah	24d ago	Fit
Khangai	28d ago	Fit
Duchess	30d ago	Fit
Kemerton	53d ago	Fresh
Central City	293d ago	Long break
Trusty Scout	—	—
Kingston Sunflower	—	—