Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Apprentice Handicap

Kempton (AW)

16:30

Date 2023-11-20

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Miss Dolly Rocker Bay J:Morgan Cole(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Morgan Cole(3) T:Roger Teal	136	—	-21223	73	85	74	14d	—	—	-4	29.3	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Ran creditably over 1m3f here last time; good claims if coping with return to 1m
1 (3)	Arctician Grey J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	141	—	135754	76	84	69	12d	—	—	-5	12.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Respectable fourth, not far behind Outrace, over C&D 12 days ago; frame possibilities
8 (2)	Forward Flight Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	135	—	359316	70	78	-	17d	—	—	+5	16.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Both wins at Yarmouth; something to prove back on AW
7 (12)	Port Erin Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Linda Stubbs	J:Billy Loughnane T:Linda Stubbs	136	—	113218	73	82	74	34d	—	—	+11	21	1.75/1	8 13%
Disappointing on final start for the Crisfords but can't be written off; new yard
9 (4)	Big Bear Hug Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Adam West	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Adam West	134	p	241631	69	81	40	17d	—	—	+14	22.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Took well to first-time cheekpieces at Newmarket most recently; one to consider
11 (14)	Outrace Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	132	—	138032	69	81	57	12d	—	—	+7	14.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Placed at big prices the last twice, 33-1 second over C&D latest; in the mix
2 (1)	Dayman Bay J:Owen Lewis(5) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Owen Lewis(5) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	140	—	4009-7	75	83	37	200d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Market support should be heeded on return from layoff; second run for new yard
10 (9)	Further Measure Bay J:Chloe Lyons(7) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Chloe Lyons(7) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	132	p	103378	67	82	71	14d	—	—	+4	7.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Needs further than 1m now; may get outpaced on debut for new stable
12 (7)	Grigio Grey J:William Carver T:Simon Pearce	J:William Carver T:Simon Pearce	132	—	068	69	79	12	128d	—	—	+2	5.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Gelded since last run; possible improver now handicapping on return from break
5 (6)	Awtaad Prince Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	137	tp	667790	74	80	62	—	—	—	+4	6.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Flat form deteriorated badly in August/September; others preferred
13 (13)	Uncle Dick Bay J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	p	131156	65	81	54	13d	—	—	+9	13.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Three wins at Brighton (Class 6) this season; yet to score in this grade
14 (11)	Gannon Glory Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Adam West	J:Adam Farragher T:Adam West	130	t	154058	65	78	66	13d	—	—	+2	4.5	9.75/1	40 3%
All wins at sprint trips; goes into unknown territory over 1m
3 (5)	Ocean Heights Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Pipe	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Pipe	139	t	52/7	74	81	-	103d	—	—	+5	6.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Has a question mark over current mark but could revive on Flat handicap debut
4 (10)	Lady Lavina Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	138	p	401-46	75	76	58	259d	—	—	+5	6.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Both wins over 7f at novice level; something to prove in this scenario

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Miss Dolly Rocker	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Arctician	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	9/2
Forward Flight	13/2	13/2	13/2	6	7
Port Erin	8	13/2	7	7	7
Big Bear Hug	10	10	10	10	10
Outrace	10	11	11	10	11
Dayman	10	12	12	11	11
Further Measure	20	22	20	20	20
Grigio	18	22	25	25	25
Awtaad Prince	25	28	28	25	28
Uncle Dick	25	20	20	20	22
Gannon Glory	40	40	40	33	40
Ocean Heights	50	40	50	40	50
Lady Lavina	66	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Dolly Rocker

29.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 13 Odds: 10.5

15/8

2nd

Big Bear Hug

22.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Port Erin

OR: 5.8 Form: 12.4 Odds: 2.9

Forward Flight

16.8

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Outrace

14.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.7 Odds: 2.1

Uncle Dick

13.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.2

Arctician

12.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5

9/2

Dayman

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Further Measure

7.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1.1

Awtaad Prince

6.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lady Lavina

6.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ocean Heights

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Grigio

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Gannon Glory

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arctician	76	84	69
Dayman	75	83	37
Lady Lavina	75	76	58
Awtaad Prince	74	80	62
Ocean Heights	74	81	—
Miss Dolly Rocker	73	85	74
Port Erin	73	82	74
Forward Flight	70	78	—
Big Bear Hug	69	81	40
Outrace	69	81	57
Grigio	69	79	12
Further Measure	67	82	71
Uncle Dick	65	81	54
Gannon Glory	65	78	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arctician	12d ago	Quick return
Outrace	12d ago	Quick return
Uncle Dick	13d ago	Quick return
Gannon Glory	13d ago	Quick return
Miss Dolly Rocker	14d ago	Fit
Further Measure	14d ago	Fit
Forward Flight	17d ago	Fit
Big Bear Hug	17d ago	Fit
Port Erin	34d ago	Fit
Ocean Heights	103d ago	Long break
Grigio	128d ago	Long break
Dayman	200d ago	Long break
Lady Lavina	259d ago	Long break
Awtaad Prince	—	—