John Lynch Carpets 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle – Punchestown

Punchestown

11:40

John Lynch Carpets 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-11-25

Distance 2m160y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €7,375

Winning Time 4m 18.60s (slow by 25.10s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mighty Bandit (IRE) Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	3/1	Won
2nd	Lark In The Mornin (GER) J J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	11/4F	9.5
3rd	Harsh (GB) Sam Ewing · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	5/1	7.5
4th	Pacini (GB) Jordan Gainford · Gordon Elliott	4/1	1.5
5th	Burvea (IRE) Daniel King · D Broad	100/1	2
6th	Green Sky (IRE) Richard Deegan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	20/1	1.25
7th	Biggerthanbigtime (IRE) Peter Smithers · Padraig Roche	13/2	0.3
8th	San Guido (IRE) Rachael Blackmore · Henry De Bromhead	8/1	2.25
9th	Tranquil Sea (IRE) Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	33/1	4.5
10th	Tiny Angel (IRE) Simon Torrens · Noel C Kelly	250/1	21
11th	Better Choice (IRE) P J O'Hanlon · P J Rothwell	250/1	4.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Td's Approach (IRE) E Walsh · Cian Collins	250/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Mighty Bandit Brown J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Order Of St George gelding; dam half-sister to 2 winners over jumps; tough ask
3	Lark In The Mornin Bay J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Useful Flat form up to 1m2f and sire has a good strike-rate with his jumpers
2	Harsh Grey J:Sam Ewing T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Sam Ewing T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Beaten half a length on testing ground over 1m4f when last seen; not bred for this
6	San Guido Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	154	t	3	-	116	90	14d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Modest Flat form but more promise when 3rd at Wexford on hurdle bow; should progress
5	Pacini Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	154	—	5	-	104	86	9d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Winner on very soft in France; beaten odds on fav' here last week and didn't jump fluently
1	Biggerthanbigtime Bay J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	154	—	543	-	118	86	28d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Showed more over timber last time when third at Galway but surprise if he's good enough
11	Green Sky Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Richard Deegan T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	147	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Won Flat maiden earlier in the year but seemingly down the order on jockey bookings here
8	Tranquil Sea Chestnut J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	154	—	6	-	86	44	18d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Didn't jump well when tailed off in a maiden hurdle at Fairyhouse earlier this month
10	Burvea Chestnut J:Daniel King(3) T:D Broad	J:Daniel King(3) T:D Broad	147	—	U5	-	110	85	69d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Minor promise on the Flat; hasn't really shown anything in two hurdle starts; best watched
7	Td's Approach Bay J:E Walsh(3) T:Cian Collins	J:E Walsh(3) T:Cian Collins	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor Flat form including when tailed off at Dundalk last week and not bred for this
9	Better Choice Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:P J Rothwell	147	—	90	-	74	46	9d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Shown nothing at huge prices in two maiden hurdle starts so far
12	Tiny Angel Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Noel C Kelly	J:Simon Torrens T:Noel C Kelly	147	—	6	-	75	40	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Tailed off when 80-1 for her hurdle debut a fortnight ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mighty Bandit	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Lark In The Mornin	3	3	3	3	3
Harsh	6	11/2	11/2	6	6/1
San Guido	6	6	11/2	6	6
Pacini	9/2	10/3	10/3	4	4
Biggerthanbigtime	7	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2
Green Sky	20	18	18	18	18/1
Tranquil Sea	50	33	40	40	40/1
Burvea	50	50	50	50	50/1
Td's Approach	150	125	150/1	125	125
Better Choice	150	200	200	200	200
Tiny Angel	200	125	150/1	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

San Guido

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Mighty Bandit

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Lark In The Mornin

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

Biggerthanbigtime

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Pacini

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Harsh

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Green Sky

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Tranquil Sea

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Burvea

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Td's Approach

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Better Choice

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Tiny Angel

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mighty Bandit	—	—	—
Lark In The Mornin	—	—	—
Harsh	—	—	—
San Guido	—	116	90
Pacini	—	104	86
Biggerthanbigtime	—	118	86
Green Sky	—	—	—
Tranquil Sea	—	86	44
Burvea	—	110	85
Td's Approach	—	—	—
Better Choice	—	74	46
Tiny Angel	—	75	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pacini	9d ago	Quick return
Better Choice	9d ago	Quick return
San Guido	14d ago	Fit
Tiny Angel	14d ago	Fit
Tranquil Sea	18d ago	Fit
Biggerthanbigtime	28d ago	Fit
Burvea	69d ago	Fresh
Mighty Bandit	—	—
Lark In The Mornin	—	—
Harsh	—	—
Green Sky	—	—
Td's Approach	—	—