Marsh Commercial Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Ludlow

15:20

Date 2023-11-27

Distance 2m5f55y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Winning Time 5m 35.36s (slow by 42.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Only Fools (IRE) Jack Tudor · David Pipe	5/1	Won
2nd	Masked Dance (FR) Alex Edwards · Mel Rowley	9/1	.5
3rd	Minniemum (GB) Alice Stevens · Henry Daly	11/4F	2.25
4th	Cooleenymore (IRE) Joe Anderson · Robert Walford	3/1	1.75
5th	Tuscan Rose (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Neil Mulholland	8/1	2
6th	Our Pink Lady (IRE) Alex Chadwick · James Owen	50/1	21
7th	Den The Diva (GB) Stan Sheppard · Andy Irvine	50/1	2.25
8th	Happy Index (GB) Tom Bellamy · Paul Webber	15/2	9.5
9th	Houston Calling (GB) Charlie Deutsch · Mel Rowley	16/1	3.25
10th	Shiroccosmagicbaby (IRE) Nick Scholfield · Christian Williams	28/1	6

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Hidden Belle (GB) Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	18/1
P.U.	Nancy Till (IRE) Charlie Hammond · Max Young	80/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Minniemum Bay J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	168	—	4353-5	97	103	91	41d	—	—	-4	18.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Low-mileage 6yo who is in the mix back up in trip for yard that won this last year
4	Cooleenymore Chestnut J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Robert Walford	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Robert Walford	164	—	335-22	93	103	58	19d	—	—	-5	17.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Runner-up on handicap debut at Chepstow and she's a big player if she can build on that
11	Only Fools Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	145	ht	224357	75	100	92	17d	—	—	0	12.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Dual Flat winner but she's 0-10 over hurdles and was well below form at Exeter last time
8	Happy Index Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Paul Webber	J:Tom Bellamy T:Paul Webber	150	—	74-12P	79	98	74	41d	—	—	+1	9.8	2.75/1	12 8%
C&D winner but she was pulled up on her return and has something to prove after that
2	Masked Dance Chestnut J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	167	—	369U-2	96	97	81	188d	—	—	+9	19.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Improved second at Huntingdon in May and she's respected on this return; has had wind op
10	Tuscan Rose Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	147	—	065F-7	76	92	51	193d	—	—	+1	8.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Sx-race maiden who has not progressed and needs to raise her game on this return
12	Hidden Belle Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	142	t	00-0	71	92	50	56d	—	—	-1	7.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Handicap newcomer who could do better with tongue-tie added on this step up in trip
5	Houston Calling Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	161	—	7636-4	90	93	74	189d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Some promise in her three hurdle runs and needs watching in the market on handicap debut
6	Shiroccosmagicbaby Brown J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	161	—	/12-7P	90	100	-	45d	—	—	+5	11.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Has struggled in last two hurdle runs and needs a transformation on her handicap debut
3	Our Pink Lady b/br J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:James Owen	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:James Owen	166	t	533-P6	95	93	-	14d	—	—	+7	12.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Has struggled in both runs for new yard this autumn and has plenty to prove
9	Den The Diva Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Andy Irvine	J:Stan Sheppard T:Andy Irvine	150	—	074-9	80	91	83	21d	—	—	+5	8.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Well beaten in all four runs and needs major improvement on handicap debut
7	Nancy Till Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	151	—	5U6-0P	80	96	57	19d	—	—	+6	7.9	16.25/1	66 2%
Runner-up in Irish point but she's struggled over over hurdles and has a lot to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Minniemum	3	11/4	3	11/4	11/4
Cooleenymore	5/2	3	10/3	3/1	3
Only Fools	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Happy Index	12	10	10	10	10
Masked Dance	10	10	10	10	10/1
Tuscan Rose	10	9	10	9	9
Hidden Belle	14	11	12	11/1	11/1
Houston Calling	16	14	14	14/1	14/1
Shiroccosmagicbaby	20	18	20	18/1	18
Our Pink Lady	16	20	22	20	20
Den The Diva	40	28	25	28/1	28/1
Nancy Till	66	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Masked Dance

19.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

10/1

2nd

Minniemum

18.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Cooleenymore

17.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Our Pink Lady

12.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Only Fools

12.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Shiroccosmagicbaby

11.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Houston Calling

11.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Happy Index

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Tuscan Rose

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Den The Diva

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Nancy Till

7.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Hidden Belle

7.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minniemum	97	103	91
Masked Dance	96	97	81
Our Pink Lady	95	93	—
Cooleenymore	93	103	58
Houston Calling	90	93	74
Shiroccosmagicbaby	90	100	—
Den The Diva	80	91	83
Nancy Till	80	96	57
Happy Index	79	98	74
Tuscan Rose	76	92	51
Only Fools	75	100	92
Hidden Belle	71	92	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Our Pink Lady	14d ago	Fit
Only Fools	17d ago	Fit
Cooleenymore	19d ago	Fit
Nancy Till	19d ago	Fit
Den The Diva	21d ago	Fit
Minniemum	41d ago	Fit
Happy Index	41d ago	Fit
Shiroccosmagicbaby	45d ago	Fit
Hidden Belle	56d ago	Fresh
Masked Dance	188d ago	Long break
Houston Calling	189d ago	Long break
Tuscan Rose	193d ago	Long break