Get Emma's Offers At PlanetSportBet Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Southwell

15:40

Date 2023-11-28

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,387

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Fortunate Fred Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jamie Snowden	149	tb	323426	91	119	-	29d	—	—	-34	35.7	—	—
15-race maiden who is often thereabouts but not on latest start; new headgear
8	Hill Of Tara Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	146	—	645-11	88	119	89	8d	—	—	-36	29.5	0.08/1	3/10 77%
Ground is forecast to be very different but no shock if he completes quickfire hat-trick
1	Godot Chestnut J:Tom Cannon T:Andy Irvine	J:Tom Cannon T:Andy Irvine	169	—	831-17	111	117	90	22d	—	—	+5	19.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Plumpton (hat-trick bid) three weeks ago was disappointing as he started second favourite
6	Aristobulus Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	150	—	343F-4	93	109	95	42d	—	—	+6	12.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Tended to race freely over hurdles; may have to wait longer before adding to 1m4f Flat win
NR	Kilfilum Woods Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Paul Webber	J:Daryl Jacob T:Paul Webber	162	p	6-82F8	104	113	89	21d	—	—	-5	21.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Fell in June and tired badly approaching the second last at Warwick three weeks ago
5	Tessy Lad Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	159	—	33-	102	101	70	—	—	—	+14	19.8	3.25/1	14 7%
Left R Hughes for 26,000gns last month, having been in good Flat form; third hurdle race
NR	Montregard Chestnut J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	162	—	31-	105	107	72	215d	—	—	+9	33.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Half-brother to top-class Protektorat; worked for odds-on win in 2m3f maiden; potential
NR	God's Own Getaway Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	163	—	972-3	105	100	88	21d	—	—	—	16.8	—	—
Never nearer when placed in his two novice hurdles; one to note on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fortunate Fred	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Hill Of Tara	3/10	3/10	3/10	2/7	3/10
Godot	5	5	5	5	11/2
Aristobulus	12	11	12	11	10/1
Kilfilum Woods	16	12	11	12	SP
Tessy Lad	14	11	11	12	12
Montregard	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fortunate Fred

35.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Montregard

33.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Hill Of Tara

29.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3/10

Kilfilum Woods

21.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.1

Tessy Lad

19.8

OR: 13 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.7

Godot

19.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

God's Own Getaway

16.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Aristobulus

12.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Godot	111	117	90
Montregard	105	107	72
God's Own Getaway	105	100	88
Kilfilum Woods	104	113	89
Tessy Lad	102	101	70
Aristobulus	93	109	95
Fortunate Fred	91	119	—
Hill Of Tara	88	119	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hill Of Tara	8d ago	Quick return
Kilfilum Woods	21d ago	Fit
God's Own Getaway	21d ago	Fit
Godot	22d ago	Fit
Fortunate Fred	29d ago	Fit
Aristobulus	42d ago	Fit
Montregard	215d ago	Long break
Tessy Lad	—	—