Racing Welfare Handicap (Div I) – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Racing Welfare Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-12-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Winning Time 1m 25.36s (slow by 2.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Once Adaay (GB) George Wood · Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	11/2	Won
2nd	Stella Hogan (IRE) Rossa Ryan · John O'Shea	7/1	.5
3rd	Dors Toyboy (IRE) Hector Crouch · Dean Ivory	3/1J	2
4th	Maurices Men (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Jane Chapple-Hyam	33/1	0.1
5th	Nubough (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Mark Pattinson	12/1	.75
6th	H Key Lails (GB) Paddy Bradley · Michael Attwater	15/2	1.5
7th	High Court Judge (USA) Ross Coakley · Henry Spiller	7/1	0.2
8th	Dazzerling (IRE) Tyler Heard · Phil McEntee	28/1	1
9th	Ravenglass (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Adrian Wintle	3/1J	1.75
10th	United Force (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Clare Hobson	80/1	.5
11th	Nemorum (GB) Harry Davies · T J Kent	16/1	.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Ravenglass Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Adrian Wintle	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Adrian Wintle	136	p	639227	61	77	59	15d	—	—	-5	15.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two runner-up finishes in better races last month make good reading at this level
4 (5)	Dors Toyboy Grey J:Hector Crouch T:Dean Ivory	J:Hector Crouch T:Dean Ivory	135	p	-75634	60	73	63	12d	—	—	-9	10.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dual C&D winner; 2lb below his last winning mark and high on the list.
6 (4)	Once Adaay Bay J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	133	tv	557632	58	72	52	20d	—	—	-2	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
No problem with the step up to 7f, beaten a neck last time; should make presence felt
5 (10)	High Court Judge Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Henry Spiller	J:Ross Coakley T:Henry Spiller	135	—	50P703	60	73	56	30d	—	—	-1	7.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Dual Polytrack winner at the start of the year and ran well last time, but he needs 1m now
8 (9)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:John O'Shea	J:Rossa Ryan T:John O'Shea	131	—	855681	56	70	43	57d	—	—	+6	13.7	2.25/1	10 10%
4lb higher than when off the mark at Kempton last time; more needed but open to progress
3 (6)	H Key Lails Grey J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	136	—	126553	61	73	57	19d	—	—	+2	8.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In good form on Tapeta in the spring, but not sure the return to this trip is a positive
7 (11)	Nubough Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Mark Pattinson	J:Trevor Whelan T:Mark Pattinson	132	t	673233	57	70	60	30d	—	—	+7	11.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Placed in his last four starts including twice over C&D. but is just 2-50
10 (2)	Nemorum Bay J:Harry Davies T:T J Kent	J:Harry Davies T:T J Kent	124	—	844190	49	71	53	19d	—	—	0	6.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Made all when off the mark over C&D in October, but well beaten in both starts since
9 (7)	Maurices Men Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	125	—	859	50	65	35	21d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Not within 11l of the winner in three starts; not the greatest surprise if he showed more
11 (3)	Dazzerling Chestnut J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	121	t	795664	46	67	56	21d	—	—	-3	1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Fair fourth over C&D three weeks ago, but is now 0-21
1 (1)	United Force Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Clare Hobson	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Clare Hobson	137	p	256080	62	62	-	26d	—	—	+1	3.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Has failed to beat a rival in four starts for this yard; makes little appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ravenglass	7/2	10/3	3	3	10/3
Dors Toyboy	3	10/3	3	3	3
Once Adaay	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
High Court Judge	10	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Stella Hogan	9	10	10	9	10
H Key Lails	10	11	11	11	11/1
Nubough	14	14	14	14	14
Nemorum	14	11	11	11	11
Maurices Men	11	14	14	16	16
Dazzerling	20	22	22	20	22/1
United Force	66	33	33	33	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ravenglass

15.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Stella Hogan

13.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

3rd

Once Adaay

13.5

OR: 2 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Nubough

11.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.4

Dors Toyboy

10.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

H Key Lails

8.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.9

11/1

High Court Judge

7.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.6 Odds: 2.5

Nemorum

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

United Force

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Maurices Men

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Dazzerling

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
United Force	62	62	—
Ravenglass	61	77	59
H Key Lails	61	73	57
Dors Toyboy	60	73	63
High Court Judge	60	73	56
Once Adaay	58	72	52
Nubough	57	70	60
Stella Hogan	56	70	43
Maurices Men	50	65	35
Nemorum	49	71	53
Dazzerling	46	67	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dors Toyboy	12d ago	Quick return
Ravenglass	15d ago	Fit
H Key Lails	19d ago	Fit
Nemorum	19d ago	Fit
Once Adaay	20d ago	Fit
Maurices Men	21d ago	Fit
Dazzerling	21d ago	Fit
United Force	26d ago	Fit
High Court Judge	30d ago	Fit
Nubough	30d ago	Fit
Stella Hogan	57d ago	Fresh